TopBuild (BLD) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
BLD Stock Forecast
TopBuild stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $381.00 (represents a 5.21% upside from BLD’s last price of $362.13) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 6 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
BLD Price Target
The average price target for TopBuild (BLD) is $381.00 based on 1-year price targets from 6 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $527.00 to $190.00. This represents a potential 5.21% upside from BLD's last price of $362.13.
BLD Analyst Ratings
According to 6 Wall Street analysts, TopBuild's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for BLD stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 5 'Buy' (83.33%), 1 'Hold' (16.67%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
TopBuild Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2024 | Philip Ng | Jefferies | $515.00 | $391.44 | 31.57% | 42.21% |
| Aug 08, 2024 | Jeffrey Stevenson | Loop Capital Markets | $445.00 | $370.69 | 20.05% | 22.88% |
| Aug 08, 2024 | Trey Grooms | Stephens | $400.00 | $365.50 | 9.44% | 10.46% |
| May 07, 2024 | Philip Ng | Jefferies | $482.00 | $405.68 | 18.81% | 33.10% |
| Apr 02, 2024 | Stephen Kim | Evercore ISI | $527.00 | $438.35 | 20.22% | 45.53% |
| Aug 04, 2023 | Keith Hughes | Truist Financial | $340.00 | $295.12 | 15.21% | -6.11% |
| Jul 15, 2022 | - | J.P. Morgan | $190.00 | $178.75 | 6.30% | -47.53% |
| May 06, 2022 | - | Credit Suisse | $250.00 | $195.45 | 27.91% | -30.96% |
| Apr 20, 2022 | - | J.P. Morgan | $193.00 | $181.25 | 6.48% | -46.70% |
| Nov 04, 2021 | Trey Grooms | Stephens | $285.00 | $260.91 | 9.23% | -21.30% |
The latest TopBuild stock forecast, released on Oct 09, 2024 by Philip Ng from Jefferies, set a price target of $515.00, which represents a 31.57% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($391.44), and a 42.21% increase from BLD last price ($362.13).
TopBuild Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| Avg Price Target | $515.00 | $453.33 | $473.80 |
| Last Closing Price | $362.13 | $362.13 | $362.13 |
| Upside/Downside | 42.21% | 25.18% | 30.84% |
In the current month, the average price target of TopBuild stock is $515.00, according to 1 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 42.21% increase as opposed to TopBuild's last price of $362.13. This month's average price target is up 13.60% compared to last quarter, and up 8.70% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Aug 08, 2024 | Loop Capital Markets | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Aug 08, 2024 | Stephens | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jul 15, 2024 | Evercore ISI | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| May 07, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Apr 02, 2024 | Evercore ISI | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Jan 08, 2024 | Loop Capital Markets | - | Buy | Upgrade |
| Nov 09, 2023 | Evercore ISI | - | Outperform | Upgrade |
| Jan 10, 2023 | Deutsche Bank | - | Buy | Upgrade |
TopBuild's last stock rating was published by Jefferies on Oct 09, 2024. The company gave BLD a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.
TopBuild Financial Forecast
TopBuild Revenue Forecast
| Dec 25 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Oct 19 | Jul 19 | Mar 19 | Mar 18 | Mar 17 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.27B | $1.26B | - | - | $1.17B | $1.06B | - | - | $742.80M | $721.49M | - | - | $653.23M | $662.35M | - | - | $619.33M | $491.44M | $441.36M |
| Avg Forecast | $1.40B | $1.44B | $1.41B | $1.33B | $1.36B | $1.39B | $1.40B | $1.30B | $1.29B | $1.29B | $1.26B | $1.26B | $1.24B | $1.21B | $1.18B | $1.07B | $1.02B | $888.43M | $811.76M | $739.88M | $714.26M | $703.39M | $610.10M | $653.24M | $675.95M | $673.76M | $674.41M | $599.06M | $451.01M | $345.44M |
| High Forecast | $1.40B | $1.44B | $1.41B | $1.33B | $1.36B | $1.41B | $1.40B | $1.30B | $1.31B | $1.29B | $1.26B | $1.26B | $1.24B | $1.21B | $1.18B | $1.07B | $1.02B | $888.43M | $811.76M | $739.88M | $714.26M | $703.39M | $610.10M | $653.24M | $675.95M | $673.76M | $674.41M | $599.06M | $541.21M | $414.53M |
| Low Forecast | $1.40B | $1.44B | $1.41B | $1.33B | $1.36B | $1.34B | $1.40B | $1.30B | $1.27B | $1.29B | $1.26B | $1.26B | $1.24B | $1.21B | $1.18B | $1.07B | $1.02B | $888.43M | $811.76M | $739.88M | $714.26M | $703.39M | $610.10M | $653.24M | $675.95M | $673.76M | $674.41M | $599.06M | $360.81M | $276.35M |
| # Analysts | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 9 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.01% | 1.02% | - | - | 1.09% | 1.04% | - | - | 1.00% | 1.01% | - | - | 1.00% | 0.98% | - | - | 1.03% | 1.09% | 1.28% |
TopBuild's average Quarter revenue forecast for Jul 23 based on 7 analysts is $1.26B, with a low forecast of $1.26B, and a high forecast of $1.26B. BLD's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -0.07% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.27B (Mar 23).
