AvalonBay Communities (AVB) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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AVB Stock Forecast


AvalonBay Communities stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $234.18 (represents a 4.73% upside from AVB’s last price of $223.60) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 10 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

AVB Price Target


The average price target for AvalonBay Communities (AVB) is $234.18 based on 1-year price targets from 10 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $307.00 to $187.00. This represents a potential 4.73% upside from AVB's last price of $223.60.

AVB Analyst Ratings


Hold

According to 10 Wall Street analysts, AvalonBay Communities's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for AVB stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 4 'Buy' (40.00%), 6 'Hold' (60.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

AvalonBay Communities Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Aug 26, 2024Michael LewisTruist Financial$230.00$219.924.58%2.86%
Aug 26, 2024James FeldmanWells Fargo$244.00$221.7310.04%9.12%
Aug 02, 2024Alexander GoldfarbPiper Sandler$255.00$211.7820.41%14.04%
Jun 27, 2024James FeldmanWells Fargo$222.00$203.888.89%-0.72%
Jun 24, 2024Michael LewisTruist Financial$213.00$203.894.47%-4.74%
May 24, 2024Michael LewisTruist Financial$207.00$193.966.72%-7.42%
May 14, 2024Nicholas YulicoScotiabank$213.00$198.147.50%-4.74%
Apr 30, 2024Marie FergusonArgus Research$212.00$190.0711.54%-5.19%
Dec 16, 2022-J.P. Morgan$197.00$164.3819.84%-11.90%
Dec 08, 2022-Goldman Sachs$187.00$167.9711.33%-16.37%
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The latest AvalonBay Communities stock forecast, released on Aug 26, 2024 by Michael Lewis from Truist Financial, set a price target of $230.00, which represents a 4.58% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($219.92), and a 2.86% increase from AVB last price ($223.60).

AvalonBay Communities Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts258
Avg Price Target$237.00$232.80$224.50
Last Closing Price$223.60$223.60$223.60
Upside/Downside5.99%4.11%0.40%

In the current month, the average price target of AvalonBay Communities stock is $237.00, according to 2 Wall Street analysts offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 5.99% increase as opposed to AvalonBay Communities's last price of $223.60. This month's average price target is up 1.80% compared to last quarter, and up 5.57% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Sep 05, 2024Zelman-NeutralInitialise
Aug 26, 2024Wells FargoOverweightOverweightHold
Aug 07, 2024ScotiabankSector PerformSector PerformHold
Aug 02, 2024Piper SandlerOverweightOverweightHold
Aug 02, 2024RBC CapitalSector PerformSector PerformHold
Jun 27, 2024Wells FargoOverweightOverweightHold
May 14, 2024ScotiabankSector PerformSector PerformHold
May 14, 2024Morgan StanleyOverweightOverweightHold
Apr 29, 2024RBC CapitalSector PerformSector PerformHold
Dec 08, 2022Goldman SachsBuyNeutralDowngrade
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AvalonBay Communities's last stock rating was published by Zelman on Sep 05, 2024. The company Initialise its AVB rating from "null" to "Neutral".

AvalonBay Communities Financial Forecast


AvalonBay Communities Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue-------------$697.63M$690.86M$674.71M$669.67M$665.29M-$613.93M$601.20M$580.77M$561.74M$551.13M$555.80M$567.40M$576.40M$601.65M$593.57M$587.61M
Avg Forecast$802.90M$797.00M$783.30M$771.70M$769.20M$762.78M$750.90M$743.27M$737.03M$730.43M$718.16M$706.80M$700.89M$691.24M$680.13M$670.61M$671.73M$662.51M$631.94M$612.47M$597.94M$569.22M$550.09M$548.37M$560.81M$568.24M$589.35M$597.91M$594.41M$585.19M
High Forecast$812.17M$806.20M$792.34M$780.61M$778.08M$771.58M$759.57M$751.85M$745.54M$735.35M$726.45M$714.95M$706.22M$696.37M$687.98M$678.35M$679.48M$670.15M$631.94M$621.31M$606.57M$577.44M$558.03M$556.29M$568.91M$576.44M$597.86M$606.55M$602.99M$593.64M
Low Forecast$788.87M$783.07M$769.61M$758.21M$755.76M$749.45M$737.78M$730.28M$724.15M$726.05M$705.61M$694.44M$695.38M$684.44M$668.25M$658.89M$659.99M$650.93M$631.94M$603.86M$589.54M$561.22M$542.36M$540.67M$552.94M$560.25M$581.07M$589.51M$586.06M$576.97M
# Analysts6446437449748115954486553333323
Surprise %-------------1.01%1.02%1.01%1.00%1.00%-1.00%1.01%1.02%1.02%1.01%0.99%1.00%0.98%1.01%1.00%1.00%

AvalonBay Communities's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 8 analysts is $700.89M, with a low forecast of $695.38M, and a high forecast of $706.22M. AVB's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 0.47% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $697.63M (Sep 23).

