Certara (CERT) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
CERT Stock Forecast
Certara stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $19.33 (represents a 102.41% upside from CERT’s last price of $9.55) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 4 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
CERT Price Target
The average price target for Certara (CERT) is $19.33 based on 1-year price targets from 4 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $28.00 to $13.00. This represents a potential 102.41% upside from CERT's last price of $9.55.
CERT Analyst Ratings
According to 4 Wall Street analysts, Certara's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for CERT stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 2 'Buy' (50.00%), 2 'Hold' (50.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Certara Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 05, 2024 | Joe Vruwink | Robert W. Baird | $13.00 | $10.31 | 26.09% | 36.13% |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Dan Leonard | UBS | $16.00 | $10.70 | 49.53% | 67.54% |
| Jun 28, 2024 | Luke Sergott | Barclays | $16.00 | $13.65 | 17.22% | 67.54% |
| Apr 10, 2024 | Scott Schoenhaus | KeyBanc | $23.00 | $18.51 | 24.26% | 140.84% |
| Nov 14, 2022 | - | Credit Suisse | $20.00 | $14.65 | 36.52% | 109.42% |
| Jul 01, 2022 | Jeff Garro | Piper Sandler | $28.00 | $21.46 | 30.48% | 193.19% |
The latest Certara stock forecast, released on Nov 05, 2024 by Joe Vruwink from Robert W. Baird, set a price target of $13.00, which represents a 26.09% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($10.31), and a 36.13% increase from CERT last price ($9.55).
Certara Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Avg Price Target | $13.00 | $14.50 | $17.00 |
| Last Closing Price | $9.55 | $9.55 | $9.55 |
| Upside/Downside | 36.13% | 51.83% | 78.01% |
In the current month, the average price target of Certara stock is $13.00, according to 1 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 36.13% increase as opposed to Certara's last price of $9.55. This month's average price target is down -10.34% compared to last quarter, and down -23.53% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2024 | UBS | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Sep 27, 2024 | UBS | - | Buy | Upgrade |
| Jun 28, 2024 | Barclays | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
| Apr 10, 2024 | KeyBanc | - | Overweight | Upgrade |
| Apr 04, 2024 | JMP Securities | - | Market Perform | Initialise |
Certara's last stock rating was published by UBS on Sep 27, 2024. The company gave CERT a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.
Certara Financial Forecast
Certara Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $88.01M | $85.58M | $90.45M | $90.30M | $86.63M | $84.70M | $82.76M | $81.55M | $75.35M | $73.94M | $70.10M | $66.72M | $64.64M |
| Avg Forecast | $117.02M | $115.26M | $115.44M | $115.64M | $108.21M | $105.95M | $105.79M | $104.63M | $97.92M | $95.51M | $96.01M | $93.64M | $86.68M | $86.25M | $92.18M | $90.99M | $82.55M | $81.68M | $85.46M | $79.88M | $83.26M | $72.82M | $69.52M | $64.94M | $60.97M |
| High Forecast | $119.40M | $117.60M | $117.80M | $117.99M | $110.41M | $108.10M | $107.95M | $106.76M | $99.08M | $95.52M | $96.01M | $93.64M | $87.28M | $86.25M | $94.06M | $92.84M | $84.23M | $81.68M | $85.46M | $79.88M | $83.26M | $72.82M | $69.52M | $64.94M | $60.97M |
| Low Forecast | $112.57M | $110.87M | $111.06M | $111.24M | $104.09M | $101.92M | $101.77M | $100.66M | $95.97M | $95.49M | $96.01M | $93.64M | $85.98M | $86.25M | $88.68M | $87.53M | $79.41M | $81.68M | $85.46M | $79.88M | $83.26M | $72.82M | $69.52M | $64.94M | $60.97M |
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.02% | 0.99% | 0.98% | 0.99% | 1.05% | 1.04% | 0.97% | 1.02% | 0.90% | 1.02% | 1.01% | 1.03% | 1.06% |
Certara's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 3 analysts is $93.64M, with a low forecast of $93.64M, and a high forecast of $93.64M. CERT's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 6.40% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $88.01M (Dec 23).
