Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
AMBP Stock Forecast
Ardagh Metal Packaging stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $5.29 (represents a 42.97% upside from AMBP’s last price of $3.70) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 7 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
AMBP Price Target
The average price target for Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) is $5.29 based on 1-year price targets from 7 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $8.00 to $3.20. This represents a potential 42.97% upside from AMBP's last price of $3.70.
AMBP Analyst Ratings
According to 7 Wall Street analysts, Ardagh Metal Packaging's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for AMBP stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 4 'Buy' (57.14%), 2 'Hold' (28.57%), 1 'Sell' (14.29%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Ardagh Metal Packaging Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2024 | George Stephos | Bank of America Securities | $5.10 | $3.97 | 28.46% | 37.84% |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Gabe Hajde | Wells Fargo | $5.00 | $4.00 | 25.16% | 35.14% |
| Mar 18, 2024 | Pamela Kaufman | Morgan Stanley | $3.20 | $3.39 | -5.60% | -13.51% |
| May 16, 2023 | Michael Roxland | Truist Financial | $4.00 | $3.50 | 14.12% | 8.11% |
| Jan 09, 2023 | - | Wells Fargo | $4.65 | $5.46 | -14.76% | 25.68% |
| Dec 06, 2022 | - | Credit Suisse | $8.00 | $4.43 | 80.38% | 116.22% |
| Oct 28, 2022 | Mark Wilde | BMO Capital | $5.00 | $3.98 | 25.63% | 35.14% |
| Oct 14, 2022 | Arun Viswanathan | RBC Capital | $5.00 | $4.79 | 4.38% | 35.14% |
| Oct 03, 2022 | - | Barclays | $7.00 | $4.84 | 44.63% | 89.19% |
| Sep 07, 2022 | - | Morgan Stanley | $6.50 | $6.22 | 4.42% | 75.68% |
The latest Ardagh Metal Packaging stock forecast, released on Oct 17, 2024 by George Stephos from Bank of America Securities, set a price target of $5.10, which represents a 28.46% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($3.97), and a 37.84% increase from AMBP last price ($3.70).
Ardagh Metal Packaging Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Avg Price Target | $5.05 | $5.05 | $4.43 |
| Last Closing Price | $3.70 | $3.70 | $3.70 |
| Upside/Downside | 36.49% | 36.49% | 19.73% |
In the current month, the average price target of Ardagh Metal Packaging stock is $5.05, according to 2 Wall Street analysts offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 36.49% increase as opposed to Ardagh Metal Packaging's last price of $3.70. This month's average price target is down 0.00% compared to last quarter, and up 14.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2024 | Bank of America Securities | Underperform | Buy | Upgrade |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Equal-Weight | Overweight | Upgrade |
| Sep 04, 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Underweight | Underweight | Hold |
| Jul 17, 2024 | UBS | - | Neutral | Downgrade |
| Apr 01, 2024 | Bank of America Securities | Buy | Underperform | Downgrade |
| Jan 09, 2023 | Wells Fargo | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
| Dec 15, 2022 | Bank of America Securities | - | Buy | Upgrade |
| Dec 06, 2022 | Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Oct 28, 2022 | BMO Capital | Outperform | Market Perform | Downgrade |
| Oct 03, 2022 | Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
Ardagh Metal Packaging's last stock rating was published by Bank of America Securities on Oct 17, 2024. The company Upgrade its AMBP rating from "Underperform" to "Buy".
Ardagh Metal Packaging Financial Forecast
Ardagh Metal Packaging Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $1.13B | $1.08B | $1.17B | $1.30B | $1.14B | $1.09B | $1.04B | $991.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $1.22B | $1.39B | $1.33B | $1.20B | $1.19B | $1.35B | $1.30B | $1.17B | $1.16B | $1.34B | $1.32B | $1.14B | $1.11B | $1.24B | $1.32B | $1.13B | $1.14B | $1.17B | $1.15B | $1.12B | $1.02B | $1.02B | $991.00M |
| High Forecast | $1.25B | $1.43B | $1.37B | $1.24B | $1.22B | $1.39B | $1.34B | $1.20B | $1.20B | $1.35B | $1.32B | $1.14B | $1.14B | $1.26B | $1.35B | $1.17B | $1.18B | $1.17B | $1.15B | $1.12B | $1.02B | $1.02B | $991.00M |
| Low Forecast | $1.19B | $1.36B | $1.30B | $1.17B | $1.16B | $1.32B | $1.26B | $1.14B | $1.12B | $1.34B | $1.32B | $1.14B | $1.08B | $1.22B | $1.28B | $1.10B | $1.12B | $1.17B | $1.15B | $1.12B | $1.02B | $1.02B | $991.00M |
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.00% | 0.94% | 1.00% | 1.14% | 1.01% | 1.07% | 1.02% | 1.00% |
Ardagh Metal Packaging's average Quarter revenue forecast for Jun 23 based on 2 analysts is $1.32B, with a low forecast of $1.28B, and a high forecast of $1.35B. AMBP's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 16.28% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $1.13B (Mar 23).