TopBuild EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 25 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Oct 19 | Jul 19 | Mar 19 | Mar 18 | Mar 17 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 9 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $233.45M | $204.70M | - | - | $195.14M | $146.65M | - | - | $97.62M | $118.05M | - | - | $84.42M | $90.68M | - | - | $69.43M | $39.37M | $-125.00K |
| Avg Forecast | $231.89M | $238.40M | $233.08M | $219.62M | $224.17M | $230.43M | $231.50M | $198.73M | $212.92M | $212.50M | $208.99M | $180.66M | $150.26M | $199.31M | $195.19M | $142.82M | $169.30M | $146.86M | $134.18M | $92.00M | $118.06M | $116.27M | $100.85M | $76.31M | $111.73M | $111.37M | $111.48M | $46.86M | $35.84M | $-90.28K |
| High Forecast | $231.89M | $238.40M | $233.08M | $219.62M | $224.17M | $233.72M | $231.50M | $238.48M | $216.25M | $212.50M | $208.99M | $216.80M | $180.31M | $199.31M | $195.19M | $171.38M | $169.30M | $146.86M | $134.18M | $110.40M | $118.06M | $116.27M | $100.85M | $91.58M | $111.73M | $111.37M | $111.48M | $56.24M | $43.01M | $-72.22K |
| Low Forecast | $231.89M | $238.40M | $233.08M | $219.62M | $224.17M | $222.20M | $231.50M | $158.98M | $209.59M | $212.50M | $208.99M | $144.53M | $120.21M | $199.31M | $195.19M | $114.25M | $169.30M | $146.86M | $134.18M | $73.60M | $118.06M | $116.27M | $100.85M | $61.05M | $111.73M | $111.37M | $111.48M | $37.49M | $28.67M | $-108.33K |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.29% | 1.36% | - | - | 1.37% | 0.87% | - | - | 1.06% | 1.00% | - | - | 1.11% | 0.81% | - | - | 1.48% | 1.10% | 1.38% |
7 analysts predict BLD's average Quarter EBITDA for Jul 23 to be $208.99M, with a high of $208.99M and a low of $208.99M. This is -10.48% lower than TopBuild's previous annual EBITDA (Mar 23) of $233.45M.
TopBuild Net Income Forecast
| Dec 25 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Oct 19 | Jul 19 | Mar 19 | Mar 18 | Mar 17 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 9 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $135.87M | $143.83M | - | - | $114.71M | $78.36M | - | - | $59.84M | $70.76M | - | - | $50.77M | $45.98M | - | - | $37.98M | $26.39M | $-1.71M |
| Avg Forecast | $179.81M | $192.87M | $182.13M | $163.48M | $165.98M | $177.63M | $181.98M | $116.82M | $148.59M | $145.37M | $138.37M | $106.20M | $80.29M | $129.99M | $118.45M | $83.96M | $93.05M | $96.77M | $78.82M | $56.40M | $62.14M | $56.68M | $36.91M | $45.90M | $45.19M | $44.18M | $40.41M | $25.64M | $24.02M | $-1.23M |
| High Forecast | $179.81M | $192.87M | $182.13M | $163.48M | $165.98M | $183.32M | $181.98M | $140.19M | $156.34M | $145.38M | $138.37M | $127.44M | $96.35M | $129.99M | $118.45M | $100.75M | $93.05M | $96.77M | $78.82M | $67.67M | $62.14M | $56.68M | $36.91M | $55.08M | $45.19M | $44.18M | $40.41M | $30.77M | $28.83M | $-988.00K |
| Low Forecast | $179.81M | $192.87M | $182.13M | $163.48M | $165.98M | $169.41M | $181.97M | $93.46M | $141.48M | $145.37M | $138.37M | $84.96M | $64.23M | $129.99M | $118.45M | $67.16M | $93.05M | $96.77M | $78.82M | $45.12M | $62.14M | $56.68M | $36.91M | $36.72M | $45.19M | $44.18M | $40.41M | $20.51M | $19.22M | $-1.48M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.28% | 1.79% | - | - | 1.37% | 0.84% | - | - | 1.06% | 1.14% | - | - | 1.11% | 1.02% | - | - | 1.48% | 1.10% | 1.38% |
TopBuild's average Quarter net income forecast for Jul 23 is $138.37M, with a range of $138.37M to $138.37M. BLD's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 1.84% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $135.87M (Mar 23).
