AeroVironment (AVAV) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
AVAV Stock Forecast
AeroVironment stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $191.57 (represents a -1.70% downside from AVAV’s last price of $194.89) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 10 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
AVAV Price Target
The average price target for AeroVironment (AVAV) is $191.57 based on 1-year price targets from 10 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $245.00 to $90.00. This represents a potential -1.70% downside from AVAV's last price of $194.89.
AVAV Analyst Ratings
According to 10 Wall Street analysts, AeroVironment's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for AVAV stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 7 'Buy' (70.00%), 3 'Hold' (30.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
AeroVironment Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 05, 2024 | Ken Herbert | RBC Capital | $215.00 | $191.00 | 12.57% | 10.32% |
| Sep 03, 2024 | Ken Herbert | RBC Capital | $230.00 | $195.05 | 17.92% | 18.02% |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Pete Skibitski | Alembic Global | $216.00 | $177.76 | 21.51% | 10.83% |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Peter Arment | Robert W. Baird | $220.00 | $195.56 | 12.50% | 12.88% |
| Jul 01, 2024 | Andre Madrid | BTIG | $245.00 | $182.16 | 34.50% | 25.71% |
| Jun 25, 2024 | Ken Herbert | RBC Capital | $200.00 | $190.49 | 4.99% | 2.62% |
| Jun 06, 2024 | Greg Konrad | Jefferies | $230.00 | $204.68 | 12.37% | 18.02% |
| Apr 05, 2024 | Ken Herbert | RBC Capital | $165.00 | $146.42 | 12.69% | -15.34% |
| Oct 09, 2023 | Brian Gesuale | Raymond James | $125.00 | $110.03 | 13.61% | -35.86% |
| Aug 22, 2022 | Ken Herbert | RBC Capital | $115.00 | $101.00 | 13.86% | -40.99% |
The latest AeroVironment stock forecast, released on Sep 05, 2024 by Ken Herbert from RBC Capital, set a price target of $215.00, which represents a 12.57% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($191.00), and a 10.32% increase from AVAV last price ($194.89).
AeroVironment Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 4 | 8 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $220.25 | $215.13 |
| Last Closing Price | $194.89 | $194.89 | $194.89 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 13.01% | 10.39% |
In the current month, the average price target of AeroVironment stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to AeroVironment's last price of $194.89. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2024 | William Blair | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Raymond James | Outperform | Market Perform | Downgrade |
| Aug 30, 2024 | RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Aug 28, 2024 | BTIG | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jul 01, 2024 | BTIG | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jun 25, 2024 | BTIG | - | Buy | Initialise |
| Jun 25, 2024 | RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Jun 06, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Apr 05, 2024 | RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Dec 07, 2023 | Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
AeroVironment's last stock rating was published by William Blair on Sep 23, 2024. The company gave AVAV a "Outperform" rating, the same as its previous rate.
AeroVironment Financial Forecast
AeroVironment Revenue Forecast
| Apr 26 | Jan 26 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | Apr 25 | Jan 25 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | Apr 24 | Jan 24 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | Apr 23 | Jan 23 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Apr 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Apr 21 | Jan 21 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Apr 20 | Jan 20 | Oct 19 | Jul 19 | Apr 19 | Jan 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $311.85M | $291.56M | $238.94M | $186.04M | $134.40M | $111.58M | $108.52M | $132.62M | $90.09M | $122.01M | $101.01M | $136.01M | $78.78M | $92.67M | - | $135.22M | $61.89M | $83.27M | $86.91M | $87.93M | $75.32M |
| Avg Forecast | $267.50M | $245.05M | $220.50M | $213.53M | $244.33M | $210.99M | $181.76M | $183.18M | $188.48M | $170.62M | $170.91M | $128.50M | $159.52M | $123.56M | $113.86M | $102.92M | $134.41M | $106.72M | $130.83M | $97.34M | $147.19M | $75.46M | $81.76M | $80.48M | $122.97M | $68.82M | $81.01M | $85.16M | $82.44M | $75.25M |
| High Forecast | $292.18M | $267.65M | $240.84M | $233.22M | $266.87M | $221.15M | $188.71M | $183.53M | $188.48M | $170.62M | $177.31M | $140.36M | $174.23M | $134.95M | $122.58M | $110.81M | $144.70M | $114.90M | $140.86M | $104.80M | $158.46M | $81.24M | $88.03M | $86.64M | $132.39M | $74.09M | $87.22M | $91.68M | $88.76M | $81.02M |
| Low Forecast | $248.38M | $227.52M | $204.73M | $198.26M | $226.86M | $200.29M | $176.51M | $182.82M | $188.48M | $170.62M | $163.56M | $119.31M | $148.11M | $114.72M | $106.46M | $96.24M | $125.68M | $99.79M | $122.34M | $91.02M | $137.63M | $70.56M | $76.45M | $75.25M | $114.98M | $64.35M | $75.75M | $79.63M | $77.09M | $70.36M |
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.83% | 1.71% | 1.86% | 1.17% | 1.09% | 0.98% | 1.05% | 0.99% | 0.84% | 0.93% | 1.04% | 0.92% | 1.04% | 1.13% | - | 1.10% | 0.90% | 1.03% | 1.02% | 1.07% | 1.00% |
AeroVironment's average Quarter revenue forecast for Apr 24 based on 2 analysts is $188.48M, with a low forecast of $188.48M, and a high forecast of $188.48M. AVAV's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -39.56% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $311.85M (Jan 24).