Ardagh Metal Packaging EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $67.00M | $68.00M | $181.00M | $230.00M | $175.00M | $127.00M | $-55.00M | $164.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $158.39M | $181.10M | $173.15M | $156.32M | $154.32M | $176.39M | $168.83M | $152.79M | $151.30M | $174.77M | $171.65M | $149.07M | $144.62M | $162.00M | $171.22M | $147.41M | $148.87M | $152.92M | $149.44M | $116.00M | $132.73M | $-26.89M | $129.03M |
| High Forecast | $163.08M | $186.46M | $178.27M | $160.95M | $158.89M | $181.61M | $173.83M | $156.58M | $156.51M | $175.17M | $171.65M | $149.07M | $148.90M | $164.14M | $176.29M | $151.77M | $153.27M | $152.92M | $149.44M | $139.20M | $132.73M | $-21.51M | $129.03M |
| Low Forecast | $154.47M | $176.62M | $168.86M | $152.45M | $150.50M | $172.03M | $164.66M | $149.00M | $146.08M | $174.37M | $171.65M | $149.07M | $141.04M | $158.32M | $166.99M | $143.76M | $145.18M | $152.92M | $149.44M | $92.80M | $132.73M | $-32.27M | $129.03M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.45% | 0.46% | 1.18% | 1.54% | 1.51% | 0.96% | 2.05% | 1.27% |
2 analysts predict AMBP's average Quarter EBITDA for Jun 23 to be $171.22M, with a high of $176.29M and a low of $166.99M. This is 155.56% upper than Ardagh Metal Packaging's previous annual EBITDA (Mar 23) of $67.00M.
Ardagh Metal Packaging Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-13.00M | $12.00M | $68.00M | $100.00M | $57.00M | $16.00M | $-178.00M | $26.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $31.95M | $56.16M | $50.87M | $19.47M | $28.93M | $51.81M | $42.99M | $10.93M | $15.71M | $42.69M | $30.53M | $3.08M | $25.26M | $33.83M | $31.86M | $10.79M | $50.31M | $50.82M | $50.65M | $38.00M | $55.27M | $-87.02M | $59.77M |
| High Forecast | $33.18M | $58.32M | $52.83M | $20.22M | $30.04M | $53.80M | $44.65M | $11.35M | $23.56M | $44.01M | $30.55M | $3.13M | $26.23M | $47.37M | $33.09M | $11.21M | $52.25M | $50.82M | $50.65M | $45.60M | $55.27M | $-69.62M | $59.77M |
| Low Forecast | $30.92M | $54.36M | $49.24M | $18.85M | $28.00M | $50.14M | $41.61M | $10.58M | $15.20M | $41.37M | $30.50M | $3.03M | $24.45M | $13.53M | $30.84M | $10.44M | $48.69M | $50.82M | $50.65M | $30.40M | $55.27M | $-104.43M | $59.77M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -1.20% | 0.24% | 1.34% | 1.97% | 1.50% | 0.29% | 2.05% | 0.44% |
Ardagh Metal Packaging's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 23 is $10.79M, with a range of $10.44M to $11.21M. AMBP's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -10.08% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $12.00M (Dec 22).
