Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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AMBP Stock Forecast


Ardagh Metal Packaging stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $5.05 (represents a 66.67% upside from AMBP’s last price of $3.03) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 7 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

AMBP Price Target


The average price target for Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) is $5.05 based on 1-year price targets from 7 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $5.10 to $5.00. This represents a potential 66.67% upside from AMBP's last price of $3.03.

AMBP Analyst Ratings


Buy

According to 7 Wall Street analysts, Ardagh Metal Packaging's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for AMBP stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 4 'Buy' (57.14%), 2 'Hold' (28.57%), 1 'Sell' (14.29%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Ardagh Metal Packaging Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Oct 17, 2024George StephosBank of America Securities$5.10$3.9728.46%68.32%
Oct 15, 2024Gabe HajdeWells Fargo$5.00$4.0025.16%65.02%
Mar 18, 2024Pamela KaufmanMorgan Stanley$3.20$3.39-5.60%5.61%
May 16, 2023Michael RoxlandTruist Financial$4.00$3.5014.12%32.01%
Jan 09, 2023Wells Fargo$4.65$5.46-14.76%53.47%
Dec 06, 2022Credit Suisse$8.00$4.4380.38%164.03%
Oct 28, 2022Mark WildeBMO Capital$5.00$3.9825.63%65.02%
Oct 14, 2022Arun ViswanathanRBC Capital$5.00$4.794.38%65.02%
Oct 03, 2022Barclays$7.00$4.8444.63%131.02%
Sep 07, 2022Morgan Stanley$6.50$6.224.42%114.52%
Jun 14, 2022Credit Suisse$10.00$5.9069.49%230.03%
Jun 02, 2022Morgan Stanley$7.50$6.5115.21%147.52%
May 02, 2022Michael LeitheadBarclays$9.00$7.1326.23%197.03%
Apr 29, 2022Wells Fargo$9.65$6.7542.96%218.48%

The latest Ardagh Metal Packaging stock forecast, released on Oct 17, 2024 by George Stephos from Bank of America Securities, set a price target of $5.10, which represents a 28.46% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($3.97), and a 68.32% increase from AMBP last price ($3.03).

Ardagh Metal Packaging Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-23
Avg Price Target-$5.05$4.43
Last Closing Price$3.03$3.03$3.03
Upside/Downside-100.00%66.67%46.20%

In the current month, the average price target of Ardagh Metal Packaging stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Ardagh Metal Packaging's last price of $3.03. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Oct 17, 2024Bank of America SecuritiesUnderperformBuyUpgrade
Oct 15, 2024Wells FargoEqual-WeightOverweightUpgrade
Sep 04, 2024Morgan StanleyUnderweightUnderweightHold
Jul 17, 2024UBSNeutralDowngrade
Apr 01, 2024Bank of America SecuritiesBuyUnderperformDowngrade
Jan 09, 2023Wells FargoEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Dec 15, 2022Bank of America SecuritiesBuyUpgrade
Dec 06, 2022Credit SuisseOutperformOutperformHold
Oct 28, 2022BMO CapitalOutperformMarket PerformDowngrade
Oct 03, 2022BarclaysOverweightOverweightHold
Sep 07, 2022Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Jun 14, 2022Credit SuisseOutperformOutperformHold
Jun 06, 2022BarclaysEqual-WeightOverweightUpgrade
Jun 02, 2022Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
May 02, 2022BarclaysEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Apr 29, 2022Wells FargoOverweightOverweightHold
Apr 25, 2022BMO CapitalOutperformUpgrade
Feb 28, 2022BarclaysEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Feb 25, 2022Credit SuisseOutperformOutperformHold

Ardagh Metal Packaging's last stock rating was published by Bank of America Securities on Oct 17, 2024. The company Upgrade its AMBP rating from "Underperform" to "Buy".

Ardagh Metal Packaging Financial Forecast


Ardagh Metal Packaging Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21
Revenue---------------$1.13B$1.08B$1.17B$1.30B$1.14B$1.09B$1.04B$991.00M
Avg Forecast$1.22B$1.39B$1.33B$1.20B$1.19B$1.35B$1.30B$1.17B$1.16B$1.34B$1.32B$1.14B$1.11B$1.24B$1.32B$1.13B$1.14B$1.17B$1.15B$1.12B$1.02B$1.02B$991.00M
High Forecast$1.25B$1.43B$1.37B$1.23B$1.22B$1.39B$1.33B$1.20B$1.20B$1.35B$1.32B$1.14B$1.14B$1.26B$1.35B$1.16B$1.17B$1.17B$1.15B$1.12B$1.02B$1.02B$991.00M
Low Forecast$1.19B$1.36B$1.30B$1.17B$1.16B$1.32B$1.27B$1.14B$1.12B$1.34B$1.32B$1.14B$1.09B$1.22B$1.29B$1.11B$1.12B$1.17B$1.15B$1.12B$1.02B$1.02B$991.00M
# Analysts11111112421114221111222
Surprise %---------------1.00%0.94%1.00%1.14%1.01%1.07%1.02%1.00%

Ardagh Metal Packaging's average Quarter revenue forecast for Jun 23 based on 2 analysts is $1.32B, with a low forecast of $1.29B, and a high forecast of $1.35B. AMBP's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 16.28% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.13B (Mar 23).

