Carvana (CVNA) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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CVNA Stock Forecast


Carvana stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $150.31 (represents a -4.00% downside from CVNA’s last price of $156.58) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 26 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

CVNA Price Target


The average price target for Carvana (CVNA) is $150.31 based on 1-year price targets from 26 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $470.00 to $5.50. This represents a potential -4.00% downside from CVNA's last price of $156.58.

CVNA Analyst Ratings


Buy

According to 26 Wall Street analysts, Carvana's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for CVNA stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 13 'Buy' (50.00%), 11 'Hold' (42.31%), 2 'Sell' (7.69%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Carvana Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Sep 16, 2024Michael MontaniEvercore ISI$157.00$141.9010.64%0.27%
Sep 11, 2024Jeff LickStephens$190.00$133.5442.28%21.34%
Aug 01, 2024Brad EricksonRBC Capital$170.00$151.3312.34%8.57%
Aug 01, 2024Adam JonasMorgan Stanley$110.00$150.33-26.83%-29.75%
Aug 01, 2024David LantzWells Fargo$175.00$133.2331.35%11.76%
Jul 12, 2024Marvin FongBTIG$155.00$135.5514.35%-1.01%
Jul 10, 2024Chris PierceNeedham$160.00$129.5423.51%2.18%
May 07, 2024John ColantuoniJefferies$125.00$122.971.65%-20.17%
May 02, 2024Colin SebastianRobert W. Baird$110.00$87.0926.31%-29.75%
May 02, 2024Brad EricksonRBC Capital$130.00$87.0949.27%-16.98%
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The latest Carvana stock forecast, released on Sep 16, 2024 by Michael Montani from Evercore ISI, set a price target of $157.00, which represents a 10.64% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($141.90), and a 0.27% increase from CVNA last price ($156.58).

Carvana Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts2713
Avg Price Target$173.50$159.57$132.46
Last Closing Price$156.58$156.58$156.58
Upside/Downside10.81%1.91%-15.40%

In the current month, the average price target of Carvana stock is $173.50, according to 2 Wall Street analysts offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 10.81% increase as opposed to Carvana's last price of $156.58. This month's average price target is up 8.73% compared to last quarter, and up 30.98% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Sep 16, 2024Evercore ISIOutperformOutperformHold
Sep 16, 2024Evercore ISIPositivePositiveHold
Sep 11, 2024StephensEqual-WeightOverweightInitialise
Sep 09, 2024Wells FargoMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
Aug 05, 2024JefferiesHoldHoldHold
Aug 02, 2024Wells FargoMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
Aug 01, 2024RBC CapitalSector PerformSector PerformHold
Aug 01, 2024Morgan StanleyUnderweightUnderweightHold
Aug 01, 2024BTIGBuyBuyHold
Aug 01, 2024NeedhamBuyBuyHold
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Carvana's last stock rating was published by Evercore ISI on Sep 16, 2024. The company gave CVNA a "Outperform" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Carvana Financial Forecast


Carvana Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue-------------$2.77B$2.97B$2.61B$2.84B$3.39B-$3.50B$3.75B$3.48B$3.34B$2.25B$1.83B$1.54B$1.12B$1.10B$1.10B$1.09B
Avg Forecast$4.35B$4.55B$4.56B$4.34B$3.63B$3.88B$3.87B$3.58B$3.19B$3.43B$3.26B$2.70B$2.56B$2.81B$2.61B$2.64B$3.06B$3.70B$3.97B$3.40B$3.52B$3.28B$2.46B$1.96B$1.61B$1.53B$1.16B$1.13B$1.10B$997.39M
High Forecast$4.61B$4.82B$4.83B$4.60B$3.84B$4.11B$4.10B$3.79B$3.38B$3.67B$3.45B$2.85B$2.69B$2.97B$2.76B$2.79B$3.24B$3.92B$3.97B$3.68B$3.81B$3.55B$2.66B$2.13B$1.74B$1.66B$1.26B$1.22B$1.19B$1.08B
Low Forecast$4.01B$4.19B$4.20B$4.00B$3.35B$3.58B$3.57B$3.30B$2.94B$3.21B$3.00B$2.48B$2.39B$2.59B$2.40B$2.43B$2.82B$3.41B$3.97B$3.15B$3.26B$3.03B$2.28B$1.82B$1.49B$1.42B$1.07B$1.05B$1.02B$923.96M
# Analysts999955556126916889127716189971010101066
Surprise %-------------0.99%1.14%0.99%0.93%0.92%-1.03%1.07%1.06%1.36%1.14%1.14%1.01%0.96%0.97%1.00%1.10%

Carvana's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 16 analysts is $2.56B, with a low forecast of $2.39B, and a high forecast of $2.69B. CVNA's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -7.60% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $2.77B (Sep 23).

