Certara (CERT) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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CERT Stock Forecast


Certara stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $21.75 (represents a 100.83% upside from CERT’s last price of $10.83) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 3 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

CERT Price Target


The average price target for Certara (CERT) is $21.75 based on 1-year price targets from 3 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $28.00 to $16.00. This represents a potential 100.83% upside from CERT's last price of $10.83.

CERT Analyst Ratings


Hold

According to 3 Wall Street analysts, Certara's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for CERT stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 1 'Buy' (33.33%), 2 'Hold' (66.67%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Certara Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Jun 28, 2024Luke SergottBarclays$16.00$13.6517.22%47.74%
Apr 10, 2024Scott SchoenhausKeyBanc$23.00$18.5124.26%112.37%
Nov 14, 2022-Credit Suisse$20.00$14.6536.52%84.67%
Jul 01, 2022Jeff GarroPiper Sandler$28.00$21.4630.48%158.54%
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The latest Certara stock forecast, released on Jun 28, 2024 by Luke Sergott from Barclays, set a price target of $16.00, which represents a 17.22% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($13.65), and a 47.74% increase from CERT last price ($10.83).

Certara Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-12
Avg Price Target-$16.00$19.50
Last Closing Price$10.83$10.83$10.83
Upside/Downside-100.00%47.74%80.06%

In the current month, the average price target of Certara stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Certara's last price of $10.83. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Jun 28, 2024BarclaysEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Apr 10, 2024KeyBanc-OverweightUpgrade
Apr 04, 2024JMP Securities-Market PerformInitialise
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Certara's last stock rating was published by Barclays on Jun 28, 2024. The company gave CERT a "Equal-Weight" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Certara Financial Forecast


Certara Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20
Revenue------------$88.01M$85.58M$90.45M$90.30M$86.63M$84.70M-$81.55M$75.35M$73.94M$70.10M$66.72M$64.64M
Avg Forecast$119.43M$114.81M$114.92M$116.51M$110.20M$105.52M$105.19M$104.11M$100.57M$95.54M$96.01M$93.64M$86.68M$86.25M$92.18M$90.99M$82.55M$81.68M$85.46M$79.88M$83.26M$72.82M$69.52M$64.94M$60.97M
High Forecast$120.33M$115.67M$115.79M$117.39M$111.03M$106.31M$105.98M$104.90M$101.33M$96.29M$96.73M$94.35M$87.28M$86.90M$92.88M$91.68M$83.17M$82.30M$85.46M$82.41M$85.89M$75.13M$71.72M$67.00M$62.91M
Low Forecast$118.21M$113.63M$113.74M$115.32M$109.07M$104.43M$104.11M$103.04M$99.54M$94.44M$95.02M$92.68M$85.98M$85.36M$91.24M$90.06M$81.70M$80.84M$85.46M$77.74M$81.02M$70.87M$67.65M$63.20M$59.34M
# Analysts3333444436336333442122222
Surprise %------------1.02%0.99%0.98%0.99%1.05%1.04%-1.02%0.90%1.02%1.01%1.03%1.06%

Certara's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 3 analysts is $93.64M, with a low forecast of $92.68M, and a high forecast of $94.35M. CERT's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 6.40% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $88.01M (Dec 23).

Certara EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20
# Analysts3333444436336333442122222
EBITDA------------$-92.54M$-59.15M$27.58M$21.47M$19.91M$26.98M-$19.91M$9.55M$10.64M$15.61M$16.21M$-43.33M
Avg Forecast$24.62M$23.67M$23.69M$24.02M$22.72M$21.76M$21.69M$21.47M$20.74M$19.70M$19.80M$19.31M$17.87M$17.78M$19.01M$18.76M$17.02M$9.75M$17.62M$17.92M$17.17M$8.86M$19.66M$12.97M$12.57M
High Forecast$24.81M$23.85M$23.87M$24.20M$22.89M$21.92M$21.85M$21.63M$20.89M$19.85M$19.94M$19.45M$17.99M$17.92M$19.15M$18.90M$17.15M$11.70M$17.62M$21.50M$17.71M$10.64M$23.59M$15.56M$12.97M
Low Forecast$24.37M$23.43M$23.45M$23.78M$22.49M$21.53M$21.46M$21.25M$20.52M$19.47M$19.59M$19.11M$17.73M$17.60M$18.81M$18.57M$16.85M$7.80M$17.62M$14.33M$16.71M$7.09M$15.73M$10.38M$12.23M
Surprise %-------------5.18%-3.33%1.45%1.14%1.17%2.77%-1.11%0.56%1.20%0.79%1.25%-3.45%