TopBuild SG&A Forecast
| Dec 25 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Oct 19 | Jul 19 | Mar 19 | Mar 18 | Mar 17 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 9 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $170.78M | $172.56M | - | - | $167.25M | $164.72M | - | - | $101.87M | $94.94M | - | - | $101.97M | $94.90M | - | - | $99.08M | $77.13M | $75.09M |
| Avg Forecast | $199.27M | $204.86M | $200.29M | $188.72M | $192.63M | $198.01M | $198.93M | $170.33M | $182.97M | $182.60M | $179.58M | $154.84M | $168.78M | $171.27M | $167.73M | $122.41M | $145.48M | $126.20M | $115.30M | $96.01M | $101.45M | $99.91M | $86.66M | $92.18M | $96.01M | $95.70M | $95.79M | $66.88M | $70.22M | $54.23M |
| High Forecast | $199.27M | $204.86M | $200.29M | $188.72M | $192.63M | $200.84M | $198.93M | $204.39M | $185.82M | $182.60M | $179.58M | $185.81M | $202.54M | $171.27M | $167.73M | $146.89M | $145.48M | $126.20M | $115.30M | $115.21M | $101.45M | $99.91M | $86.66M | $110.61M | $96.01M | $95.70M | $95.79M | $80.25M | $84.26M | $65.08M |
| Low Forecast | $199.27M | $204.86M | $200.29M | $188.72M | $192.63M | $190.94M | $198.93M | $136.26M | $180.11M | $182.60M | $179.58M | $123.87M | $135.02M | $171.27M | $167.73M | $97.92M | $145.48M | $126.20M | $115.30M | $76.80M | $101.45M | $99.91M | $86.66M | $73.74M | $96.01M | $95.70M | $95.79M | $53.50M | $56.17M | $43.39M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.10% | 1.02% | - | - | 1.37% | 1.13% | - | - | 1.06% | 0.94% | - | - | 1.11% | 0.99% | - | - | 1.48% | 1.10% | 1.38% |
TopBuild's average Quarter SG&A projection for Jul 23 is $179.58M, based on 7 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $179.58M to $179.58M. The forecast indicates a 5.15% rise compared to BLD last annual SG&A of $170.78M (Mar 23).
TopBuild EPS Forecast
| Dec 25 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Oct 19 | Jul 19 | Mar 19 | Mar 18 | Mar 17 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 9 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $4.31 | $4.54 | - | - | $3.50 | $2.39 | - | - | $1.82 | $2.16 | - | - | $1.53 | $1.38 | - | - | $1.11 | $0.75 | $-0.05 |
| Avg Forecast | $5.65 | $6.06 | $5.72 | $5.13 | $5.21 | $5.58 | $5.71 | $4.58 | $4.67 | $4.57 | $4.35 | $4.01 | $3.99 | $4.08 | $3.72 | $2.74 | $2.92 | $3.04 | $2.48 | $1.95 | $1.95 | $1.78 | $1.16 | $1.25 | $1.42 | $1.39 | $1.27 | $0.80 | $0.61 | $0.26 |
| High Forecast | $5.65 | $6.06 | $5.72 | $5.13 | $5.21 | $5.76 | $5.71 | $4.58 | $4.91 | $4.57 | $4.35 | $4.01 | $3.99 | $4.08 | $3.72 | $2.74 | $2.92 | $3.04 | $2.48 | $1.95 | $1.95 | $1.78 | $1.16 | $1.25 | $1.42 | $1.39 | $1.27 | $0.80 | $0.73 | $0.31 |
| Low Forecast | $5.65 | $6.06 | $5.72 | $5.13 | $5.21 | $5.32 | $5.71 | $4.58 | $4.44 | $4.57 | $4.35 | $4.01 | $3.99 | $4.08 | $3.72 | $2.74 | $2.92 | $3.04 | $2.48 | $1.95 | $1.95 | $1.78 | $1.16 | $1.25 | $1.42 | $1.39 | $1.27 | $0.80 | $0.49 | $0.21 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.07% | 1.14% | - | - | 1.28% | 0.82% | - | - | 0.93% | 1.11% | - | - | 1.23% | 0.97% | - | - | 1.38% | 1.23% | -0.19% |
According to 7 Wall Street analysts, TopBuild's projected average Quarter EPS for Jul 23 is $4.35, with a low estimate of $4.35 and a high estimate of $4.35. This represents a 0.82% increase compared to BLD previous annual EPS of $4.31 (Mar 23).
