Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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CBSH Stock Forecast


Commerce Bancshares stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $60.20 (represents a -2.87% downside from CBSH’s last price of $61.98) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 8 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

CBSH Price Target


The average price target for Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) is $60.20 based on 1-year price targets from 8 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $66.00 to $54.00. This represents a potential -2.87% downside from CBSH's last price of $61.98.

CBSH Analyst Ratings


Hold

According to 8 Wall Street analysts, Commerce Bancshares's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for CBSH stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 1 'Buy' (12.50%), 7 'Hold' (87.50%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Commerce Bancshares Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Aug 05, 2024Manan GosaliaMorgan Stanley$66.00$61.008.20%6.49%
Jul 03, 2024Ken UsdinJefferies$62.00$55.8710.97%0.03%
Apr 17, 2024Nathan RacePiper Sandler$54.00$52.013.83%-12.88%
Apr 17, 2024David LongRaymond James$61.00$52.0117.29%-1.58%
Apr 17, 2024Brandon BermanNeuberger Berman$58.00$52.0111.52%-6.42%
Sep 27, 2023Manan GosaliaMorgan Stanley$44.44$42.614.30%-28.29%
Dec 07, 2022-Morgan Stanley$70.48$67.304.73%13.71%
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The latest Commerce Bancshares stock forecast, released on Aug 05, 2024 by Manan Gosalia from Morgan Stanley, set a price target of $66.00, which represents a 8.20% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($61.00), and a 6.49% increase from CBSH last price ($61.98).

Commerce Bancshares Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-26
Avg Price Target-$64.00$57.57
Last Closing Price$61.98$61.98$61.98
Upside/Downside-100.00%3.26%-7.12%

In the current month, the average price target of Commerce Bancshares stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Commerce Bancshares's last price of $61.98. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Jul 22, 2024Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Jul 22, 2024Wells FargoEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Jul 03, 2024JefferiesHoldHoldHold
May 10, 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMarket PerformMarket PerformHold
Apr 17, 2024Piper SandlerNeutralNeutralHold
Apr 17, 2024Raymond James-OutperformUpgrade
Apr 17, 2024Bank of America SecuritiesNeutralNeutralHold
Sep 27, 2023Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightUnderperformUpgrade
Dec 07, 2022Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Apr 25, 2022Zacks Investment Research-HoldDowngrade
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Commerce Bancshares's last stock rating was published by Morgan Stanley on Jul 22, 2024. The company gave CBSH a "Equal-Weight" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Commerce Bancshares Financial Forecast


Commerce Bancshares Revenue Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
Revenue---------$395.79M$400.54M$388.93M$400.37M$388.30M-$347.72M$345.65M$364.65M$363.93M$351.65M$357.19M$361.69M$316.44M$311.43M$345.87M$341.16M$338.78M$323.80M$338.18M$335.77M
Avg Forecast$424.25M$422.45M$418.58M$413.57M$419.86M$419.25M$406.88M$389.49M$386.34M$391.77M$391.15M$382.56M$394.97M$383.33M$361.12M$348.21M$353.62M$349.87M$350.46M$347.13M$345.77M$333.87M$324.57M$329.43M$336.93M$337.06M$339.14M$335.67M$330.75M$314.14M
High Forecast$428.05M$426.23M$422.32M$417.27M$423.62M$423.13M$410.52M$392.98M$388.78M$395.27M$394.65M$385.98M$398.50M$386.76M$361.12M$352.75M$358.22M$354.43M$355.02M$351.65M$350.28M$338.22M$328.80M$333.72M$341.32M$341.45M$343.56M$340.04M$396.89M$376.96M
Low Forecast$420.36M$418.57M$414.73M$409.77M$416.01M$412.49M$403.14M$385.92M$382.77M$388.17M$387.56M$379.04M$391.34M$379.81M$361.12M$341.28M$346.57M$342.90M$343.48M$340.21M$338.89M$327.22M$318.11M$322.87M$330.22M$330.35M$332.39M$328.98M$264.60M$251.31M
# Analysts1111242454443311221491016910881181816
Surprise %---------1.01%1.02%1.02%1.01%1.01%-1.00%0.98%1.04%1.04%1.01%1.03%1.08%0.97%0.95%1.03%1.01%1.00%0.96%1.02%1.07%

Commerce Bancshares's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 5 analysts is $386.34M, with a low forecast of $382.77M, and a high forecast of $388.78M. CBSH's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -2.39% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $395.79M (Sep 23).

