American Homes 4 Rent (AMH) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
AMH Stock Forecast
American Homes 4 Rent stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $41.89 (represents a 11.59% upside from AMH’s last price of $37.54) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 11 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
AMH Price Target
The average price target for American Homes 4 Rent (AMH) is $41.89 based on 1-year price targets from 11 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $48.00 to $32.00. This represents a potential 11.59% upside from AMH's last price of $37.54.
AMH Analyst Ratings
According to 11 Wall Street analysts, American Homes 4 Rent's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for AMH stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 8 'Buy' (72.73%), 3 'Hold' (27.27%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
American Homes 4 Rent Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2024 | Steve Sakwa | Evercore ISI | $42.00 | $35.30 | 19.00% | 11.88% |
| Sep 04, 2024 | Julien Blouin | Goldman Sachs | $48.00 | $39.59 | 21.24% | 27.86% |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Steve Sakwa | Evercore ISI | $41.00 | $38.83 | 5.59% | 9.22% |
| Aug 26, 2024 | James Feldman | Wells Fargo | $42.00 | $38.57 | 8.89% | 11.88% |
| Aug 05, 2024 | Brad Heffern | RBC Capital | $42.00 | $37.08 | 13.27% | 11.88% |
| May 29, 2024 | Anthony Powell | Barclays | $42.00 | $35.71 | 17.61% | 11.88% |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Aaron Hecht | JMP Securities | $41.00 | $36.85 | 11.26% | 9.22% |
| Jan 03, 2023 | - | Jefferies | $32.00 | $30.14 | 6.17% | -14.76% |
| Sep 19, 2022 | - | Evercore ISI | $38.00 | $35.24 | 7.82% | 1.23% |
| Aug 08, 2022 | - | RBC Capital | $42.00 | $37.05 | 13.36% | 11.88% |
The latest American Homes 4 Rent stock forecast, released on Nov 11, 2024 by Steve Sakwa from Evercore ISI, set a price target of $42.00, which represents a 19.00% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($35.30), and a 11.88% increase from AMH last price ($37.54).
American Homes 4 Rent Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| Avg Price Target | $42.00 | $43.25 | $42.57 |
| Last Closing Price | $37.54 | $37.54 | $37.54 |
| Upside/Downside | 11.88% | 15.21% | 13.40% |
In the current month, the average price target of American Homes 4 Rent stock is $42.00, according to 1 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 11.88% increase as opposed to American Homes 4 Rent's last price of $37.54. This month's average price target is down -2.89% compared to last quarter, and down -1.34% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2024 | Evercore ISI | Positive | Outperform | Upgrade |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Evercore ISI | Positive | Positive | Hold |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Wells Fargo | - | Overweight | Upgrade |
| Aug 07, 2024 | Scotiabank | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Aug 05, 2024 | RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| May 29, 2024 | Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
| May 16, 2024 | Scotiabank | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| May 13, 2024 | RBC Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Hold |
| May 13, 2024 | Raymond James | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| May 13, 2024 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Market Perform | Market Perform | Hold |
American Homes 4 Rent's last stock rating was published by Evercore ISI on Nov 11, 2024. The company Upgrade its AMH rating from "Positive" to "Outperform".
American Homes 4 Rent Financial Forecast
American Homes 4 Rent Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $408.66M | $421.70M | $395.55M | $397.70M | $380.93M | $391.63M | $361.88M | $356.11M | $338.09M | $339.56M | $313.65M | $312.57M | $299.33M | $310.81M | $283.10M | $289.59M | $284.01M | $298.30M |
| Avg Forecast | $292.14M | $281.17M | $277.62M | $275.37M | $478.46M | $484.20M | $460.30M | $459.56M | $442.97M | $443.81M | $422.46M | $421.28M | $410.87M | $415.16M | $395.17M | $394.54M | $374.85M | $375.18M | $359.06M | $353.20M | $346.53M | $332.46M | $313.40M | $308.98M | $303.92M | $299.24M | $283.87M | $290.59M | $287.07M | $289.81M |
| High Forecast | $302.61M | $291.25M | $287.58M | $285.25M | $495.62M | $501.57M | $476.81M | $468.83M | $463.37M | $444.87M | $422.46M | $421.28M | $421.22M | $432.34M | $409.34M | $408.69M | $388.29M | $375.18M | $359.06M | $353.20M | $346.53M | $332.46M | $313.40M | $308.98M | $303.92M | $299.24M | $283.87M | $290.59M | $287.07M | $289.81M |
| Low Forecast | $274.97M | $264.64M | $261.31M | $259.19M | $450.34M | $455.75M | $433.25M | $450.29M | $404.54M | $442.76M | $422.46M | $421.28M | $369.91M | $361.07M | $371.94M | $371.36M | $352.82M | $375.18M | $359.06M | $353.20M | $346.53M | $332.46M | $313.40M | $308.98M | $303.92M | $299.24M | $283.87M | $290.59M | $287.07M | $289.81M |
| # Analysts | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.99% | 1.02% | 1.00% | 1.01% | 1.02% | 1.04% | 1.01% | 1.01% | 0.98% | 1.02% | 1.00% | 1.01% | 0.98% | 1.04% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 0.99% | 1.03% |
American Homes 4 Rent's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 4 analysts is $421.28M, with a low forecast of $421.28M, and a high forecast of $421.28M. AMH's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 3.09% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $408.66M (Dec 23).