Ardagh Metal Packaging EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21
# Analysts11111112421114221111222
EBITDA---------------$67.00M$68.00M$181.00M$230.00M$175.00M$127.00M$-55.00M$164.00M
Avg Forecast$155.82M$177.67M$170.34M$153.79M$151.82M$173.37M$166.10M$150.31M$148.85M$171.94M$168.87M$146.66M$142.27M$159.38M$168.45M$145.02M$146.45M$152.92M$149.44M$116.00M$132.73M$-26.89M$129.03M
High Forecast$160.11M$182.56M$175.02M$158.02M$155.99M$178.14M$170.67M$154.04M$153.98M$172.33M$168.87M$146.66M$146.19M$161.48M$173.08M$149.00M$150.48M$152.92M$149.44M$139.20M$132.73M$-21.51M$129.03M
Low Forecast$152.39M$173.76M$166.59M$150.40M$148.47M$169.55M$162.44M$146.58M$143.71M$171.54M$168.87M$146.66M$139.14M$155.76M$164.74M$141.82M$143.23M$152.92M$149.44M$92.80M$132.73M$-32.27M$129.03M
Surprise %---------------0.46%0.46%1.18%1.54%1.51%0.96%2.05%1.27%

2 analysts predict AMBP's average Quarter EBITDA for Jun 23 to be $168.45M, with a high of $173.08M and a low of $164.74M. This is 151.42% upper than Ardagh Metal Packaging's previous annual EBITDA (Mar 23) of $67.00M.

Ardagh Metal Packaging Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21
# Analysts11111112421114221111222
Net Income---------------$-13.00M$12.00M$68.00M$100.00M$57.00M$16.00M$-178.00M$26.00M
Avg Forecast$31.95M$56.30M$50.87M$19.47M$28.93M$51.83M$42.99M$10.93M$15.71M$42.69M$30.53M$3.08M$25.26M$33.83M$31.86M$10.79M$50.31M$50.82M$50.65M$38.00M$55.27M$-87.02M$59.77M
High Forecast$33.09M$58.31M$52.69M$20.17M$29.96M$53.68M$44.53M$11.32M$23.56M$44.01M$30.55M$3.13M$26.16M$47.37M$33.00M$11.18M$52.11M$50.82M$50.65M$45.60M$55.27M$-69.62M$59.77M
Low Forecast$31.04M$54.69M$49.42M$18.92M$28.10M$50.35M$41.76M$10.62M$15.26M$41.37M$30.50M$3.03M$24.54M$13.53M$30.95M$10.48M$48.87M$50.82M$50.65M$30.40M$55.27M$-104.43M$59.77M
Surprise %----------------1.20%0.24%1.34%1.97%1.50%0.29%2.05%0.44%

Ardagh Metal Packaging's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 23 is $10.79M, with a range of $10.48M to $11.18M. AMBP's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -10.08% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $12.00M (Dec 22).

Ardagh Metal Packaging SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21
# Analysts11111112421114221111222
SG&A---------------$56.00M$48.00M$47.00M$57.00M$60.00M$45.00M$270.00M$51.00M
Avg Forecast$73.85M$84.20M$80.73M$72.88M$71.95M$82.16M$78.72M$71.24M$70.54M$81.49M$80.03M$69.50M$67.43M$75.53M$79.83M$68.73M$69.41M$70.18M$68.58M$40.00M$60.91M$132.00M$59.21M
High Forecast$75.88M$86.52M$82.95M$74.89M$73.93M$84.42M$80.88M$73.00M$72.97M$81.67M$80.03M$69.50M$69.28M$76.53M$82.03M$70.62M$71.32M$70.18M$68.58M$48.00M$60.91M$158.40M$59.21M
Low Forecast$72.22M$82.35M$78.95M$71.28M$70.37M$80.35M$76.98M$69.47M$68.11M$81.30M$80.03M$69.50M$65.94M$73.82M$78.07M$67.21M$67.88M$70.18M$68.58M$32.00M$60.91M$105.60M$59.21M
Surprise %---------------0.81%0.69%0.67%0.83%1.50%0.74%2.05%0.86%

Ardagh Metal Packaging's average Quarter SG&A projection for Jun 23 is $79.83M, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $78.07M to $82.03M. The forecast indicates a 42.56% rise compared to AMBP last annual SG&A of $56.00M (Mar 23).