Commerce Bancshares EBITDA Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
# Analysts1111242454443311221491016910881181816
EBITDA---------$154.03M$163.78M$209.50M$209.37M$184.76M-$164.86M$162.80M$171.20M$221.83M$178.38M$179.24M$185.12M$70.53M$93.03M$169.52M$177.01M$173.98M$154.34M$166.66M$165.86M
Avg Forecast$149.79M$149.16M$147.79M$146.02M$148.24M$148.03M$143.66M$179.08M$136.41M$138.32M$138.11M$162.80M$139.45M$178.90M$127.50M$148.00M$162.80M$162.64M$143.54M$148.33M$146.83M$84.36M$96.65M$111.64M$175.29M$166.95M$170.07M$163.31M$162.91M$154.43M
High Forecast$151.13M$150.49M$149.11M$147.33M$149.57M$149.40M$144.94M$214.90M$137.27M$139.56M$139.34M$195.36M$140.70M$214.68M$127.50M$177.60M$195.36M$195.16M$172.25M$178.00M$176.19M$101.23M$115.98M$133.96M$210.35M$200.34M$204.08M$195.98M$195.49M$185.31M
Low Forecast$148.42M$147.79M$146.43M$144.68M$146.88M$145.64M$142.34M$143.27M$135.15M$137.05M$136.84M$130.24M$138.17M$143.12M$127.50M$118.40M$130.24M$130.11M$114.83M$118.67M$117.46M$67.49M$77.32M$89.31M$140.24M$133.56M$136.06M$130.65M$130.33M$123.54M
Surprise %---------1.11%1.19%1.29%1.50%1.03%-1.11%1.00%1.05%1.55%1.20%1.22%2.19%0.73%0.83%0.97%1.06%1.02%0.95%1.02%1.07%

5 analysts predict CBSH's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $136.41M, with a high of $137.27M and a low of $135.15M. This is -11.44% lower than Commerce Bancshares's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $154.03M.

Commerce Bancshares Net Income Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
# Analysts1111242454443311221491016910881181816
Net Income---------$120.60M$127.79M$119.45M$131.63M$122.82M-$118.15M$115.36M$122.56M$162.33M$130.97M$129.89M$132.45M$39.86M$51.86M$106.88M$109.24M$107.97M$97.14M$109.65M$112.58M
Avg Forecast$127.24M$127.25M$124.36M$119.41M$125.72M$129.90M$121.05M$128.34M$105.62M$114.13M$115.14M$116.68M$125.49M$128.08M$110.48M$106.07M$114.91M$116.43M$105.03M$108.91M$106.40M$60.36M$54.63M$62.23M$110.52M$103.04M$105.54M$102.79M$107.19M$104.81M
High Forecast$128.72M$128.73M$125.81M$120.80M$127.18M$136.39M$122.46M$154.01M$112.06M$115.45M$116.48M$140.01M$126.95M$153.69M$110.48M$127.28M$137.89M$139.72M$126.04M$130.70M$127.68M$72.43M$65.55M$74.67M$132.63M$123.64M$126.65M$123.34M$128.63M$125.77M
Low Forecast$125.72M$125.73M$122.88M$117.98M$124.22M$122.10M$119.61M$102.68M$101.76M$112.76M$113.76M$93.34M$123.99M$102.46M$110.48M$84.86M$91.92M$93.15M$84.03M$87.13M$85.12M$48.29M$43.70M$49.78M$88.42M$82.43M$84.44M$82.23M$85.75M$83.85M
Surprise %---------1.06%1.11%1.02%1.05%0.96%-1.11%1.00%1.05%1.55%1.20%1.22%2.19%0.73%0.83%0.97%1.06%1.02%0.95%1.02%1.07%

Commerce Bancshares's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $105.62M, with a range of $101.76M to $112.06M. CBSH's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -12.42% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $120.60M (Sep 23).

Commerce Bancshares SG&A Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
# Analysts1111242454443311221491016910881181816
SG&A---------$152.97M$151.80M$149.84M$176.31M$176.25M-$174.03M$168.24M$168.57M$165.42M$163.78M$163.53M$159.99M$158.82M$163.13M$161.29M$160.07M$156.29M$157.16M$155.23M$151.52M
Avg Forecast$187.59M$186.79M$185.08M$182.87M$185.65M$185.38M$179.91M$189.04M$170.82M$173.23M$172.95M$171.85M$174.64M$176.16M$159.67M$156.23M$168.24M$160.15M$107.04M$136.20M$133.95M$72.91M$217.65M$195.75M$166.79M$150.97M$152.78M$166.30M$151.74M$141.07M
High Forecast$189.27M$188.46M$186.74M$184.50M$187.31M$187.09M$181.52M$226.84M$171.90M$174.78M$174.50M$206.22M$176.20M$211.39M$159.67M$187.47M$201.89M$192.18M$128.44M$163.43M$160.74M$87.49M$261.18M$234.91M$200.14M$181.17M$183.34M$199.56M$182.09M$169.28M
Low Forecast$185.87M$185.08M$183.38M$181.19M$183.94M$182.39M$178.26M$151.23M$169.25M$171.63M$171.36M$137.48M$173.04M$140.93M$159.67M$124.98M$134.59M$128.12M$85.63M$108.96M$107.16M$58.33M$174.12M$156.60M$133.43M$120.78M$122.22M$133.04M$121.39M$112.86M
Surprise %---------0.88%0.88%0.87%1.01%1.00%-1.11%1.00%1.05%1.55%1.20%1.22%2.19%0.73%0.83%0.97%1.06%1.02%0.95%1.02%1.07%

Commerce Bancshares's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $170.82M, based on 5 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $169.25M to $171.90M. The forecast indicates a 11.67% rise compared to CBSH last annual SG&A of $152.97M (Sep 23).

