Arcos Dorados (ARCO) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
ARCO Stock Forecast
Arcos Dorados stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $12.15 (represents a 42.94% upside from ARCO’s last price of $8.50) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 5 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
ARCO Price Target
The average price target for Arcos Dorados (ARCO) is $12.15 based on 1-year price targets from 5 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $14.30 to $10.00. This represents a potential 42.94% upside from ARCO's last price of $8.50.
ARCO Analyst Ratings
According to 5 Wall Street analysts, Arcos Dorados's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for ARCO stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 5 'Buy' (100.00%), 0 'Hold' (0.00%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Arcos Dorados Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2024 | Thiago Bortoluci | Goldman Sachs | $14.30 | $9.14 | 56.46% | 68.24% |
| Feb 06, 2023 | - | Barclays | $10.00 | $8.40 | 19.05% | 17.65% |
| Aug 17, 2022 | - | Goldman Sachs | $10.00 | $7.36 | 35.87% | 17.65% |
The latest Arcos Dorados stock forecast, released on Jun 14, 2024 by Thiago Bortoluci from Goldman Sachs, set a price target of $14.30, which represents a 56.46% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($9.14), and a 68.24% increase from ARCO last price ($8.50).
Arcos Dorados Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | - | 1 |
| Avg Price Target | - | - | $14.30 |
| Last Closing Price | $8.50 | $8.50 | $8.50 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | -100.00% | 68.24% |
In the current month, the average price target of Arcos Dorados stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Arcos Dorados's last price of $8.50. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2024 | Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Feb 06, 2023 | Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Dec 09, 2022 | Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Dec 09, 2022 | Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| Aug 17, 2022 | Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Jun 15, 2022 | Bradesco | - | Outperform | Upgrade |
| Feb 23, 2022 | Credit Suisse | - | Outperform | Upgrade |
Arcos Dorados's last stock rating was published by Goldman Sachs on Jun 14, 2024. The company gave ARCO a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.
Arcos Dorados Financial Forecast
Arcos Dorados Revenue Forecast
| Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Sep 18 | Jun 18 | Mar 18 | Jun 16 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $990.79M | $1.02B | $921.70M | $887.89M | $790.68M | $780.29M | $725.84M | $592.70M | $561.12M | $607.39M | $466.80M | $292.52M | $617.50M | $754.37M | $747.60M | $721.02M | $731.00M | $724.37M | $734.53M | $849.89M | $687.30M |
| Avg Forecast | $1.26B | $1.14B | $1.20B | $1.12B | $1.06B | $1.02B | $1.15B | $1.09B | $1.04B | $951.11M | $1.02B | $891.08M | $811.56M | $723.47M | $763.03M | $673.46M | $563.85M | $541.06M | $578.82M | $410.14M | $247.45M | $572.70M | $752.67M | $725.08M | $736.52M | $731.85M | $597.61M | $603.18M | $1.13B | $32.73M |
| High Forecast | $1.29B | $1.17B | $1.22B | $1.14B | $1.09B | $1.05B | $1.18B | $1.12B | $1.07B | $973.88M | $1.05B | $912.41M | $811.56M | $723.47M | $763.03M | $673.46M | $563.85M | $541.06M | $578.82M | $410.14M | $247.45M | $572.70M | $752.67M | $725.08M | $736.52M | $731.85M | $717.13M | $723.81M | $1.36B | $39.27M |
| Low Forecast | $1.23B | $1.11B | $1.17B | $1.10B | $1.04B | $997.75M | $1.12B | $1.07B | $1.02B | $928.34M | $997.54M | $869.75M | $811.56M | $723.47M | $763.03M | $673.46M | $563.85M | $541.06M | $578.82M | $410.14M | $247.45M | $572.70M | $752.67M | $725.08M | $736.52M | $731.85M | $478.09M | $482.54M | $906.55M | $26.18M |
| # Analysts | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 10 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.04% | 1.00% | 1.03% | 1.09% | 1.09% | 1.02% | 1.08% | 1.05% | 1.04% | 1.05% | 1.14% | 1.18% | 1.08% | 1.00% | 1.03% | 0.98% | 1.00% | 1.21% | 1.22% | 0.75% | 21.00% |
Arcos Dorados's average Quarter revenue forecast for Jun 23 based on 0 analysts is $1.04B, with a low forecast of $1.02B, and a high forecast of $1.07B. ARCO's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 5.28% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $990.79M (Mar 23).