Ardagh Metal Packaging EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21
# Analysts11111112421114221111222
EPS---------------$-0.02$0.38$0.10$0.17$0.09$0.03$-0.32$0.04
Avg Forecast$0.05$0.09$0.09$0.03$0.05$0.09$0.07$0.02$0.03$0.07$0.05$0.01$0.04$0.06$0.05$0.02$0.08$0.09$0.08$0.06$0.09$0.09$0.10
High Forecast$0.06$0.10$0.09$0.03$0.05$0.09$0.07$0.02$0.04$0.07$0.05$0.01$0.04$0.08$0.06$0.02$0.09$0.09$0.08$0.06$0.09$0.09$0.10
Low Forecast$0.05$0.09$0.08$0.03$0.05$0.08$0.07$0.02$0.03$0.07$0.05$0.01$0.04$0.02$0.05$0.02$0.08$0.09$0.08$0.06$0.09$0.09$0.10
Surprise %----------------1.21%4.51%1.18%2.01%1.60%0.29%-3.75%0.43%

According to 2 Wall Street analysts, Ardagh Metal Packaging's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 23 is $0.02, with a low estimate of $0.02 and a high estimate of $0.02. This represents a -95.25% decrease compared to AMBP previous annual EPS of $0.38 (Dec 22).

Ardagh Metal Packaging Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
MYEMyers Industries$12.32$30.00143.51%
AMBPArdagh Metal Packaging$3.15$5.0560.32%Buy
OIO-I Glass$10.69$15.6346.21%Buy
CCKCrown$85.37$110.5629.51%Buy
AVYAvery Dennison$191.46$247.5029.27%Buy
REYNReynolds Consumer Products$27.91$35.0025.40%Hold
GEFGreif$64.35$80.5025.10%Buy
SONSonoco Products Company$50.46$58.5015.93%Buy
SEESealed Air$35.54$41.0015.36%Buy
AMCRAmcor$9.73$10.8011.00%Hold
PKGPackaging Corporation of America$232.55$252.508.58%Hold
SLGNSilgan$53.53$58.008.35%Buy
KRTKarat Packaging$31.38$33.005.16%Buy
PTVEPactiv Evergreen$17.33$15.50-10.56%Buy

AMBP Forecast FAQ


Is Ardagh Metal Packaging a good buy?

Yes, according to 7 Wall Street analysts, Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 4 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 57.14% of AMBP's total ratings.

What is AMBP's price target?

Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) average price target is $5.05 with a range of $5 to $5.1, implying a 66.67% from its last price of $3.03. The data is based on 7 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Ardagh Metal Packaging stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for AMBP stock, the company can go up by 66.67% (from the last price of $3.03 to the average price target of $5.05), up by 68.32% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 65.02% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Ardagh Metal Packaging stock reach $5?

AMBP's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $5.05 supports the claim that Ardagh Metal Packaging can reach $5 in the near future.

What are Ardagh Metal Packaging's analysts' financial forecasts?

Ardagh Metal Packaging's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $5.01B (high $5.14B, low $4.9B), average EBITDA is $641.6M (high $658.84M, low $627.05M), average net income is $134.69M (high $139.5M, low $130.83M), average SG&A $304.07M (high $312.24M, low $297.17M), and average EPS is $0.225 (high $0.233, low $0.219). AMBP's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $5.13B (high $5.28B, low $5.02B), average EBITDA is $657.62M (high $675.71M, low $643.14M), average net income is $158.6M (high $164.27M, low $154.06M), average SG&A $311.66M (high $320.23M, low $304.8M), and average EPS is $0.265 (high $0.275, low $0.258).

Did the AMBP's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Ardagh Metal Packaging's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $4.69B, beating the average analysts forecast of $4.59B by 2.17%. Apple's EBITDA was $734M, beating the average prediction of $564.82M by 29.95%. The company's net income was $237M, beating the average estimation of $189.78M by 24.88%. Apple's SG&A was $212M, missing the average forecast of $248.16M by -14.57%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.38, beating the average prediction of $0.31 by 22.49%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Mar 2023), Ardagh Metal Packaging's revenue was $1.13B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $1.13B by -0.10%. The company's EBITDA was $67M, missing the average prediction of $145.02M by -53.80%. Ardagh Metal Packaging's net income was $-13M, missing the average estimation of $10.79M by -220.47%. The company's SG&A was $56M, missing the average forecast of $68.73M by -18.52%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-0.0218, missing the average prediction of $0.0181 by -220.75%