Certara EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-92.54M | $-59.15M | $27.58M | $21.47M | $19.91M | $26.98M | $19.80M | $19.91M | $9.55M | $10.64M | $15.61M | $16.21M | $-43.33M |
| Avg Forecast | $21.07M | $20.75M | $20.79M | $20.82M | $19.48M | $19.08M | $19.05M | $18.84M | $17.63M | $17.20M | $17.29M | $16.86M | $15.61M | $15.53M | $16.60M | $16.38M | $14.86M | $16.84M | $17.62M | $17.92M | $17.17M | $15.01M | $14.33M | $12.97M | $12.57M |
| High Forecast | $21.50M | $21.18M | $21.21M | $21.25M | $19.88M | $19.47M | $19.44M | $19.22M | $17.84M | $17.20M | $17.29M | $16.86M | $15.71M | $15.53M | $16.94M | $16.72M | $15.17M | $16.84M | $17.62M | $21.50M | $17.17M | $15.01M | $14.33M | $15.56M | $12.57M |
| Low Forecast | $20.27M | $19.96M | $20.00M | $20.03M | $18.74M | $18.35M | $18.33M | $18.12M | $17.28M | $17.19M | $17.29M | $16.86M | $15.48M | $15.53M | $15.97M | $15.76M | $14.30M | $16.84M | $17.62M | $14.33M | $17.17M | $15.01M | $14.33M | $10.38M | $12.57M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -5.93% | -3.81% | 1.66% | 1.31% | 1.34% | 1.60% | 1.12% | 1.11% | 0.56% | 0.71% | 1.09% | 1.25% | -3.45% |
3 analysts predict CERT's average Quarter EBITDA for Sep 23 to be $15.53M, with a high of $15.53M and a low of $15.53M. This is -43.70% lower than Certara's previous annual EBITDA (Jun 23) of $27.58M.
Certara Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-12.46M | $-48.97M | $4.71M | $1.36M | $9.17M | $3.94M | $-589.00K | $2.21M | $-9.70M | $-1.76M | $-2.86M | $1.05M | $-54.45M |
| Avg Forecast | $25.64M | $25.50M | $23.60M | $23.74M | $21.90M | $20.93M | $19.46M | $19.20M | $19.61M | $17.33M | $16.48M | $16.54M | $17.59M | $17.55M | $20.13M | $19.53M | $20.86M | $18.76M | $15.44M | $1.99M | $13.71M | $9.23M | $7.99M | $841.60K | $1.18M |
| High Forecast | $26.31M | $26.17M | $24.23M | $24.37M | $22.48M | $21.48M | $19.97M | $19.71M | $21.11M | $18.04M | $16.51M | $16.54M | $22.39M | $17.57M | $20.67M | $20.04M | $21.42M | $18.76M | $15.44M | $2.39M | $13.71M | $9.23M | $7.99M | $1.01M | $1.18M |
| Low Forecast | $24.37M | $24.24M | $22.44M | $22.57M | $20.82M | $19.89M | $18.49M | $18.25M | $18.10M | $16.62M | $16.45M | $16.54M | $12.79M | $17.53M | $19.14M | $18.56M | $19.83M | $18.76M | $15.44M | $1.59M | $13.71M | $9.23M | $7.99M | $673.28K | $1.18M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.71% | -2.79% | 0.23% | 0.07% | 0.44% | 0.21% | -0.04% | 1.11% | -0.71% | -0.19% | -0.36% | 1.25% | -46.25% |
Certara's average Quarter net income forecast for Sep 23 is $17.55M, with a range of $17.53M to $17.57M. CERT's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 272.97% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $4.71M (Jun 23).