Arcos Dorados EBITDA Forecast
| Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Sep 18 | Jun 18 | Mar 18 | Jun 16 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 10 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $66.17M | $112.12M | $102.27M | $91.07M | $78.46M | $78.56M | $37.29M | $58.41M | $12.87M | $73.43M | $23.30M | $-42.01M | $-719.00K | $95.57M | $79.05M | $60.30M | $62.44M | $89.25M | $50.74M | $46.64M | $103.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $85.90M | $77.65M | $81.50M | $76.07M | $72.50M | $69.64M | $78.37M | $74.59M | $71.06M | $64.79M | $69.62M | $22.56M | $55.29M | $90.71M | $41.85M | $20.51M | $58.41M | $138.94M | $31.75M | $22.50M | $-35.20M | $-14.88M | $41.28M | $32.61M | $82.92M | $70.24M | $70.32M | $38.05M | $58.30M | $1.80M |
| High Forecast | $87.95M | $79.51M | $83.45M | $77.40M | $74.24M | $71.30M | $80.25M | $76.37M | $72.76M | $66.34M | $71.29M | $27.08M | $55.29M | $108.86M | $41.85M | $24.61M | $70.09M | $166.73M | $31.75M | $22.50M | $-28.16M | $-11.91M | $41.28M | $39.13M | $99.50M | $84.29M | $84.39M | $45.66M | $69.96M | $2.15M |
| Low Forecast | $83.84M | $75.79M | $79.55M | $74.75M | $70.76M | $67.97M | $76.50M | $72.80M | $69.36M | $63.24M | $67.96M | $18.05M | $55.29M | $72.57M | $41.85M | $16.41M | $46.73M | $111.15M | $31.75M | $22.50M | $-42.24M | $-17.86M | $41.28M | $26.08M | $66.33M | $56.19M | $56.26M | $30.44M | $46.64M | $1.44M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.02% | 1.61% | 4.53% | 1.65% | 0.86% | 1.88% | 1.82% | 1.00% | 0.09% | 2.31% | 1.04% | 1.19% | 0.05% | 2.32% | 2.42% | 0.73% | 0.89% | 1.27% | 1.33% | 0.80% | 57.37% |
0 analysts predict ARCO's average Quarter EBITDA for Jun 23 to be $71.06M, with a high of $72.76M and a low of $69.36M. This is 7.38% upper than Arcos Dorados's previous annual EBITDA (Mar 23) of $66.17M.
Arcos Dorados Net Income Forecast
| Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Sep 18 | Jun 18 | Mar 18 | Jun 16 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 10 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $37.41M | $54.49M | $46.87M | $14.48M | $24.50M | $45.65M | $24.70M | $4.93M | $-29.71M | $22.04M | $-29.61M | $-89.54M | $-52.33M | $32.96M | $25.75M | $10.98M | $12.16M | $26.03M | $10.70M | $518.00K | $43.43M |
| Avg Forecast | $33.71M | $35.81M | $38.97M | $35.05M | $28.09M | $33.71M | $66.36M | $45.51M | $29.48M | $28.38M | $48.45M | $14.95M | $25.28M | $26.95M | $33.00M | $13.59M | $4.93M | $-320.90M | $1.68M | $-30.11M | $-75.02M | $-1.08B | $15.65M | $10.62M | $15.09M | $13.69M | $20.51M | $8.03M | $647.50K | $898.98M |
| High Forecast | $34.75M | $36.93M | $40.19M | $36.14M | $28.96M | $34.75M | $68.42M | $46.93M | $30.40M | $29.26M | $49.96M | $17.94M | $25.28M | $32.34M | $33.00M | $16.31M | $5.92M | $-256.72M | $1.68M | $-30.11M | $-60.02M | $-866.62M | $15.65M | $12.75M | $18.11M | $16.42M | $24.61M | $9.63M | $777.00K | $1.08B |
| Low Forecast | $32.66M | $34.70M | $37.76M | $33.96M | $27.21M | $32.66M | $64.29M | $44.10M | $28.57M | $27.49M | $46.94M | $11.96M | $25.28M | $21.56M | $33.00M | $10.87M | $3.95M | $-385.08M | $1.68M | $-30.11M | $-90.03M | $-1.30B | $15.65M | $8.50M | $12.07M | $10.95M | $16.40M | $6.42M | $518.00K | $719.18M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.32% | 1.12% | 3.14% | 0.57% | 0.91% | 1.38% | 1.82% | 1.00% | 0.09% | 13.11% | 0.98% | 1.19% | 0.05% | 2.11% | 2.42% | 0.73% | 0.89% | 1.27% | 1.33% | 0.80% | 0.05% |
Arcos Dorados's average Quarter net income forecast for Jun 23 is $29.48M, with a range of $28.57M to $30.40M. ARCO's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -21.18% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $37.41M (Mar 23).