3 analysts predict CERT's average Quarter EBITDA for Sep 23 to be $17.78M, with a high of $17.92M and a low of $17.60M. This is -35.53% lower than Certara's previous annual EBITDA (Jun 23) of $27.58M.

Certara Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20
# Analysts3333444436336333442122222
Net Income------------$-12.46M$-48.97M$4.71M$1.36M$9.17M$3.94M-$2.21M$-9.70M$-1.76M$-2.86M$1.05M$-54.45M
Avg Forecast$25.07M$23.59M$18.18M$23.83M$22.66M$20.94M$18.80M$20.83M$19.97M$17.28M$16.47M$16.53M$17.57M$17.54M$20.12M$19.51M$20.85M$-1.62M$15.35M$1.99M$13.62M$-1.47M$-3.60M$841.60K$1.17M
High Forecast$25.32M$23.82M$18.36M$24.07M$22.88M$21.15M$18.98M$21.03M$20.17M$18.85M$16.63M$16.69M$22.37M$17.71M$20.31M$19.70M$21.05M$-1.29M$15.35M$2.39M$14.18M$-1.17M$-2.88M$1.01M$1.22M
Low Forecast$24.74M$23.28M$17.94M$23.52M$22.36M$20.66M$18.55M$20.55M$19.71M$15.71M$16.25M$16.31M$12.78M$17.30M$19.85M$19.25M$20.57M$-1.94M$15.35M$1.59M$13.14M$-1.76M$-4.32M$673.28K$1.13M
Surprise %-------------0.71%-2.79%0.23%0.07%0.44%-2.44%-1.11%-0.71%1.20%0.79%1.25%-46.56%

Certara's average Quarter net income forecast for Sep 23 is $17.54M, with a range of $17.30M to $17.71M. CERT's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 272.65% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $4.71M (Jun 23).

Certara SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20
# Analysts3333444436336333442122222
SG&A------------$42.28M$35.00M$22.36M$27.77M$26.13M$23.70M-$24.45M$25.46M$31.28M$22.62M$20.31M$62.79M
Avg Forecast$40.72M$39.15M$39.18M$39.73M$37.58M$35.98M$35.86M$35.50M$34.29M$32.58M$32.74M$31.93M$29.55M$29.41M$31.43M$31.02M$28.15M$28.67M$29.14M$22.00M$28.39M$26.07M$28.50M$16.25M$20.79M
High Forecast$41.03M$39.44M$39.48M$40.03M$37.86M$36.25M$36.13M$35.77M$34.55M$32.83M$32.98M$32.17M$29.76M$29.63M$31.67M$31.26M$28.36M$34.41M$29.14M$26.41M$29.29M$31.28M$34.21M$19.50M$21.45M
Low Forecast$40.30M$38.74M$38.78M$39.32M$37.19M$35.61M$35.50M$35.13M$33.94M$32.20M$32.40M$31.60M$29.32M$29.11M$31.11M$30.71M$27.86M$22.94M$29.14M$17.60M$27.63M$20.85M$22.80M$13.00M$20.23M
Surprise %------------1.43%1.19%0.71%0.90%0.93%0.83%-1.11%0.90%1.20%0.79%1.25%3.02%

Certara's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $31.93M, based on 3 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $31.60M to $32.17M. The forecast indicates a -24.48% fall compared to CERT last annual SG&A of $42.28M (Dec 23).

