TopBuild (BLD) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
BLD Stock Forecast
TopBuild stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $431.00 (represents a 38.91% upside from BLD’s last price of $310.28) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 6 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
BLD Price Target
The average price target for TopBuild (BLD) is $431.00 based on 1-year price targets from 6 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $515.00 to $381.00. This represents a potential 38.91% upside from BLD's last price of $310.28.
BLD Analyst Ratings
According to 6 Wall Street analysts, TopBuild's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for BLD stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 5 'Buy' (83.33%), 1 'Hold' (16.67%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
TopBuild Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | Stephen Kim | Evercore ISI | $381.00 | $366.64 | 3.92% | 22.79% |
| Nov 06, 2024 | Kurt Yinger | D.A. Davidson | $450.00 | $370.98 | 21.30% | 45.03% |
| Nov 05, 2024 | Keith Hughes | Truist Financial | $395.00 | $370.98 | 6.48% | 27.30% |
| Oct 09, 2024 | Philip Ng | Jefferies | $515.00 | $391.44 | 31.57% | 65.98% |
| Aug 08, 2024 | Jeffrey Stevenson | Loop Capital Markets | $445.00 | $370.69 | 20.05% | 43.42% |
| Aug 08, 2024 | Trey Grooms | Stephens | $400.00 | $365.50 | 9.44% | 28.92% |
| May 07, 2024 | Philip Ng | Jefferies | $482.00 | $405.68 | 18.81% | 55.34% |
| Apr 02, 2024 | Stephen Kim | Evercore ISI | $527.00 | $438.35 | 20.22% | 69.85% |
| Aug 04, 2023 | Keith Hughes | Truist Financial | $340.00 | $295.12 | 15.21% | 9.58% |
| Jul 15, 2022 | J.P. Morgan | $190.00 | $178.75 | 6.30% | -38.76% | |
| May 06, 2022 | Credit Suisse | $250.00 | $195.45 | 27.91% | -19.43% | |
| Apr 20, 2022 | J.P. Morgan | $193.00 | $181.25 | 6.48% | -37.80% | |
| Nov 04, 2021 | Trey Grooms | Stephens | $285.00 | $260.91 | 9.23% | -8.15% |
The latest TopBuild stock forecast, released on Dec 16, 2024 by Stephen Kim from Evercore ISI, set a price target of $381.00, which represents a 3.92% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($366.64), and a 22.79% increase from BLD last price ($310.28).
TopBuild Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | 1 | 4 | 8 |
| Avg Price Target | $381.00 | $435.25 | $449.38 |
| Last Closing Price | $310.28 | $310.28 | $310.28 |
| Upside/Downside | 22.79% | 40.28% | 44.83% |
In the current month, the average price target of TopBuild stock is $381.00, according to 1 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 22.79% increase as opposed to TopBuild's last price of $310.28. This month's average price target is down -12.46% compared to last quarter, and down -15.22% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Aug 08, 2024 | Loop Capital Markets | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Aug 08, 2024 | Stephens | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jul 15, 2024 | Evercore ISI | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| May 07, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Apr 02, 2024 | Evercore ISI | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Jan 08, 2024 | Loop Capital Markets | Buy | Upgrade | |
| Nov 09, 2023 | Evercore ISI | Outperform | Upgrade | |
| Jan 10, 2023 | Deutsche Bank | Buy | Upgrade | |
| Sep 19, 2022 | KeyBanc | Overweight | Upgrade |
TopBuild's last stock rating was published by Jefferies on Oct 09, 2024. The company gave BLD a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.
TopBuild Financial Forecast
TopBuild Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Oct 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.32B | $1.27B | $1.26B | - | - | $1.17B | $1.06B | - | - | $742.80M | $721.49M | - | - | $653.23M | $662.35M | - |
| Avg Forecast | $2.06B | $1.97B | $1.88B | $1.80B | $1.37B | $1.42B | $1.38B | $1.29B | $1.31B | $1.39B | $1.40B | $1.30B | $1.29B | $1.29B | $1.26B | $1.26B | $1.24B | $1.21B | $1.18B | $1.07B | $1.02B | $888.43M | $811.76M | $739.88M | $714.26M | $703.39M | $610.10M | $653.24M | $675.95M | $673.76M |
| High Forecast | $2.10B | $2.01B | $1.92B | $1.83B | $1.40B | $1.45B | $1.40B | $1.31B | $1.36B | $1.40B | $1.40B | $1.32B | $1.31B | $1.29B | $1.29B | $1.28B | $1.26B | $1.21B | $1.18B | $1.07B | $1.02B | $888.43M | $811.76M | $739.88M | $714.26M | $703.39M | $610.10M | $653.24M | $675.95M | $673.76M |
| Low Forecast | $2.02B | $1.93B | $1.85B | $1.77B | $1.34B | $1.40B | $1.35B | $1.28B | $1.28B | $1.39B | $1.40B | $1.27B | $1.27B | $1.29B | $1.24B | $1.23B | $1.22B | $1.21B | $1.18B | $1.07B | $1.02B | $888.43M | $811.76M | $739.88M | $714.26M | $703.39M | $610.10M | $653.24M | $675.95M | $673.76M |
| # Analysts | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.04% | 1.01% | 1.02% | - | - | 1.09% | 1.04% | - | - | 1.00% | 1.01% | - | - | 1.00% | 0.98% | - |
TopBuild's average Quarter revenue forecast for Sep 23 based on 4 analysts is $1.29B, with a low forecast of $1.29B, and a high forecast of $1.29B. BLD's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -2.41% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.32B (Jun 23).