Arcos Dorados SG&A Forecast
| Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Sep 18 | Jun 18 | Mar 18 | Jun 16 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 10 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $65.59M | $70.09M | $58.64M | $55.00M | $55.54M | $63.07M | $53.52M | $49.35M | $44.97M | $46.77M | $38.56M | $37.25M | $48.80M | $55.30M | $50.38M | $52.35M | $52.36M | $50.16M | $57.92M | $57.65M | $53.21M |
| Avg Forecast | $107.66M | $97.33M | $102.15M | $95.35M | $90.87M | $87.28M | $98.23M | $93.49M | $89.06M | $81.21M | $87.27M | $32.38M | $69.30M | $61.09M | $57.69M | $29.44M | $49.35M | $485.63M | $43.76M | $31.01M | $31.21M | $43.30M | $56.90M | $20.78M | $71.98M | $58.90M | $39.52M | $43.44M | $72.06M | $2.47M |
| High Forecast | $110.24M | $99.66M | $104.59M | $97.01M | $93.05M | $89.37M | $100.59M | $95.72M | $91.20M | $83.16M | $89.35M | $38.86M | $69.30M | $73.31M | $57.69M | $35.32M | $59.22M | $582.76M | $43.76M | $31.01M | $37.45M | $43.30M | $56.90M | $24.94M | $86.37M | $70.68M | $47.42M | $52.13M | $86.47M | $2.97M |
| Low Forecast | $105.09M | $95.00M | $99.70M | $93.70M | $88.70M | $85.19M | $95.88M | $91.25M | $86.93M | $79.27M | $85.18M | $25.90M | $69.30M | $48.87M | $57.69M | $23.55M | $39.48M | $388.51M | $43.76M | $31.01M | $24.97M | $43.30M | $56.90M | $16.63M | $57.58M | $47.12M | $31.61M | $34.75M | $57.65M | $1.98M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.81% | 0.80% | 1.81% | 0.79% | 0.91% | 1.09% | 1.82% | 1.00% | 0.09% | 1.07% | 1.24% | 1.19% | 1.13% | 0.97% | 2.42% | 0.73% | 0.89% | 1.27% | 1.33% | 0.80% | 21.51% |
Arcos Dorados's average Quarter SG&A projection for Jun 23 is $89.06M, based on 0 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $86.93M to $91.20M. The forecast indicates a 35.78% rise compared to ARCO last annual SG&A of $65.59M (Mar 23).
Arcos Dorados EPS Forecast
| Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | Jun 19 | Mar 19 | Sep 18 | Jun 18 | Mar 18 | Jun 16 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | - | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 10 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.18 | $0.26 | $0.22 | $0.07 | $0.12 | $0.22 | $0.12 | $0.02 | $-0.14 | $0.11 | $-0.14 | $-0.43 | $-0.25 | $0.16 | $0.13 | $0.05 | $0.06 | $0.12 | $0.05 | - | $0.20 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.16 | $0.17 | $0.18 | $0.17 | $0.13 | $0.16 | $0.32 | $0.22 | $0.14 | $0.13 | $0.23 | $0.10 | $0.12 | $0.06 | $0.16 | $0.06 | $-0.04 | $-0.05 | $0.01 | $-0.14 | $-0.41 | $-0.00 | $0.07 | $0.09 | $0.08 | $0.09 | $0.07 | $0.03 | $0.10 | $-0.21 |
| High Forecast | $0.16 | $0.18 | $0.19 | $0.17 | $0.14 | $0.16 | $0.32 | $0.22 | $0.14 | $0.14 | $0.24 | $0.10 | $0.12 | $0.06 | $0.16 | $0.06 | $-0.04 | $-0.05 | $0.01 | $-0.14 | $-0.41 | $-0.00 | $0.07 | $0.09 | $0.08 | $0.09 | $0.09 | $0.04 | $0.12 | $-0.17 |
| Low Forecast | $0.16 | $0.16 | $0.18 | $0.16 | $0.13 | $0.16 | $0.31 | $0.21 | $0.14 | $0.13 | $0.22 | $0.10 | $0.12 | $0.06 | $0.16 | $0.06 | $-0.04 | $-0.05 | $0.01 | $-0.14 | $-0.41 | $-0.00 | $0.07 | $0.09 | $0.08 | $0.09 | $0.06 | $0.02 | $0.08 | $-0.25 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.34% | 1.13% | 2.20% | 0.58% | 2.12% | 1.40% | 1.89% | -0.56% | 3.00% | 13.59% | 0.98% | 1.06% | 78.00% | 2.15% | 1.44% | 0.63% | 0.63% | 1.67% | 1.62% | 0.02% | -0.95% |
According to 0 Wall Street analysts, Arcos Dorados's projected average Quarter EPS for Jun 23 is $0.14, with a low estimate of $0.14 and a high estimate of $0.14. This represents a -22.24% decrease compared to ARCO previous annual EPS of $0.18 (Mar 23).