AeroVironment EBITDA Forecast
| Apr 26 | Jan 26 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | Apr 25 | Jan 25 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | Apr 24 | Jan 24 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | Apr 23 | Jan 23 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Apr 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Apr 21 | Jan 21 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Apr 20 | Jan 20 | Oct 19 | Jul 19 | Apr 19 | Jan 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $14.33M | $25.18M | $26.37M | $44.06M | $17.85M | $4.77M | $10.32M | $26.45M | $522.00K | $8.00M | $-2.56M | $20.36M | $2.34M | $7.61M | - | $24.01M | $2.70M | $12.28M | $22.65M | $9.16M | $12.53M |
| Avg Forecast | $20.68M | $18.95M | $17.05M | $16.51M | $18.89M | $16.31M | $14.05M | $14.16M | $-15.95M | $13.19M | $13.21M | $9.94M | $-14.50M | $8.80M | $15.44M | $13.96M | $-13.18M | $14.47M | $17.74M | $14.90M | $19.96M | $10.23M | $11.09M | $10.91M | $5.04M | $9.33M | $10.98M | $11.55M | $6.89M | $10.20M |
| High Forecast | $22.59M | $20.69M | $18.62M | $18.03M | $20.63M | $17.10M | $14.59M | $14.19M | $-12.76M | $13.19M | $13.71M | $10.85M | $-11.60M | $10.56M | $16.62M | $15.02M | $-10.55M | $15.58M | $19.10M | $17.88M | $21.49M | $11.02M | $11.94M | $11.75M | $6.05M | $10.05M | $11.83M | $12.43M | $8.27M | $10.99M |
| Low Forecast | $19.20M | $17.59M | $15.83M | $15.33M | $17.54M | $15.49M | $13.65M | $14.13M | $-19.14M | $13.19M | $12.65M | $9.22M | $-17.40M | $7.04M | $14.44M | $13.05M | $-15.82M | $13.53M | $16.59M | $11.92M | $18.66M | $9.57M | $10.37M | $10.20M | $4.03M | $8.73M | $10.27M | $10.80M | $5.51M | $9.54M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.09% | 1.91% | 2.65% | -3.04% | 2.03% | 0.31% | 0.74% | -2.01% | 0.04% | 0.45% | -0.17% | 1.02% | 0.23% | 0.69% | - | 4.76% | 0.29% | 1.12% | 1.96% | 1.33% | 1.23% |
2 analysts predict AVAV's average Quarter EBITDA for Apr 24 to be $-15.95M, with a high of $-12.76M and a low of $-19.14M. This is -211.29% lower than AeroVironment's previous annual EBITDA (Jan 24) of $14.33M.