American Homes 4 Rent EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $381.63M | $369.52M | $204.87M | $206.72M | $200.81M | $193.66M | $188.62M | $181.47M | $179.30M | $168.22M | $167.24M | $162.07M | $157.86M | $152.60M | $143.54M | $146.56M | $151.75M | $150.84M |
| Avg Forecast | $146.78M | $141.27M | $139.49M | $138.36M | $240.40M | $243.28M | $231.27M | $230.90M | $222.57M | $222.99M | $212.26M | $211.67M | $206.44M | $208.59M | $198.55M | $198.24M | $141.15M | $188.06M | $179.98M | $59.97M | $173.70M | $166.65M | $157.09M | $89.14M | $152.34M | $150.00M | $142.29M | $122.13M | $143.90M | $145.27M |
| High Forecast | $152.05M | $146.34M | $144.49M | $143.32M | $249.02M | $252.01M | $239.57M | $235.56M | $232.82M | $223.52M | $212.26M | $211.67M | $211.64M | $217.23M | $205.67M | $205.34M | $169.38M | $188.06M | $179.98M | $71.97M | $173.70M | $166.65M | $157.09M | $106.97M | $152.34M | $150.00M | $142.29M | $146.56M | $143.90M | $145.27M |
| Low Forecast | $138.16M | $132.97M | $131.29M | $130.23M | $226.27M | $228.99M | $217.68M | $226.25M | $203.26M | $222.46M | $212.26M | $211.67M | $185.86M | $181.42M | $186.88M | $186.58M | $112.92M | $188.06M | $179.98M | $47.98M | $173.70M | $166.65M | $157.09M | $71.31M | $152.34M | $150.00M | $142.29M | $97.71M | $143.90M | $145.27M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.85% | 1.77% | 1.03% | 1.04% | 1.42% | 1.03% | 1.05% | 3.03% | 1.03% | 1.01% | 1.06% | 1.82% | 1.04% | 1.02% | 1.01% | 1.20% | 1.05% | 1.04% |
4 analysts predict AMH's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $211.67M, with a high of $211.67M and a low of $211.67M. This is -44.54% lower than American Homes 4 Rent's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $381.63M.
American Homes 4 Rent Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $76.62M | $74.11M | $101.52M | $200.53M | $67.54M | $54.20M | $66.21M | $61.70M | $53.87M | $42.63M | $48.60M | $44.00M | $40.86M | $36.33M | $29.15M | $34.03M | $37.37M | $37.30M |
| Avg Forecast | $63.48M | $61.18M | $58.70M | $55.96M | $77.16M | $69.74M | $66.99M | $66.20M | $60.73M | $53.36M | $53.41M | $55.65M | $49.62M | $44.79M | $39.25M | $40.27M | $43.09M | $40.17M | $41.35M | $33.56M | $39.79M | $28.06M | $17.11M | $24.20M | $21.49M | $11.58M | $9.20M | $28.35M | $20.57M | $13.77M |
| High Forecast | $66.44M | $64.04M | $61.43M | $58.57M | $80.75M | $72.99M | $70.12M | $67.63M | $62.08M | $54.07M | $53.47M | $55.72M | $50.80M | $65.15M | $41.08M | $42.15M | $51.71M | $40.17M | $41.35M | $40.28M | $39.79M | $28.06M | $17.11M | $29.04M | $21.49M | $11.58M | $9.20M | $34.03M | $20.57M | $13.77M |
| Low Forecast | $58.63M | $56.51M | $54.21M | $51.68M | $71.26M | $64.41M | $61.87M | $63.32M | $56.10M | $52.66M | $53.36M | $55.58M | $45.83M | $32.57M | $36.25M | $37.19M | $34.48M | $40.17M | $41.35M | $26.85M | $39.79M | $28.06M | $17.11M | $19.36M | $21.49M | $11.58M | $9.20M | $22.68M | $20.57M | $13.77M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.54% | 1.65% | 2.59% | 4.98% | 1.57% | 1.35% | 1.60% | 1.84% | 1.35% | 1.52% | 2.84% | 1.82% | 1.90% | 3.14% | 3.17% | 1.20% | 1.82% | 2.71% |
American Homes 4 Rent's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $55.65M, with a range of $55.58M to $55.72M. AMH's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -27.36% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $76.62M (Dec 23).
