TopBuild (BLD) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
BLD Stock Forecast
TopBuild stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $396.50 (represents a 12.93% upside from BLD’s last price of $351.10) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 6 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
BLD Price Target
The average price target for TopBuild (BLD) is $396.50 based on 1-year price targets from 6 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $527.00 to $190.00. This represents a potential 12.93% upside from BLD's last price of $351.10.
BLD Analyst Ratings
According to 6 Wall Street analysts, TopBuild's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for BLD stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 5 'Buy' (83.33%), 1 'Hold' (16.67%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
TopBuild Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 06, 2024 | Kurt Yinger | D.A. Davidson | $450.00 | $370.98 | 21.30% | 28.17% |
| Nov 05, 2024 | Keith Hughes | Truist Financial | $395.00 | $370.98 | 6.48% | 12.50% |
| Oct 09, 2024 | Philip Ng | Jefferies | $515.00 | $391.44 | 31.57% | 46.68% |
| Aug 08, 2024 | Jeffrey Stevenson | Loop Capital Markets | $445.00 | $370.69 | 20.05% | 26.74% |
| Aug 08, 2024 | Trey Grooms | Stephens | $400.00 | $365.50 | 9.44% | 13.93% |
| May 07, 2024 | Philip Ng | Jefferies | $482.00 | $405.68 | 18.81% | 37.28% |
| Apr 02, 2024 | Stephen Kim | Evercore ISI | $527.00 | $438.35 | 20.22% | 50.10% |
| Aug 04, 2023 | Keith Hughes | Truist Financial | $340.00 | $295.12 | 15.21% | -3.16% |
| Jul 15, 2022 | - | J.P. Morgan | $190.00 | $178.75 | 6.30% | -45.88% |
| May 06, 2022 | - | Credit Suisse | $250.00 | $195.45 | 27.91% | -28.80% |
The latest TopBuild stock forecast, released on Nov 06, 2024 by Kurt Yinger from D.A. Davidson, set a price target of $450.00, which represents a 21.30% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($370.98), and a 28.17% increase from BLD last price ($351.10).
TopBuild Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| Avg Price Target | $422.50 | $453.33 | $459.14 |
| Last Closing Price | $351.10 | $351.10 | $351.10 |
| Upside/Downside | 20.34% | 29.12% | 30.77% |
In the current month, the average price target of TopBuild stock is $422.50, according to 2 Wall Street analysts offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 20.34% increase as opposed to TopBuild's last price of $351.10. This month's average price target is down -6.80% compared to last quarter, and down -7.98% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Aug 08, 2024 | Loop Capital Markets | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Aug 08, 2024 | Stephens | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jul 15, 2024 | Evercore ISI | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| May 07, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Apr 02, 2024 | Evercore ISI | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Jan 08, 2024 | Loop Capital Markets | - | Buy | Upgrade |
| Nov 09, 2023 | Evercore ISI | - | Outperform | Upgrade |
| Jan 10, 2023 | Deutsche Bank | - | Buy | Upgrade |
TopBuild's last stock rating was published by Jefferies on Oct 09, 2024. The company gave BLD a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.
TopBuild Financial Forecast
TopBuild Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Oct 26 | Jul 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Oct 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.27B | $1.26B | - | - | $1.17B | $1.06B | - | - | $742.80M | $721.49M | - | - | $653.23M | $662.35M | - |
| Avg Forecast | $2.10B | $2.01B | $1.92B | $1.84B | $1.37B | $1.43B | $1.38B | $1.29B | $1.32B | $1.39B | $1.40B | $1.30B | $1.29B | $1.29B | $1.26B | $1.26B | $1.24B | $1.21B | $1.18B | $1.07B | $1.02B | $888.43M | $811.76M | $739.88M | $714.26M | $703.39M | $610.10M | $653.24M | $675.95M | $673.76M |
| High Forecast | $2.15B | $2.05B | $1.96B | $1.87B | $1.40B | $1.46B | $1.41B | $1.31B | $1.36B | $1.40B | $1.40B | $1.33B | $1.31B | $1.29B | $1.29B | $1.28B | $1.27B | $1.21B | $1.18B | $1.07B | $1.02B | $888.43M | $811.76M | $739.88M | $714.26M | $703.39M | $610.10M | $653.24M | $675.95M | $673.76M |
| Low Forecast | $2.05B | $1.96B | $1.88B | $1.79B | $1.34B | $1.39B | $1.35B | $1.28B | $1.28B | $1.39B | $1.40B | $1.27B | $1.27B | $1.29B | $1.24B | $1.23B | $1.21B | $1.21B | $1.18B | $1.07B | $1.02B | $888.43M | $811.76M | $739.88M | $714.26M | $703.39M | $610.10M | $653.24M | $675.95M | $673.76M |
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.01% | 1.02% | - | - | 1.09% | 1.04% | - | - | 1.00% | 1.01% | - | - | 1.00% | 0.98% | - |
TopBuild's average Quarter revenue forecast for Jul 23 based on 7 analysts is $1.26B, with a low forecast of $1.24B, and a high forecast of $1.29B. BLD's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -0.07% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.27B (Mar 23).