Commerce Bancshares EPS Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
# Analysts1111242454443311221491016910881181816
EPS---------$0.96$1.03$0.95$1.05$0.98-$0.92$0.90$0.95$1.25$1.02$1.01$1.03$0.31$0.40$0.82$0.82$0.81$0.72$0.81$0.82
Avg Forecast$0.99$0.99$0.97$0.93$0.98$1.01$0.94$0.80$0.82$0.89$0.90$0.88$0.98$0.94$0.86$0.80$0.86$0.85$0.88$0.82$0.80$0.58$0.45$0.45$0.72$0.72$0.74$0.71$0.87$0.81
High Forecast$1.00$1.00$0.98$0.94$0.99$1.06$0.95$0.81$0.87$0.90$0.91$0.89$0.99$0.95$0.86$0.81$0.88$0.87$0.89$0.84$0.81$0.59$0.46$0.46$0.73$0.73$0.75$0.72$1.04$0.97
Low Forecast$0.98$0.98$0.96$0.92$0.97$0.95$0.93$0.79$0.79$0.88$0.88$0.87$0.96$0.93$0.86$0.77$0.84$0.83$0.86$0.80$0.78$0.56$0.44$0.44$0.70$0.70$0.72$0.69$0.70$0.65
Surprise %---------1.08%1.15%1.08%1.08%1.04%-1.16%1.04%1.12%1.43%1.23%1.26%1.77%0.68%0.88%1.15%1.14%1.10%1.01%0.93%1.02%

According to 5 Wall Street analysts, Commerce Bancshares's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $0.82, with a low estimate of $0.79 and a high estimate of $0.87. This represents a -14.45% decrease compared to CBSH previous annual EPS of $0.96 (Sep 23).

Commerce Bancshares Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
CFFNCapitol Federal Financial$5.84$7.0019.86%Hold
MRBKMeridian$11.42$13.0013.84%Hold
UBSIUnited Bankshares$37.10$41.0010.51%Hold
BFSTBusiness First Bancshares$25.63$28.009.25%Buy
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares$36.77$39.006.06%Hold
PBProsperity Bancshares$72.52$76.435.39%Buy
TCBITexas Capital Bancshares$70.13$73.004.09%Buy
BOKFBOK Financial$102.96$105.382.35%Hold
NBTBNBT Bancorp$44.83$45.501.49%Hold
FBNCFirst Bancorp$42.43$43.001.34%Buy
GBCIGlacier Bancorp$44.35$44.25-0.23%Hold
UMBFUMB Financial$105.12$104.67-0.43%Hold
FFBCFirst Financial Ban$25.14$25.00-0.56%Hold
CBSHCommerce Bancshares$61.98$60.20-2.87%Hold
FMBHFirst Mid Bancshares$39.32$38.00-3.36%Strong Buy
BANFBancFirst$104.72$95.00-9.28%Sell
BHLBBerkshire Hills Bancorp$26.50$23.50-11.32%Hold
FISIFinancial Institutions$25.57$19.50-23.74%Hold

CBSH Forecast FAQ


No, according to 8 Wall Street analysts, Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 1 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 12.50% of CBSH's total ratings.

Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) average price target is $60.2 with a range of $54 to $66, implying a -2.87% from its last price of $61.98. The data is based on 8 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for CBSH stock, the company can go down by -2.87% (from the last price of $61.98 to the average price target of $60.2), up by 6.49% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -12.88% based on the lowest stock price target.

CBSH's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $60.2 does not support the claim that Commerce Bancshares can reach $90 in the near future.

Commerce Bancshares's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2024) are as follows: average revenue is $1.64B (high $1.65B, low $1.62B), average EBITDA is $619.01M (high $658.81M, low $578.13M), average net income is $505.01M (high $540.05M, low $468.6M), average SG&A $739.97M (high $782.76M, low $695.82M), and average EPS is $3.73 (high $3.81, low $3.64). CBSH's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $1.68B (high $1.69B, low $1.66B), average EBITDA is $592.76M (high $598.07M, low $587.32M), average net income is $498.25M (high $504.05M, low $492.31M), average SG&A $742.33M (high $748.97M, low $735.51M), and average EPS is $3.87 (high $3.92, low $3.83).

Based on Commerce Bancshares's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $1.51B, beating the average analysts forecast of $1.49B by 1.45%. Apple's EBITDA was $724.41M, beating the average prediction of $593.86M by 21.98%. The company's net income was $488.4M, beating the average estimation of $470.11M by 3.89%. Apple's SG&A was $706.67M, beating the average forecast of $666.7M by 5.99%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $3.81, beating the average prediction of $3.56 by 6.88%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Commerce Bancshares's revenue was $395.79M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $391.77M by 1.03%. The company's EBITDA was $154.04M, beating the average prediction of $138.32M by 11.36%. Commerce Bancshares's net income was $120.6M, beating the average estimation of $114.13M by 5.67%. The company's SG&A was $152.97M, missing the average forecast of $173.23M by -11.69%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.96, beating the average prediction of $0.887 by 8.18%