Carvana EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts999955556126916889127716189971010101066
EBITDA-------------$49.00M$47.00M$-36.00M$-441.00M$-277.00M-$-405.00M$-93.00M$42.00M$89.00M$16.00M$20.76M$31.90M$-3.52M$-15.21M$17.93M$-7.35M
Avg Forecast$-154.45M$-161.63M$-161.95M$-154.13M$-128.89M$-137.80M$-137.43M$-127.07M$-113.37M$-121.61M$-115.66M$-485.66M$-90.93M$-99.62M$-92.52M$-441.51M$-108.68M$29.70M$-141.00M$-401.37M$-124.76M$27.00M$216.49M$-69.66M$16.49M$48.45M$-4.42M$-11.61M$13.38M$-4.85M
High Forecast$-142.25M$-148.87M$-149.16M$-141.95M$-118.71M$-126.92M$-126.58M$-117.03M$-104.41M$-114.05M$-106.52M$-388.53M$-84.86M$-91.76M$-85.21M$-353.21M$-100.10M$35.64M$-141.00M$-321.10M$-115.57M$32.40M$259.78M$-64.53M$19.79M$58.14M$-3.53M$-9.29M$16.05M$-3.88M
Low Forecast$-163.50M$-171.10M$-171.45M$-163.16M$-136.44M$-145.88M$-145.49M$-134.51M$-120.01M$-130.24M$-122.44M$-582.79M$-95.56M$-105.46M$-97.94M$-529.81M$-115.06M$23.76M$-141.00M$-481.64M$-135.08M$21.60M$173.19M$-75.43M$13.19M$38.76M$-5.30M$-13.93M$10.70M$-5.82M
Surprise %--------------0.49%-0.51%0.08%4.06%-9.33%-1.01%0.75%1.56%0.41%-0.23%1.26%0.66%0.80%1.31%1.34%1.52%

16 analysts predict CVNA's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $-90.93M, with a high of $-84.86M and a low of $-95.56M. This is -285.56% lower than Carvana's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $49.00M.

Carvana Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts999955556126916889127716189971010101066
Net Income-------------$782.00M$-58.00M$-286.00M$-1.59B$-283.00M-$-260.00M$-182.00M$-32.00M$22.00M$-36.00M$-63.34M$-7.08M$-40.83M$-59.89M$-20.48M$-39.02M
Avg Forecast$125.90M$120.76M$136.17M$115.62M$33.40M$56.36M$67.60M$42.07M$-7.52M$28.45M$-5.67M$-311.78M$-108.81M$-90.21M$-151.81M$-283.44M$-279.87M$-22.63M$-409.62M$-257.67M$-67.29M$-20.57M$53.51M$-77.54M$-50.31M$-10.76M$-51.16M$-45.69M$-15.28M$-25.75M
High Forecast$135.49M$129.96M$146.55M$124.43M$35.95M$60.66M$72.76M$45.28M$-6.75M$43.96M$-5.09M$-249.42M$-57.27M$-80.95M$-136.22M$-226.75M$-251.14M$-18.10M$-409.62M$-206.14M$-53.83M$-16.46M$64.22M$-70.12M$-40.25M$-8.61M$-40.93M$-36.55M$-12.22M$-20.60M
Low Forecast$112.97M$108.36M$122.19M$103.75M$29.97M$50.58M$60.66M$37.75M$-8.10M$7.76M$-6.10M$-374.14M$-136.30M$-97.09M$-163.37M$-340.12M$-301.20M$-27.15M$-409.62M$-309.20M$-80.75M$-24.69M$42.81M$-85.88M$-60.37M$-12.91M$-61.39M$-54.83M$-18.34M$-30.90M
Surprise %--------------8.67%0.38%1.01%5.70%12.51%-1.01%2.70%1.56%0.41%0.46%1.26%0.66%0.80%1.31%1.34%1.52%

Carvana's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $-108.81M, with a range of $-136.30M to $-57.27M. CVNA's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -113.91% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $782.00M (Sep 23).

Carvana SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts999955556126916889127716189971010101066
SG&A-------------$433.00M$452.00M$472.00M$632.00M$656.00M-$727.00M$620.00M$546.00M$470.00M$397.00M$342.67M$267.84M$239.93M$275.71M$241.66M$207.97M
Avg Forecast$807.58M$845.13M$846.82M$805.89M$673.91M$720.53M$718.61M$664.39M$592.77M$635.85M$604.74M$871.79M$475.43M$520.91M$483.77M$792.53M$568.28M$386.10M$737.26M$720.48M$468.78M$351.00M$1.14B$364.26M$272.18M$406.79M$300.64M$210.35M$180.29M$137.26M
High Forecast$854.92M$894.67M$896.46M$853.12M$713.42M$762.76M$760.73M$703.34M$627.52M$681.00M$640.19M$1.05B$499.67M$551.45M$512.12M$951.04M$601.60M$463.32M$737.26M$864.58M$562.54M$421.20M$1.37B$394.40M$326.62M$488.14M$360.77M$252.42M$216.35M$164.71M
Low Forecast$743.80M$778.38M$779.94M$742.24M$620.69M$663.62M$661.86M$611.92M$545.96M$596.35M$556.98M$697.43M$443.74M$479.77M$445.56M$634.03M$523.40M$308.88M$737.26M$576.39M$375.02M$280.80M$914.59M$337.44M$217.75M$325.43M$240.51M$168.28M$144.23M$109.81M
Surprise %-------------0.83%0.93%0.60%1.11%1.70%-1.01%1.32%1.56%0.41%1.09%1.26%0.66%0.80%1.31%1.34%1.52%

Carvana's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $475.43M, based on 16 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $443.74M to $499.67M. The forecast indicates a 9.80% rise compared to CVNA last annual SG&A of $433.00M (Sep 23).