AeroVironment Net Income Forecast
| Apr 26 | Jan 26 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | Apr 25 | Jan 25 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | Apr 24 | Jan 24 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | Apr 23 | Jan 23 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Apr 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Apr 21 | Jan 21 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Apr 20 | Jan 20 | Oct 19 | Jul 19 | Apr 19 | Jan 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $13.88M | $17.84M | $21.89M | $-160.21M | $-259.00K | $-5.36M | $-7.89M | $2.79M | $-206.00K | $1.42M | $-13.98M | $10.95M | $211.00K | $2.09M | - | $17.47M | $-1.01M | $7.50M | $17.11M | $5.68M | $8.37M |
| Avg Forecast | $35.07M | $31.82M | $27.29M | $26.02M | $29.41M | $24.23M | $19.58M | $17.66M | $-232.64K | $9.24M | $17.58M | $7.40M | $-211.49K | $2.37M | $5.66M | $3.11M | $-192.27K | $8.52M | $17.62M | $8.01M | $22.96M | $94.26K | $8.72M | $11.34M | $-1.88M | $4.90M | $8.13M | $10.24M | $4.60M | $3.84M |
| High Forecast | $39.27M | $35.63M | $30.56M | $29.14M | $32.94M | $25.09M | $20.47M | $17.75M | $-186.11K | $9.24M | $26.77M | $8.29M | $-169.19K | $2.84M | $6.22M | $3.42M | $-153.81K | $9.37M | $19.37M | $9.61M | $25.24M | $103.65K | $9.59M | $12.47M | $-1.51M | $5.39M | $8.94M | $11.26M | $5.52M | $4.23M |
| Low Forecast | $31.81M | $28.86M | $24.75M | $23.60M | $26.68M | $23.65M | $18.69M | $17.56M | $-279.17K | $9.23M | $12.07M | $6.71M | $-253.79K | $1.90M | $5.18M | $2.85M | $-230.72K | $7.81M | $16.13M | $6.41M | $21.02M | $86.31K | $7.98M | $10.39M | $-2.26M | $4.49M | $7.44M | $9.38M | $3.68M | $3.52M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.50% | 1.01% | 2.96% | 757.52% | -0.11% | -0.95% | -2.54% | -14.49% | -0.02% | 0.08% | -1.75% | 0.48% | 2.24% | 0.24% | - | -9.27% | -0.21% | 0.92% | 1.67% | 1.23% | 2.18% |
AeroVironment's average Quarter net income forecast for Apr 24 is $-232.64K, with a range of $-279.17K to $-186.11K. AVAV's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -101.68% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $13.88M (Jan 24).
AeroVironment SG&A Forecast
| Apr 26 | Jan 26 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | Apr 25 | Jan 25 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | Apr 24 | Jan 24 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | Apr 23 | Jan 23 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Apr 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Apr 21 | Jan 21 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Apr 20 | Jan 20 | Oct 19 | Jul 19 | Apr 19 | Jan 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $27.83M | $28.15M | $23.83M | $61.60M | $24.75M | $23.61M | $21.94M | $21.94M | $22.55M | $24.82M | $27.13M | $24.84M | $15.65M | $14.98M | - | $16.34M | $13.22M | $16.25M | $13.67M | $20.28M | $14.46M |
| Avg Forecast | $50.98M | $46.70M | $42.02M | $40.69M | $46.56M | $40.21M | $34.64M | $34.91M | $25.47M | $32.52M | $32.57M | $24.49M | $23.15M | $23.29M | $21.48M | $19.42M | $21.05M | $20.13M | $24.68M | $18.18M | $27.77M | $14.24M | $15.42M | $15.18M | $24.72M | $12.98M | $15.28M | $16.07M | $7.96M | $14.20M |
| High Forecast | $55.68M | $51.01M | $45.90M | $44.45M | $50.86M | $42.14M | $35.96M | $34.98M | $30.56M | $32.52M | $33.79M | $26.75M | $27.78M | $27.95M | $23.13M | $20.90M | $25.25M | $21.68M | $26.57M | $21.81M | $29.89M | $15.33M | $16.61M | $16.35M | $29.66M | $13.98M | $16.45M | $17.30M | $9.55M | $15.28M |
| Low Forecast | $47.33M | $43.36M | $39.02M | $37.78M | $43.23M | $38.17M | $33.64M | $34.84M | $20.37M | $32.52M | $31.17M | $22.74M | $18.52M | $18.64M | $20.08M | $18.16M | $16.84M | $18.83M | $23.08M | $14.54M | $25.96M | $13.31M | $14.42M | $14.20M | $19.77M | $12.14M | $14.29M | $15.02M | $6.36M | $13.27M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.86% | 0.86% | 0.97% | 2.66% | 1.06% | 1.10% | 1.13% | 1.04% | 1.12% | 1.01% | 1.49% | 0.89% | 1.10% | 0.97% | - | 0.66% | 1.02% | 1.06% | 0.85% | 2.55% | 1.02% |
AeroVironment's average Quarter SG&A projection for Apr 24 is $25.47M, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $20.37M to $30.56M. The forecast indicates a -8.48% fall compared to AVAV last annual SG&A of $27.83M (Jan 24).