Ardagh Metal Packaging SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $56.00M | $48.00M | $47.00M | $57.00M | $60.00M | $45.00M | $270.00M | $51.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $72.68M | $83.11M | $79.46M | $71.74M | $70.82M | $80.95M | $77.48M | $70.11M | $69.43M | $80.20M | $78.77M | $68.41M | $66.37M | $74.34M | $78.57M | $67.64M | $68.32M | $70.18M | $68.58M | $40.00M | $60.91M | $132.00M | $59.21M |
| High Forecast | $74.84M | $85.57M | $81.81M | $73.86M | $72.91M | $83.34M | $79.77M | $71.85M | $71.82M | $80.39M | $78.77M | $68.41M | $68.33M | $75.33M | $80.90M | $69.65M | $70.34M | $70.18M | $68.58M | $48.00M | $60.91M | $158.40M | $59.21M |
| Low Forecast | $70.89M | $81.05M | $77.49M | $69.96M | $69.06M | $78.94M | $75.56M | $68.38M | $67.04M | $80.02M | $78.77M | $68.41M | $64.72M | $72.66M | $76.63M | $65.97M | $66.62M | $70.18M | $68.58M | $32.00M | $60.91M | $105.60M | $59.21M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.83% | 0.70% | 0.67% | 0.83% | 1.50% | 0.74% | 2.05% | 0.86% |
Ardagh Metal Packaging's average Quarter SG&A projection for Jun 23 is $78.57M, based on 2 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $76.63M to $80.90M. The forecast indicates a 40.31% rise compared to AMBP last annual SG&A of $56.00M (Mar 23).
Ardagh Metal Packaging EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-0.02 | $0.38 | $0.10 | $0.17 | $0.09 | $0.03 | $-0.32 | $0.04 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.05 | $0.09 | $0.09 | $0.03 | $0.05 | $0.09 | $0.07 | $0.02 | $0.03 | $0.07 | $0.05 | $0.01 | $0.04 | $0.06 | $0.05 | $0.02 | $0.08 | $0.09 | $0.08 | $0.06 | $0.09 | $0.09 | $0.10 |
| High Forecast | $0.06 | $0.10 | $0.09 | $0.03 | $0.05 | $0.09 | $0.07 | $0.02 | $0.04 | $0.07 | $0.05 | $0.01 | $0.04 | $0.08 | $0.06 | $0.02 | $0.09 | $0.09 | $0.08 | $0.06 | $0.09 | $0.09 | $0.10 |
| Low Forecast | $0.05 | $0.09 | $0.08 | $0.03 | $0.05 | $0.08 | $0.07 | $0.02 | $0.03 | $0.07 | $0.05 | $0.01 | $0.04 | $0.02 | $0.05 | $0.02 | $0.08 | $0.09 | $0.08 | $0.06 | $0.09 | $0.09 | $0.10 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -1.21% | 4.51% | 1.18% | 2.01% | 1.60% | 0.29% | -3.75% | 0.43% |
According to 2 Wall Street analysts, Ardagh Metal Packaging's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 23 is $0.02, with a low estimate of $0.02 and a high estimate of $0.02. This represents a -95.25% decrease compared to AMBP previous annual EPS of $0.38 (Dec 22).
Ardagh Metal Packaging Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MYE | Myers Industries | $12.00 | $30.00 | 150.00% | - |
| SEE | Sealed Air | $35.68 | $51.70 | 44.90% | Buy |
| AMBP | Ardagh Metal Packaging | $3.70 | $5.29 | 42.97% | Buy |
| SON | Sonoco Products Company | $50.71 | $68.00 | 34.10% | Buy |
| PTVE | Pactiv Evergreen | $12.18 | $15.50 | 27.26% | Buy |
| REYN | Reynolds Consumer Products | $27.58 | $35.00 | 26.90% | Hold |
| OI | O-I Glass | $12.77 | $15.67 | 22.71% | Buy |
| CCK | Crown | $92.25 | $110.56 | 19.85% | Buy |
| AVY | Avery Dennison | $202.98 | $239.17 | 17.83% | Buy |
| KRT | Karat Packaging | $30.63 | $33.00 | 7.74% | Buy |
| AMCR | Amcor | $10.11 | $10.80 | 6.82% | Hold |
| GEF | Greif | $68.93 | $73.50 | 6.63% | Buy |
| SLGN | Silgan | $55.13 | $53.40 | -3.14% | Buy |
| PKG | Packaging Corporation of America | $238.34 | $198.40 | -16.76% | Hold |