Certara SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $42.28M | $35.00M | $22.36M | $27.77M | $26.13M | $23.70M | $24.90M | $24.45M | $25.46M | $31.28M | $22.62M | $20.31M | $62.79M |
| Avg Forecast | $40.42M | $39.81M | $39.87M | $39.94M | $37.37M | $36.59M | $36.54M | $36.14M | $33.82M | $32.99M | $33.16M | $32.34M | $29.94M | $29.79M | $31.84M | $31.43M | $28.51M | $27.85M | $29.14M | $22.00M | $28.39M | $24.83M | $23.70M | $16.25M | $20.79M |
| High Forecast | $41.24M | $40.62M | $40.69M | $40.75M | $38.13M | $37.34M | $37.28M | $36.88M | $34.22M | $32.99M | $33.16M | $32.34M | $30.14M | $29.79M | $32.49M | $32.07M | $29.09M | $27.85M | $29.14M | $26.41M | $28.39M | $24.83M | $23.70M | $19.50M | $20.79M |
| Low Forecast | $38.88M | $38.29M | $38.36M | $38.42M | $35.95M | $35.20M | $35.15M | $34.77M | $33.15M | $32.98M | $33.16M | $32.34M | $29.70M | $29.79M | $30.63M | $30.23M | $27.43M | $27.85M | $29.14M | $17.60M | $28.39M | $24.83M | $23.70M | $13.00M | $20.79M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.41% | 1.17% | 0.70% | 0.88% | 0.92% | 0.85% | 0.85% | 1.11% | 0.90% | 1.26% | 0.95% | 1.25% | 3.02% |
Certara's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $32.34M, based on 3 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $32.34M to $32.34M. The forecast indicates a -23.50% fall compared to CERT last annual SG&A of $42.28M (Dec 23).
Certara EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-0.08 | $-0.31 | $0.03 | $0.01 | $0.06 | $0.03 | $-0.00 | $0.01 | $-0.06 | $-0.01 | $-0.02 | $0.01 | $-0.40 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.16 | $0.16 | $0.15 | $0.15 | $0.14 | $0.13 | $0.12 | $0.12 | $0.12 | $0.11 | $0.10 | $0.10 | $0.11 | $0.11 | $0.13 | $0.12 | $0.13 | $0.12 | $0.10 | $0.11 | $0.09 | $0.06 | $0.05 | $0.05 | $0.01 |
| High Forecast | $0.16 | $0.16 | $0.15 | $0.15 | $0.14 | $0.13 | $0.12 | $0.12 | $0.13 | $0.11 | $0.10 | $0.10 | $0.14 | $0.11 | $0.13 | $0.12 | $0.13 | $0.12 | $0.10 | $0.11 | $0.09 | $0.06 | $0.05 | $0.05 | $0.01 |
| Low Forecast | $0.15 | $0.15 | $0.14 | $0.14 | $0.13 | $0.12 | $0.12 | $0.11 | $0.11 | $0.10 | $0.10 | $0.10 | $0.08 | $0.11 | $0.12 | $0.12 | $0.12 | $0.12 | $0.10 | $0.11 | $0.09 | $0.06 | $0.05 | $0.05 | $0.01 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.72% | -2.84% | 0.24% | 0.08% | 0.46% | 0.26% | -0.04% | 0.09% | -0.73% | -0.17% | -0.40% | 0.22% | -54.53% |
According to 3 Wall Street analysts, Certara's projected average Quarter EPS for Sep 23 is $0.11, with a low estimate of $0.11 and a high estimate of $0.11. This represents a 264.20% increase compared to CERT previous annual EPS of $0.03 (Jun 23).
Certara Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HCAT | Health Catalyst | $7.36 | $29.25 | 297.42% | Buy |
| EVH | Evolent Health | $11.31 | $40.86 | 261.27% | Buy |
| CMAX | CareMax | $0.74 | $2.60 | 251.35% | Hold |
| CERT | Certara | $9.55 | $19.33 | 102.41% | Buy |
| PRVA | Privia Health Group | $20.79 | $33.82 | 62.67% | Buy |
| HQY | HealthEquity | $102.96 | $97.00 | -5.79% | Buy |
| HSTM | HealthStream | $31.30 | $29.00 | -7.35% | Buy |