American Homes 4 Rent SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $18.49M | $18.34M | $19.94M | $17.86M | $14.94M | $16.99M | $18.85M | $17.28M | $15.80M | $12.65M | $12.79M | $15.21M | $13.19M | $12.57M | $11.49M | $11.27M | $12.18M | $11.11M |
| Avg Forecast | $12.49M | $12.02M | $11.87M | $11.77M | $20.45M | $20.70M | $19.67M | $19.64M | $18.93M | $18.97M | $18.06M | $18.01M | $17.56M | $17.74M | $16.89M | $16.86M | $12.64M | $16.00M | $15.31M | $10.37M | $14.77M | $14.17M | $13.36M | $8.36M | $12.96M | $12.76M | $12.10M | $9.39M | $12.24M | $12.36M |
| High Forecast | $12.93M | $12.45M | $12.29M | $12.19M | $21.18M | $21.44M | $20.38M | $20.04M | $19.81M | $19.01M | $18.06M | $18.01M | $18.00M | $18.48M | $17.50M | $17.47M | $15.17M | $16.00M | $15.31M | $12.44M | $14.77M | $14.17M | $13.36M | $10.04M | $12.96M | $12.76M | $12.10M | $11.27M | $12.24M | $12.36M |
| Low Forecast | $11.75M | $11.31M | $11.17M | $11.08M | $19.25M | $19.48M | $18.52M | $19.25M | $17.29M | $18.92M | $18.06M | $18.01M | $15.81M | $15.43M | $15.90M | $15.87M | $10.11M | $16.00M | $15.31M | $8.30M | $14.77M | $14.17M | $13.36M | $6.69M | $12.96M | $12.76M | $12.10M | $7.51M | $12.24M | $12.36M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.05% | 1.03% | 1.18% | 1.06% | 1.18% | 1.06% | 1.23% | 1.67% | 1.07% | 0.89% | 0.96% | 1.82% | 1.02% | 0.99% | 0.95% | 1.20% | 1.00% | 0.90% |
American Homes 4 Rent's average Quarter SG&A projection for Mar 24 is $18.01M, based on 4 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $18.01M to $18.01M. The forecast indicates a -2.60% fall compared to AMH last annual SG&A of $18.49M (Dec 23).
American Homes 4 Rent EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.20 | $0.27 | $0.56 | $0.19 | $0.14 | $0.16 | $0.16 | $0.16 | $0.13 | $0.15 | $0.14 | $0.13 | $0.12 | $0.10 | $0.11 | $0.12 | $0.12 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.17 | $0.17 | $0.16 | $0.15 | $0.21 | $0.19 | $0.18 | $0.18 | $0.17 | $0.15 | $0.15 | $0.15 | $0.13 | $0.12 | $0.11 | $0.11 | $0.12 | $0.11 | $0.11 | $0.11 | $0.11 | $0.08 | $0.05 | $0.06 | $0.06 | $0.03 | $0.03 | $0.05 | $0.06 | $0.04 |
| High Forecast | $0.18 | $0.17 | $0.17 | $0.16 | $0.22 | $0.20 | $0.19 | $0.18 | $0.17 | $0.15 | $0.15 | $0.15 | $0.14 | $0.18 | $0.11 | $0.11 | $0.12 | $0.11 | $0.11 | $0.11 | $0.11 | $0.08 | $0.05 | $0.06 | $0.06 | $0.03 | $0.03 | $0.05 | $0.06 | $0.04 |
| Low Forecast | $0.16 | $0.15 | $0.15 | $0.14 | $0.19 | $0.18 | $0.17 | $0.17 | $0.15 | $0.14 | $0.15 | $0.15 | $0.12 | $0.09 | $0.10 | $0.10 | $0.11 | $0.11 | $0.11 | $0.11 | $0.11 | $0.08 | $0.05 | $0.06 | $0.06 | $0.03 | $0.03 | $0.05 | $0.06 | $0.04 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.00% | 1.64% | 2.53% | 5.11% | 1.63% | 1.28% | 1.42% | 1.40% | 1.48% | 1.70% | 3.22% | 2.30% | 2.22% | 3.81% | 3.99% | 2.39% | 2.14% | 3.20% |
According to 4 Wall Street analysts, American Homes 4 Rent's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.15, with a low estimate of $0.15 and a high estimate of $0.15. This represents a 75595.00% increase compared to AMH previous annual EPS of - (Dec 23).
American Homes 4 Rent Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUI | Sun Communities | $126.26 | $179.00 | 41.77% | Buy |
| MAA | Mid-America Apartment Communities | $157.74 | $187.90 | 19.12% | Hold |
| AMH | American Homes 4 Rent | $37.54 | $41.89 | 11.59% | Buy |
| EQR | Equity Residential | $73.92 | $82.03 | 10.97% | Buy |
| UMH | UMH Properties | $19.15 | $20.50 | 7.05% | Buy |
| BRT | BRT Apartments | $19.76 | $21.00 | 6.28% | Buy |
| UDR | UDR | $44.34 | $46.21 | 4.22% | Buy |
| ELS | Equity LifeStyle Properties | $70.67 | $73.29 | 3.71% | Buy |
| AVB | AvalonBay Communities | $228.14 | $235.00 | 3.01% | Buy |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust | $300.59 | $298.00 | -0.86% | Buy |
| NXRT | NexPoint Residential Trust | $45.77 | $44.67 | -2.40% | Buy |
| IRT | Independence Realty Trust | $21.35 | $19.33 | -9.46% | Buy |