TopBuild EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Oct 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $237.10M | $233.45M | $204.70M | - | - | $195.14M | $146.65M | - | - | $97.62M | $118.05M | - | - | $84.42M | $90.68M | - |
| Avg Forecast | $340.88M | $325.82M | $311.43M | $297.67M | $226.75M | $235.44M | $227.34M | $212.44M | $216.98M | $230.43M | $231.50M | $198.73M | $212.92M | $212.50M | $208.99M | $180.66M | $150.26M | $199.31M | $195.19M | $142.82M | $169.30M | $146.86M | $134.18M | $92.00M | $118.06M | $116.27M | $100.85M | $76.31M | $111.73M | $111.37M |
| High Forecast | $346.87M | $331.55M | $316.90M | $302.91M | $230.73M | $239.57M | $231.34M | $215.76M | $225.14M | $231.12M | $231.50M | $238.48M | $216.25M | $212.50M | $212.66M | $216.80M | $180.31M | $199.31M | $195.19M | $171.38M | $169.30M | $146.86M | $134.18M | $110.40M | $118.06M | $116.27M | $100.85M | $91.58M | $111.73M | $111.37M |
| Low Forecast | $334.11M | $319.35M | $305.25M | $291.76M | $222.25M | $230.76M | $222.83M | $210.78M | $212.09M | $229.74M | $231.50M | $158.98M | $209.59M | $212.50M | $204.83M | $144.53M | $120.21M | $199.31M | $195.19M | $114.25M | $169.30M | $146.86M | $134.18M | $73.60M | $118.06M | $116.27M | $100.85M | $61.05M | $111.73M | $111.37M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.13% | 1.29% | 1.36% | - | - | 1.37% | 0.87% | - | - | 1.06% | 1.00% | - | - | 1.11% | 0.81% | - |
4 analysts predict BLD's average Quarter EBITDA for Sep 23 to be $212.50M, with a high of $212.50M and a low of $212.50M. This is -10.38% lower than TopBuild's previous annual EBITDA (Jun 23) of $237.10M.
TopBuild Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Oct 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $164.40M | $135.87M | $143.83M | - | - | $114.71M | $78.36M | - | - | $59.84M | $70.76M | - | - | $50.77M | $45.98M | - |
| Avg Forecast | $176.56M | $205.59M | $172.07M | $159.20M | $165.27M | $186.82M | $167.40M | $147.03M | $150.11M | $166.92M | $171.01M | $116.82M | $139.64M | $136.62M | $130.03M | $106.20M | $80.29M | $129.99M | $118.45M | $83.96M | $93.05M | $96.77M | $78.82M | $56.40M | $62.14M | $56.68M | $36.91M | $45.90M | $45.19M | $44.18M |
| High Forecast | $180.59M | $210.28M | $176.00M | $162.84M | $169.05M | $191.09M | $171.23M | $148.85M | $155.43M | $168.82M | $171.02M | $140.19M | $146.92M | $136.62M | $133.00M | $127.44M | $96.35M | $129.99M | $118.45M | $100.75M | $93.05M | $96.77M | $78.82M | $67.67M | $62.14M | $56.68M | $36.91M | $55.08M | $45.19M | $44.18M |
| Low Forecast | $172.00M | $200.28M | $167.63M | $155.09M | $161.01M | $182.00M | $163.08M | $144.60M | $144.79M | $165.02M | $171.01M | $93.46M | $132.96M | $136.61M | $126.68M | $84.96M | $64.23M | $129.99M | $118.45M | $67.16M | $93.05M | $96.77M | $78.82M | $45.12M | $62.14M | $56.68M | $36.91M | $36.72M | $45.19M | $44.18M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.26% | 1.28% | 1.79% | - | - | 1.37% | 0.84% | - | - | 1.06% | 1.14% | - | - | 1.11% | 1.02% | - |
TopBuild's average Quarter net income forecast for Sep 23 is $136.62M, with a range of $136.61M to $136.62M. BLD's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -16.90% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $164.40M (Jun 23).