TopBuild Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMRC | Ameresco | $33.48 | $56.43 | 68.55% | Buy |
| DY | Dycom Industries | $175.94 | $205.17 | 16.61% | Buy |
| APG | APi Group | $35.25 | $41.00 | 16.31% | Buy |
| ACA | Arcosa | $95.66 | $105.50 | 10.29% | Buy |
| BLD | TopBuild | $362.13 | $381.00 | 5.21% | Buy |
| ROAD | Construction Partners | $78.06 | $79.67 | 2.06% | Strong Buy |
| MYRG | MYR Group | $133.24 | $124.67 | -6.43% | Buy |
| MTZ | MasTec | $132.61 | $121.67 | -8.25% | Buy |
| GVA | Granite Construction | $87.82 | $70.00 | -20.29% | - |
| PRIM | Primoris Services | $64.34 | $41.50 | -35.50% | Buy |
BLD Forecast FAQ
Is TopBuild a good buy?
Yes, according to 6 Wall Street analysts, TopBuild (BLD) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 5 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 83.33% of BLD's total ratings.
What is BLD's price target?
TopBuild (BLD) average price target is $381 with a range of $190 to $527, implying a 5.21% from its last price of $362.13. The data is based on 6 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will TopBuild stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for BLD stock, the company can go up by 5.21% (from the last price of $362.13 to the average price target of $381), up by 45.53% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -47.53% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can TopBuild stock reach $500?
BLD's highest twelve months analyst stock price target of $527 supports the claim that TopBuild can reach $500 in the near future.
What is TopBuild's current price target trend?
1 Wall Street analyst forecast a $515 price target for TopBuild (BLD) this month, up 42.21% from its last price of $362.13. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target increased by 25.18% and increased by 30.84%, respectively.
What are TopBuild's analysts' financial forecasts?
TopBuild's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2024) are as follows: average revenue is $5.45B (high $5.47B, low $5.4B), average EBITDA is $884.83M (high $927.87M, low $836.85M), average net income is $642.41M (high $671.47M, low $610.83M), average SG&A $759.9M (high $796.79M, low $718.76M), and average EPS is $21.09 (high $21.27, low $20.83). BLD's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $5.58B (high $5.58B, low $5.58B), average EBITDA is $922.99M (high $922.99M, low $922.99M), average net income is $718.29M (high $718.29M, low $718.29M), average SG&A $793.14M (high $793.14M, low $793.14M), and average EPS is $22.56 (high $22.56, low $22.56).
Did the BLD's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on TopBuild's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $5.01B, beating the average analysts forecast of $4.7B by 6.60%. Apple's EBITDA was $922.19M, beating the average prediction of $687.58M by 34.12%. The company's net income was $555.99M, beating the average estimation of $412.69M by 34.72%. Apple's SG&A was $689.56M, beating the average forecast of $630.18M by 9.42%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $17.26, beating the average prediction of $14.53 by 18.76%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Mar 2023), TopBuild's revenue was $1.27B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $1.26B by 0.56%. The company's EBITDA was $233.45M, beating the average prediction of $180.66M by 29.22%. TopBuild's net income was $135.87M, beating the average estimation of $106.2M by 27.93%. The company's SG&A was $170.78M, beating the average forecast of $154.84M by 10.30%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $4.31, beating the average prediction of $4.01 by 7.45%