Carvana EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts999955556126916889127716189971010101066
EPS-------------$7.05$-0.00$-2.70$-15.05$-2.67-$-2.89$-2.09$-0.38$0.27$-0.46$-0.87$-0.10$-0.62$-1.19$-0.41$-0.78
Avg Forecast$0.98$0.94$1.06$0.90$0.26$0.44$0.53$0.33$-0.06$0.22$-0.04$-0.67$-0.85$-0.70$-1.18$-2.13$-2.18$-1.90$-1.93$-1.58$-0.79$-0.27$-0.39$-0.68$-0.49$-0.29$-0.82$-0.63$-0.62$-0.39
High Forecast$1.05$1.01$1.14$0.97$0.28$0.47$0.57$0.35$-0.05$0.34$-0.04$-0.60$-0.45$-0.63$-1.06$-1.91$-1.95$-1.71$-1.93$-1.43$-0.71$-0.25$-0.36$-0.61$-0.44$-0.26$-0.74$-0.57$-0.56$-0.36
Low Forecast$0.88$0.84$0.95$0.81$0.23$0.39$0.47$0.29$-0.06$0.06$-0.05$-0.72$-1.06$-0.76$-1.27$-2.29$-2.34$-2.05$-1.93$-1.75$-0.87$-0.30$-0.44$-0.75$-0.54$-0.32$-0.90$-0.70$-0.69$-0.44
Surprise %--------------10.04%0.00%1.27%6.91%1.40%-1.83%2.65%1.38%-0.69%0.68%1.79%0.35%0.76%1.89%0.66%1.99%

According to 16 Wall Street analysts, Carvana's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $-0.85, with a low estimate of $-1.06 and a high estimate of $-0.45. This represents a -112.01% decrease compared to CVNA previous annual EPS of $7.05 (Sep 23).

Carvana Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
KMXCarMax$79.39$216.65172.89%Buy
VRMVroom$7.41$17.02129.69%Hold
LADLithia Motors$283.56$313.2010.45%Buy
ANAutoNation$169.63$172.001.40%Buy
CVNACarvana$156.58$150.31-4.00%Buy
ABGAsbury Automotive Group$222.05$201.50-9.25%Buy
CZOOCazoo Group$6.04$0.10-98.34%Buy

CVNA Forecast FAQ


Yes, according to 26 Wall Street analysts, Carvana (CVNA) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 13 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 50.00% of CVNA's total ratings.

Carvana (CVNA) average price target is $150.31 with a range of $5.5 to $470, implying a -4.00% from its last price of $156.58. The data is based on 26 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for CVNA stock, the company can go down by -4.00% (from the last price of $156.58 to the average price target of $150.31), up by 200.17% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -96.49% based on the lowest stock price target.

CVNA's highest twelve months analyst stock price target of $470 supports the claim that Carvana can reach $200 in the near future.

2 Wall Street analysts forecast a $173.5 price target for Carvana (CVNA) this month, up 10.81% from its last price of $156.58. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target increased by 1.91% and decreased by -15.40%, respectively.

Carvana's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $14.97B (high $15.85B, low $13.79B), average EBITDA is $-531M (high $-489M, low $-562M), average net income is $199.44M (high $214.64M, low $178.97M), average SG&A $2.78B (high $2.94B, low $2.56B), and average EPS is $1.55 (high $1.67, low $1.39). CVNA's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $17.81B (high $18.86B, low $16.41B), average EBITDA is $-632M (high $-582M, low $-669M), average net income is $498.44M (high $536.43M, low $447.27M), average SG&A $3.31B (high $3.5B, low $3.04B), and average EPS is $3.88 (high $4.18, low $3.48).

Based on Carvana's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $13.6B, which missed the average analysts forecast of $14.13B by -3.74%. Apple's EBITDA was $-1.299B, beating the average prediction of $-621M by 109.06%. The company's net income was $-2.894B, beating the average estimation of $-970M by 198.41%. Apple's SG&A was $2.74B, beating the average forecast of $2.41B by 13.43%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-28.7, beating the average prediction of $-7.591 by 278.09%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Carvana's revenue was $2.77B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $2.81B by -1.22%. The company's EBITDA was $49M, missing the average prediction of $-99.625M by -149.18%. Carvana's net income was $782M, missing the average estimation of $-90.215M by -966.82%. The company's SG&A was $433M, missing the average forecast of $520.91M by -16.88%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $7.05, missing the average prediction of $-0.702 by -1103.92%