TopBuild EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Oct 26 | Jul 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Oct 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $233.45M | $204.70M | - | - | $195.14M | $146.65M | - | - | $97.62M | $118.05M | - | - | $84.42M | $90.68M | - |
| Avg Forecast | $347.43M | $332.08M | $317.41M | $303.39M | $227.01M | $235.66M | $227.67M | $212.51M | $217.95M | $230.43M | $231.50M | $198.73M | $212.92M | $212.50M | $208.99M | $180.66M | $150.26M | $199.31M | $195.19M | $142.82M | $169.30M | $146.86M | $134.18M | $92.00M | $118.06M | $116.27M | $100.85M | $76.31M | $111.73M | $111.37M |
| High Forecast | $354.63M | $338.96M | $323.99M | $309.68M | $231.71M | $240.54M | $232.39M | $215.83M | $224.46M | $231.12M | $231.50M | $238.48M | $216.25M | $212.50M | $213.32M | $216.80M | $180.31M | $199.31M | $195.19M | $171.38M | $169.30M | $146.86M | $134.18M | $110.40M | $118.06M | $116.27M | $100.85M | $91.58M | $111.73M | $111.37M |
| Low Forecast | $339.63M | $324.63M | $310.29M | $296.59M | $221.92M | $230.37M | $222.57M | $210.85M | $211.45M | $229.74M | $231.50M | $158.98M | $209.59M | $212.50M | $204.30M | $144.53M | $120.21M | $199.31M | $195.19M | $114.25M | $169.30M | $146.86M | $134.18M | $73.60M | $118.06M | $116.27M | $100.85M | $61.05M | $111.73M | $111.37M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.29% | 1.36% | - | - | 1.37% | 0.87% | - | - | 1.06% | 1.00% | - | - | 1.11% | 0.81% | - |
7 analysts predict BLD's average Quarter EBITDA for Jul 23 to be $208.99M, with a high of $213.32M and a low of $204.30M. This is -10.48% lower than TopBuild's previous annual EBITDA (Mar 23) of $233.45M.
TopBuild Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Oct 26 | Jul 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Oct 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $135.87M | $143.83M | - | - | $114.71M | $78.36M | - | - | $59.84M | $70.76M | - | - | $50.77M | $45.98M | - |
| Avg Forecast | $187.88M | $218.77M | $183.10M | $169.41M | $176.28M | $199.18M | $178.59M | $156.67M | $160.17M | $177.62M | $181.98M | $116.82M | $148.59M | $145.37M | $138.37M | $106.20M | $80.29M | $129.99M | $118.45M | $83.96M | $93.05M | $96.77M | $78.82M | $56.40M | $62.14M | $56.68M | $36.91M | $45.90M | $45.19M | $44.18M |
| High Forecast | $192.94M | $224.66M | $188.04M | $173.97M | $181.03M | $204.55M | $183.41M | $158.28M | $165.84M | $179.65M | $181.98M | $140.19M | $156.34M | $145.38M | $142.10M | $127.44M | $96.35M | $129.99M | $118.45M | $100.75M | $93.05M | $96.77M | $78.82M | $67.67M | $62.14M | $56.68M | $36.91M | $55.08M | $45.19M | $44.18M |
| Low Forecast | $182.40M | $212.39M | $177.76M | $164.47M | $171.14M | $193.38M | $173.39M | $153.76M | $154.49M | $175.60M | $181.97M | $93.46M | $141.48M | $145.37M | $134.33M | $84.96M | $64.23M | $129.99M | $118.45M | $67.16M | $93.05M | $96.77M | $78.82M | $45.12M | $62.14M | $56.68M | $36.91M | $36.72M | $45.19M | $44.18M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.28% | 1.79% | - | - | 1.37% | 0.84% | - | - | 1.06% | 1.14% | - | - | 1.11% | 1.02% | - |
TopBuild's average Quarter net income forecast for Jul 23 is $138.37M, with a range of $134.33M to $142.10M. BLD's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 1.84% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $135.87M (Mar 23).