AvalonBay Communities EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts6446437449748115954486553333323
EBITDA-------------$406.79M$432.40M$411.99M$419.91M$447.27M-$373.79M$592.25M$330.87M$688.54M$377.38M$568.36M$376.27M$399.34M$401.89M$395.03M$507.82M
Avg Forecast$500.27M$496.59M$488.06M$480.83M$479.27M$475.27M$467.87M$463.12M$459.23M$455.12M$447.47M$668.98M$436.71M$430.70M$423.78M$608.16M$418.54M$463.22M$393.75M$552.87M$260.59M$421.11M$342.75M$227.46M$475.84M$341.00M$329.55M$401.89M$401.51M$400.10M
High Forecast$506.04M$502.32M$493.69M$486.38M$484.80M$480.76M$473.27M$468.46M$464.53M$458.18M$452.63M$802.77M$440.03M$433.89M$428.67M$729.79M$423.37M$555.86M$393.75M$663.45M$312.71M$505.33M$347.70M$272.95M$571.01M$409.20M$395.47M$482.26M$481.81M$480.12M
Low Forecast$491.53M$487.91M$479.53M$472.43M$470.89M$466.96M$459.69M$455.02M$451.20M$452.39M$439.65M$535.18M$433.28M$426.46M$416.37M$486.53M$411.23M$370.58M$393.75M$442.30M$208.47M$336.89M$337.93M$181.97M$380.67M$272.80M$263.64M$321.51M$321.20M$320.08M
Surprise %-------------0.94%1.02%0.68%1.00%0.97%-0.68%2.27%0.79%2.01%1.66%1.19%1.10%1.21%1.00%0.98%1.27%

8 analysts predict AVB's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $436.71M, with a high of $440.03M and a low of $433.28M. This is 7.36% upper than AvalonBay Communities's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $406.79M.

AvalonBay Communities Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts6446437449748115954486553333323
Net Income-------------$172.03M$367.92M$146.90M$241.29M$494.75M-$262.04M$335.30M$78.91M$447.95M$142.22M$341.13M$147.70M$170.83M$167.97M$167.65M$279.68M
Avg Forecast$239.24M$230.39M$229.16M$225.96M$210.39M$199.16M$200.87M$197.82M$193.34M$195.40M$180.88M$335.30M$184.85M$179.68M$161.67M$304.81M$186.23M$110.48M$166.41M$277.10M$147.49M$100.44M$436.35M$85.72M$285.60M$133.86M$140.97M$167.97M$170.40M$220.35M
High Forecast$242.83M$233.84M$232.60M$229.35M$213.54M$202.15M$203.88M$200.78M$196.24M$197.56M$183.60M$402.36M$187.56M$201.07M$164.10M$365.78M$189.03M$132.58M$166.41M$332.52M$176.99M$120.52M$523.62M$102.87M$342.71M$160.63M$169.17M$201.57M$204.48M$264.42M
Low Forecast$233.80M$225.15M$223.95M$220.83M$205.61M$194.64M$196.30M$193.32M$188.95M$189.63M$176.77M$268.24M$182.14M$163.99M$158.00M$243.85M$182.00M$88.38M$166.41M$221.68M$117.99M$80.35M$349.08M$68.58M$228.48M$107.08M$112.78M$134.38M$136.32M$176.28M
Surprise %-------------0.96%2.28%0.48%1.30%4.48%-0.95%2.27%0.79%1.03%1.66%1.19%1.10%1.21%1.00%0.98%1.27%

AvalonBay Communities's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $184.85M, with a range of $182.14M to $187.56M. AVB's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 7.45% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $172.03M (Sep 23).

AvalonBay Communities SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts6446437449748115954486553333323
SG&A-------------$20.47M$17.68M$20.40M$20.74M$14.61M-$17.42M$16.48M$17.31M$18.46M$17.35M$14.11M$13.98M$15.57M$17.32M$12.60M$12.77M
Avg Forecast$22.03M$21.87M$21.49M$21.17M$21.10M$20.93M$20.60M$20.39M$20.22M$20.04M$19.70M$22.29M$19.23M$18.96M$18.66M$20.26M$18.43M$24.24M$17.34M$18.42M$7.25M$22.03M$17.99M$10.46M$11.81M$12.67M$12.85M$17.32M$12.81M$10.06M
High Forecast$22.28M$22.12M$21.74M$21.42M$21.35M$21.17M$20.84M$20.63M$20.45M$20.17M$19.93M$26.75M$19.38M$19.11M$18.88M$24.32M$18.64M$29.09M$17.34M$22.11M$8.70M$26.44M$21.58M$12.55M$14.18M$15.21M$15.42M$20.78M$15.37M$12.07M
Low Forecast$21.64M$21.48M$21.11M$20.80M$20.73M$20.56M$20.24M$20.04M$19.87M$19.92M$19.36M$17.83M$19.08M$18.78M$18.33M$16.21M$18.11M$19.39M$17.34M$14.74M$5.80M$17.63M$14.39M$8.37M$9.45M$10.14M$10.28M$13.86M$10.25M$8.05M
Surprise %-------------1.08%0.95%1.01%1.13%0.60%-0.95%2.27%0.79%1.03%1.66%1.19%1.10%1.21%1.00%0.98%1.27%

AvalonBay Communities's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $19.23M, based on 8 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $19.08M to $19.38M. The forecast indicates a -6.04% fall compared to AVB last annual SG&A of $20.47M (Sep 23).