Certara EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20
# Analysts3333444436336333442122222
EPS------------$-0.08$-0.31$0.03$0.01$0.06$0.03-$0.01$-0.06$-0.01$-0.02$0.01$-0.40
Avg Forecast$0.16$0.15$0.11$0.15$0.14$0.13$0.12$0.13$0.12$0.11$0.10$0.10$0.11$0.11$0.13$0.12$0.13$0.12$0.10$0.11$0.09$0.06$0.05$0.05$0.01
High Forecast$0.16$0.15$0.11$0.15$0.14$0.13$0.12$0.13$0.13$0.12$0.10$0.10$0.14$0.11$0.13$0.12$0.13$0.12$0.10$0.11$0.09$0.06$0.05$0.05$0.01
Low Forecast$0.15$0.15$0.11$0.15$0.14$0.13$0.12$0.13$0.12$0.10$0.10$0.10$0.08$0.11$0.12$0.12$0.13$0.12$0.10$0.10$0.08$0.06$0.05$0.04$0.01
Surprise %-------------0.72%-2.84%0.24%0.08%0.46%0.26%-0.09%-0.73%-0.17%-0.40%0.22%-54.53%

According to 3 Wall Street analysts, Certara's projected average Quarter EPS for Sep 23 is $0.11, with a low estimate of $0.11 and a high estimate of $0.11. This represents a 264.20% increase compared to CERT previous annual EPS of $0.03 (Jun 23).

Certara Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
HCATHealth Catalyst$8.70$29.25236.21%Buy
CERTCertara$10.83$21.75100.83%Hold
PRVAPrivia Health Group$18.80$33.8279.89%Buy
EVHEvolent Health$30.54$44.0044.07%Buy
HQYHealthEquity$78.80$97.0023.10%Buy
CMAXCareMax$2.19$2.6018.72%Hold

CERT Forecast FAQ


No, according to 3 Wall Street analysts, Certara (CERT) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 1 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 33.33% of CERT's total ratings.

Certara (CERT) average price target is $21.75 with a range of $16 to $28, implying a 100.83% from its last price of $10.83. The data is based on 3 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for CERT stock, the company can go up by 100.83% (from the last price of $10.83 to the average price target of $21.75), up by 158.54% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 47.74% based on the lowest stock price target.

CERT's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $21.75 supports the claim that Certara can reach $20 in the near future.

Certara's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $425.02M (high $428.22M, low $420.66M), average EBITDA is $87.63M (high $88.29M, low $86.73M), average net income is $83.23M (high $84.04M, low $82.12M), average SG&A $144.92M (high $146.01M, low $143.43M), and average EPS is $0.519 (high $0.524, low $0.512). CERT's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $465.67M (high $469.18M, low $460.9M), average EBITDA is $96.01M (high $96.74M, low $95.03M), average net income is $90.68M (high $91.57M, low $89.47M), average SG&A $158.78M (high $159.97M, low $157.15M), and average EPS is $0.565 (high $0.57, low $0.557).

Based on Certara's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $354.34M, which missed the average analysts forecast of $356.1M by -0.49%. Apple's EBITDA was $-76.507M, missing the average prediction of $73.42M by -204.20%. The company's net income was $-55.357M, missing the average estimation of $74.74M by -174.07%. Apple's SG&A was $127.41M, beating the average forecast of $121.42M by 4.93%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-0.35, missing the average prediction of $0.466 by -175.17%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), Certara's revenue was $88.01M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $86.68M by 1.54%. The company's EBITDA was $-92.538M, missing the average prediction of $17.87M by -617.81%. Certara's net income was $-12.456M, missing the average estimation of $17.57M by -170.88%. The company's SG&A was $42.28M, beating the average forecast of $29.55M by 43.06%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-0.0784, missing the average prediction of $0.109 by -171.60%