TopBuild SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Oct 26 | Jul 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Oct 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $170.78M | $172.56M | - | - | $167.25M | $164.72M | - | - | $101.87M | $94.94M | - | - | $101.97M | $94.90M | - |
| Avg Forecast | $298.55M | $285.36M | $272.76M | $260.71M | $195.07M | $202.50M | $195.64M | $182.62M | $187.29M | $198.01M | $198.93M | $170.33M | $182.97M | $182.60M | $179.58M | $154.84M | $168.78M | $171.27M | $167.73M | $122.41M | $145.48M | $126.20M | $115.30M | $96.01M | $101.45M | $99.91M | $86.66M | $92.18M | $96.01M | $95.70M |
| High Forecast | $304.74M | $291.27M | $278.41M | $266.11M | $199.12M | $206.70M | $199.70M | $185.47M | $192.88M | $198.61M | $198.93M | $204.39M | $185.82M | $182.60M | $183.31M | $185.81M | $202.54M | $171.27M | $167.73M | $146.89M | $145.48M | $126.20M | $115.30M | $115.21M | $101.45M | $99.91M | $86.66M | $110.61M | $96.01M | $95.70M |
| Low Forecast | $291.85M | $278.96M | $266.64M | $254.86M | $190.70M | $197.96M | $191.25M | $181.19M | $181.70M | $197.42M | $198.93M | $136.26M | $180.11M | $182.60M | $175.56M | $123.87M | $135.02M | $171.27M | $167.73M | $97.92M | $145.48M | $126.20M | $115.30M | $76.80M | $101.45M | $99.91M | $86.66M | $73.74M | $96.01M | $95.70M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.10% | 1.02% | - | - | 1.37% | 1.13% | - | - | 1.06% | 0.94% | - | - | 1.11% | 0.99% | - |
TopBuild's average Quarter SG&A projection for Jul 23 is $179.58M, based on 7 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $175.56M to $183.31M. The forecast indicates a 5.15% rise compared to BLD last annual SG&A of $170.78M (Mar 23).
TopBuild EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Oct 26 | Jul 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Oct 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $4.31 | $4.54 | - | - | $3.50 | $2.39 | - | - | $1.82 | $2.16 | - | - | $1.53 | $1.38 | - |
| Avg Forecast | $5.90 | $6.87 | $5.75 | $5.32 | $5.54 | $6.26 | $5.61 | $4.92 | $5.03 | $5.58 | $5.71 | $4.58 | $4.67 | $4.57 | $4.35 | $4.01 | $3.99 | $4.08 | $3.72 | $2.74 | $2.92 | $3.04 | $2.48 | $1.95 | $1.95 | $1.78 | $1.16 | $1.25 | $1.42 | $1.39 |
| High Forecast | $6.06 | $7.06 | $5.90 | $5.46 | $5.68 | $6.42 | $5.76 | $4.97 | $5.21 | $5.64 | $5.71 | $4.71 | $4.91 | $4.57 | $4.46 | $4.12 | $4.10 | $4.08 | $3.72 | $2.74 | $2.92 | $3.04 | $2.48 | $1.95 | $1.95 | $1.78 | $1.16 | $1.25 | $1.42 | $1.39 |
| Low Forecast | $5.73 | $6.67 | $5.58 | $5.16 | $5.37 | $6.07 | $5.44 | $4.83 | $4.85 | $5.51 | $5.71 | $4.45 | $4.44 | $4.57 | $4.22 | $3.89 | $3.88 | $4.08 | $3.72 | $2.74 | $2.92 | $3.04 | $2.48 | $1.95 | $1.95 | $1.78 | $1.16 | $1.25 | $1.42 | $1.39 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.07% | 1.14% | - | - | 1.28% | 0.82% | - | - | 0.93% | 1.11% | - | - | 1.23% | 0.97% | - |
According to 7 Wall Street analysts, TopBuild's projected average Quarter EPS for Jul 23 is $4.35, with a low estimate of $4.22 and a high estimate of $4.46. This represents a 0.82% increase compared to BLD previous annual EPS of $4.31 (Mar 23).
TopBuild Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMRC | Ameresco | $26.75 | $56.43 | 110.95% | Buy |
| DY | Dycom Industries | $176.56 | $205.17 | 16.20% | Buy |
| APG | APi Group | $36.00 | $41.00 | 13.89% | Buy |
| BLD | TopBuild | $351.10 | $396.50 | 12.93% | Buy |
| FIX | Comfort Systems USA | $476.25 | $525.00 | 10.24% | Buy |
| ACA | Arcosa | $105.83 | $105.50 | -0.31% | Buy |
| MTZ | MasTec | $140.82 | $134.67 | -4.37% | Buy |
| MYRG | MYR Group | $145.46 | $138.33 | -4.90% | Buy |
| ROAD | Construction Partners | $91.31 | $79.67 | -12.75% | Strong Buy |
| GVA | Granite Construction | $97.25 | $70.00 | -28.02% | - |
| PRIM | Primoris Services | $80.42 | $41.50 | -48.40% | Buy |