AeroVironment EPS Forecast
| Apr 26 | Jan 26 | Oct 25 | Jul 25 | Apr 25 | Jan 25 | Oct 24 | Jul 24 | Apr 24 | Jan 24 | Oct 23 | Jul 23 | Apr 23 | Jan 23 | Oct 22 | Jul 22 | Apr 22 | Jan 22 | Oct 21 | Jul 21 | Apr 21 | Jan 21 | Oct 20 | Jul 20 | Apr 20 | Jan 20 | Oct 19 | Jul 19 | Apr 19 | Jan 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.84 | $-6.29 | $-0.01 | $-0.22 | $-0.32 | $0.11 | $-0.01 | $0.06 | $-0.57 | $0.45 | $0.01 | $0.09 | - | $0.73 | $-0.04 | $0.32 | $0.72 | $0.24 | $0.35 |
| Avg Forecast | $1.24 | $1.13 | $0.96 | $0.92 | $1.04 | $0.86 | $0.69 | $0.62 | $0.22 | $0.33 | $0.62 | $0.26 | $0.95 | $0.45 | $0.20 | $0.11 | $0.39 | $0.30 | $0.62 | $-0.24 | $0.81 | - | $0.31 | $0.40 | $0.69 | $0.17 | $0.29 | $0.36 | $0.26 | $0.14 |
| High Forecast | $1.39 | $1.26 | $1.08 | $1.03 | $1.16 | $0.89 | $0.72 | $0.63 | $0.22 | $0.33 | $0.95 | $0.29 | $1.06 | $0.50 | $0.22 | $0.12 | $0.43 | $0.33 | $0.68 | $-0.22 | $0.89 | - | $0.34 | $0.44 | $0.76 | $0.19 | $0.32 | $0.40 | $0.29 | $0.15 |
| Low Forecast | $1.12 | $1.02 | $0.88 | $0.83 | $0.94 | $0.84 | $0.66 | $0.62 | $0.22 | $0.33 | $0.43 | $0.24 | $0.86 | $0.40 | $0.18 | $0.10 | $0.36 | $0.28 | $0.57 | $-0.27 | $0.74 | - | $0.28 | $0.37 | $0.63 | $0.16 | $0.26 | $0.33 | $0.24 | $0.12 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.21% | -6.63% | -0.02% | -1.10% | -2.91% | 0.28% | -0.03% | 0.09% | 2.36% | 0.55% | 3.00% | 0.29% | - | 1.05% | -0.23% | 1.11% | 1.99% | 0.92% | 2.58% |
According to 2 Wall Street analysts, AeroVironment's projected average Quarter EPS for Apr 24 is $0.22, with a low estimate of $0.22 and a high estimate of $0.22. This represents a 43328.00% increase compared to AVAV previous annual EPS of - (Jan 24).
AeroVironment Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HII | Huntington Ingalls Industries | $191.61 | $244.83 | 27.78% | Hold |
| MRCY | Mercury Systems | $38.97 | $46.33 | 18.89% | Hold |
| EVTL | Vertical Aerospace | $4.88 | $5.75 | 17.83% | Buy |
| TXT | Textron | $81.28 | $87.43 | 7.57% | Buy |
| GD | General Dynamics | $280.96 | $302.14 | 7.54% | Buy |
| LHX | L3Harris | $243.58 | $253.76 | 4.18% | Buy |
| NOC | Northrop Grumman | $491.02 | $503.44 | 2.53% | Hold |
| LMT | Lockheed Martin | $533.26 | $536.06 | 0.53% | Buy |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne | $57.99 | $58.00 | 0.02% | Hold |
| RTX | RTX | $118.96 | $118.40 | -0.47% | Hold |
| AVAV | AeroVironment | $194.89 | $191.57 | -1.70% | Buy |
| TDG | TransDigm Group | $1.25K | $1.03K | -17.57% | Buy |
| ERJ | Embraer | $37.69 | $28.50 | -24.38% | Hold |
| RKLB | Rocket Lab USA | $20.50 | $7.81 | -61.90% | Buy |