TopBuild SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Oct 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $184.70M | $170.78M | $172.56M | - | - | $167.25M | $164.72M | - | - | $101.87M | $94.94M | - | - | $101.97M | $94.90M | - |
| Avg Forecast | $292.92M | $279.99M | $267.62M | $255.80M | $194.85M | $202.32M | $195.36M | $182.55M | $186.46M | $198.01M | $198.93M | $170.33M | $182.97M | $182.60M | $179.58M | $154.84M | $168.78M | $171.27M | $167.73M | $122.41M | $145.48M | $126.20M | $115.30M | $96.01M | $101.45M | $99.91M | $86.66M | $92.18M | $96.01M | $95.70M |
| High Forecast | $298.07M | $284.90M | $272.32M | $260.29M | $198.27M | $205.87M | $198.79M | $185.41M | $193.47M | $198.61M | $198.93M | $204.39M | $185.82M | $182.60M | $182.74M | $185.81M | $202.54M | $171.27M | $167.73M | $146.89M | $145.48M | $126.20M | $115.30M | $115.21M | $101.45M | $99.91M | $86.66M | $110.61M | $96.01M | $95.70M |
| Low Forecast | $287.11M | $274.42M | $262.30M | $250.72M | $190.98M | $198.30M | $191.48M | $181.13M | $182.25M | $197.42M | $198.93M | $136.26M | $180.11M | $182.60M | $176.02M | $123.87M | $135.02M | $171.27M | $167.73M | $97.92M | $145.48M | $126.20M | $115.30M | $76.80M | $101.45M | $99.91M | $86.66M | $73.74M | $96.01M | $95.70M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.03% | 1.10% | 1.02% | - | - | 1.37% | 1.13% | - | - | 1.06% | 0.94% | - | - | 1.11% | 0.99% | - |
TopBuild's average Quarter SG&A projection for Sep 23 is $182.60M, based on 4 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $182.60M to $182.60M. The forecast indicates a -1.13% fall compared to BLD last annual SG&A of $184.70M (Jun 23).
TopBuild EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Oct 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $5.20 | $4.31 | $4.54 | - | - | $3.50 | $2.39 | - | - | $1.82 | $2.16 | - | - | $1.53 | $1.38 | - |
| Avg Forecast | $5.90 | $6.87 | $5.75 | $5.32 | $5.52 | $6.24 | $5.59 | $4.91 | $5.02 | $5.58 | $5.71 | $4.58 | $4.67 | $4.57 | $4.35 | $4.01 | $3.99 | $4.08 | $3.72 | $2.74 | $2.92 | $3.04 | $2.48 | $1.95 | $1.95 | $1.78 | $1.16 | $1.25 | $1.42 | $1.39 |
| High Forecast | $6.03 | $7.03 | $5.88 | $5.44 | $5.65 | $6.39 | $5.72 | $4.97 | $5.19 | $5.64 | $5.71 | $4.69 | $4.91 | $4.57 | $4.44 | $4.10 | $4.08 | $4.08 | $3.72 | $2.74 | $2.92 | $3.04 | $2.48 | $1.95 | $1.95 | $1.78 | $1.16 | $1.25 | $1.42 | $1.39 |
| Low Forecast | $5.75 | $6.69 | $5.60 | $5.18 | $5.38 | $6.08 | $5.45 | $4.83 | $4.84 | $5.51 | $5.71 | $4.47 | $4.44 | $4.57 | $4.23 | $3.91 | $3.89 | $4.08 | $3.72 | $2.74 | $2.92 | $3.04 | $2.48 | $1.95 | $1.95 | $1.78 | $1.16 | $1.25 | $1.42 | $1.39 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.20% | 1.07% | 1.14% | - | - | 1.28% | 0.82% | - | - | 0.93% | 1.11% | - | - | 1.23% | 0.97% | - |
According to 4 Wall Street analysts, TopBuild's projected average Quarter EPS for Sep 23 is $4.57, with a low estimate of $4.57 and a high estimate of $4.57. This represents a -12.21% decrease compared to BLD previous annual EPS of $5.20 (Jun 23).
TopBuild Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMRC | Ameresco | $23.92 | $38.25 | 59.91% | Buy |
| DY | Dycom Industries | $176.99 | $230.50 | 30.23% | Buy |
| BLD | TopBuild | $338.29 | $431.00 | 27.41% | Buy |
| FIX | Comfort Systems USA | $454.47 | $575.00 | 26.52% | Buy |
| APG | APi Group | $38.77 | $46.50 | 19.94% | Buy |
| MTZ | MasTec | $136.54 | $151.00 | 10.59% | Buy |
| ACA | Arcosa | $106.79 | $104.00 | -2.61% | Buy |
| MYRG | MYR Group | $163.42 | $138.33 | -15.35% | Buy |
| ROAD | Construction Partners | $95.90 | $79.67 | -16.92% | Strong Buy |
| GVA | Granite Construction | $91.78 | $70.00 | -23.73% | |
| PRIM | Primoris Services | $80.87 | $41.50 | -48.68% | Buy |