Arcos Dorados Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIN | Dine Brands Global | $30.01 | $62.63 | 108.70% | Buy |
| DENN | Denny's | $6.61 | $11.75 | 77.76% | Hold |
| BLMN | Bloomin' Brands | $17.54 | $25.50 | 45.38% | Hold |
| ARCO | Arcos Dorados | $8.50 | $12.15 | 42.94% | Buy |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants | $32.25 | $39.60 | 22.79% | Buy |
| CAKE | Cheesecake Factory | $38.29 | $40.77 | 6.48% | Buy |
| CHUY | Chuy's | $37.36 | $39.25 | 5.06% | Hold |
| EAT | Brinker | $75.19 | $55.30 | -26.45% | Hold |
| WING | Wingstop | $416.66 | $297.53 | -28.59% | Hold |
ARCO Forecast FAQ
Is Arcos Dorados a good buy?
Yes, according to 5 Wall Street analysts, Arcos Dorados (ARCO) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 5 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 100.00% of ARCO's total ratings.
What is ARCO's price target?
Arcos Dorados (ARCO) average price target is $12.15 with a range of $10 to $14.3, implying a 42.94% from its last price of $8.5. The data is based on 5 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.
Will Arcos Dorados stock go up soon?
According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for ARCO stock, the company can go up by 42.94% (from the last price of $8.5 to the average price target of $12.15), up by 68.24% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 17.65% based on the lowest stock price target.
Can Arcos Dorados stock reach $13?
ARCO's highest twelve months analyst stock price target of $14.3 supports the claim that Arcos Dorados can reach $13 in the near future.
What are Arcos Dorados's analysts' financial forecasts?
Arcos Dorados's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2023) are as follows: average revenue is $4.24B (high $4.34B, low $4.14B), average EBITDA is $288.81M (high $295.72M, low $281.89M), average net income is $169.73M (high $175.01M, low $164.45M), average SG&A $362M (high $370.66M, low $353.33M), and average EPS is $0.806 (high $0.831, low $0.781). ARCO's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2024) are as follows: average revenue is $4.4B (high $4.5B, low $4.3B), average EBITDA is $299.71M (high $306.38M, low $293.03M), average net income is $135.82M (high $140.05M, low $131.59M), average SG&A $375.66M (high $384.03M, low $367.29M), and average EPS is $0.645 (high $0.665, low $0.625).
Did the ARCO's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?
Based on Arcos Dorados's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $3.62B, beating the average analysts forecast of $3.45B by 4.95%. Apple's EBITDA was $264.42M, beating the average prediction of $238.18M by 11.02%. The company's net income was $140.34M, beating the average estimation of $115.63M by 21.37%. Apple's SG&A was $239.26M, missing the average forecast of $250.03M by -4.31%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.67, beating the average prediction of $0.507 by 32.24%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Mar 2023), Arcos Dorados's revenue was $990.79M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $951.11M by 4.17%. The company's EBITDA was $66.18M, beating the average prediction of $64.79M by 2.13%. Arcos Dorados's net income was $37.41M, beating the average estimation of $28.38M by 31.83%. The company's SG&A was $65.59M, missing the average forecast of $81.21M by -19.23%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.18, beating the average prediction of $0.135 by 33.63%