AvalonBay Communities EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts6446437449748115954486553333323
EPS-------------$1.21$2.59$1.05$1.72$3.54-$1.87$2.40$0.57$3.21$1.02$2.44$1.05$1.21$1.19$1.20$2.00
Avg Forecast$1.68$1.62$1.61$1.59$1.48$1.40$1.41$1.39$1.36$1.37$1.27$1.21$1.30$1.26$1.14$1.08$1.31$1.26$1.17$1.34$1.00$0.88$0.74$0.78$0.85$0.97$1.04$1.19$1.21$1.22
High Forecast$1.71$1.64$1.63$1.61$1.50$1.42$1.43$1.41$1.38$1.39$1.29$1.23$1.32$1.41$1.15$1.09$1.33$1.28$1.17$1.37$1.02$0.90$0.75$0.80$0.86$0.99$1.06$1.22$1.23$1.25
Low Forecast$1.64$1.58$1.57$1.55$1.44$1.37$1.38$1.36$1.33$1.33$1.24$1.19$1.28$1.15$1.11$1.05$1.28$1.24$1.17$1.32$0.98$0.86$0.72$0.77$0.83$0.96$1.02$1.17$1.19$1.20
Surprise %-------------0.96%2.28%0.98%1.32%2.80%-1.39%2.40%0.65%4.35%1.30%2.87%1.08%1.16%1.00%0.99%1.64%

According to 8 Wall Street analysts, AvalonBay Communities's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $1.30, with a low estimate of $1.28 and a high estimate of $1.32. This represents a 7.29% increase compared to AVB previous annual EPS of $1.21 (Sep 23).

AvalonBay Communities Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
NXRTNexPoint Residential Trust$44.89$59.6732.92%Buy
MAAMid-America Apartment Communities$159.53$200.7525.84%Buy
EQREquity Residential$74.34$81.679.86%Buy
CPTCamden Property Trust$122.17$129.776.22%Buy
UDRUDR$44.05$46.144.74%Buy
AVBAvalonBay Communities$223.60$234.184.73%Hold
ESSEssex Property Trust$298.21$296.56-0.55%Buy

AVB Forecast FAQ


No, according to 10 Wall Street analysts, AvalonBay Communities (AVB) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 4 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 40.00% of AVB's total ratings.

AvalonBay Communities (AVB) average price target is $234.18 with a range of $187 to $307, implying a 4.73% from its last price of $223.6. The data is based on 10 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for AVB stock, the company can go up by 4.73% (from the last price of $223.6 to the average price target of $234.18), up by 37.30% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -16.37% based on the lowest stock price target.

AVB's highest twelve months analyst stock price target of $307 supports the claim that AvalonBay Communities can reach $300 in the near future.

2 Wall Street analysts forecast a $237 price target for AvalonBay Communities (AVB) this month, up 5.99% from its last price of $223.6. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target increased by 4.11% and increased by 0.40%, respectively.

AvalonBay Communities's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $3.03B (high $3.06B, low $2.97B), average EBITDA is $1.89B (high $1.91B, low $1.85B), average net income is $808.23M (high $820.36M, low $789.87M), average SG&A $83.02M (high $83.98M, low $81.57M), and average EPS is $5.68 (high $5.76, low $5.55). AVB's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $3.15B (high $3.19B, low $3.1B), average EBITDA is $1.97B (high $1.99B, low $1.93B), average net income is $924.74M (high $938.62M, low $903.73M), average SG&A $86.56M (high $87.56M, low $85.04M), and average EPS is $6.49 (high $6.59, low $6.35).

Based on AvalonBay Communities's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $2.59B, beating the average analysts forecast of $2.58B by 0.57%. Apple's EBITDA was $1.64B, missing the average prediction of $1.83B by -10.46%. The company's net income was $1.14B, beating the average estimation of $740.23M by 53.57%. Apple's SG&A was $74.06M, missing the average forecast of $78.43M by -5.56%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $8.13, beating the average prediction of $5.09 by 59.84%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), AvalonBay Communities's revenue was $697.64M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $691.24M by 0.93%. The company's EBITDA was $406.79M, missing the average prediction of $430.7M by -5.55%. AvalonBay Communities's net income was $172.03M, missing the average estimation of $179.68M by -4.26%. The company's SG&A was $20.47M, beating the average forecast of $18.96M by 7.92%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.21, missing the average prediction of $1.26 by -4.11%