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Ambarella (AMBA) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

OverviewRevenueOwnershipFinancialsChartTranscripts

AMBA Stock Forecast

Ambarella stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $75.00 (represents a 1.58% upside from AMBA’s last price of $73.83) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 9 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

AMBA Price Target

The average price target for Ambarella (AMBA) is $75.00 based on 1-year price targets from 9 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $85.00 to $65.00. This represents a potential 1.58% upside from AMBA's last price of $73.83.

AMBA Analyst Ratings

Buy

According to 9 Wall Street analysts, Ambarella's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for AMBA stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 5 'Buy' (55.56%), 4 'Hold' (44.44%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Ambarella Price Target by Analyst

DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Aug 28, 2024Richard ShannonCraig-Hallum$85.00$57.3048.34%15.13%
Aug 27, 2024Gary MobleyWells Fargo$65.00$51.2026.94%-11.96%
May 31, 2024Angelo ZinoCFRA$60.00$57.264.79%-18.73%
May 29, 2024Kevin CassidyRosenblatt Securities$85.00$50.3568.82%15.13%
May 28, 2024Tore SvanbergStifel Nicolaus$75.00$50.1249.64%1.58%
May 31, 2023Christopher RollandSusquehanna$85.00$70.1921.10%15.13%
May 31, 2023Quinn BoltonNeedham$100.00$81.9622.01%35.45%
Dec 12, 2022Susquehanna$90.00$78.0715.28%21.90%
Dec 02, 2022Morgan Stanley$105.00$75.6938.71%42.22%
Dec 02, 2022Wells Fargo$95.00$70.9833.83%28.67%
Dec 02, 2022Needham$85.00$73.9314.97%15.13%
Aug 29, 2022Kevin CassidyRosenblatt Securities$125.00$84.6547.67%69.31%
May 27, 2022David KelleyJefferies$136.00$88.1054.37%84.21%
Apr 20, 2022Deutsche Bank$115.00$90.9926.39%55.76%
Mar 13, 2022Tore SvanbergStifel Nicolaus$160.00$85.4587.24%116.71%
Mar 01, 2022Richard ShannonCraig-Hallum$170.00$95.9877.12%130.26%
Mar 01, 2022Derek SoderbergColliers Securities$220.00$95.98129.21%197.98%
Mar 01, 2022Joseph MooreMorgan Stanley$164.00$95.9870.87%122.13%
Mar 01, 2022Tristan GerraRobert W. Baird$200.00$95.98108.38%170.89%
Jan 06, 2022Sujeeva De SilvaRoth Capital$260.00$168.5454.27%252.16%

The latest Ambarella stock forecast, released on Aug 28, 2024 by Richard Shannon from Craig-Hallum, set a price target of $85.00, which represents a 48.34% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($57.30), and a 15.13% increase from AMBA last price ($73.83).

Ambarella Price Target by Period

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts--5
Avg Price Target--$74.00
Last Closing Price$73.83$73.83$73.83
Upside/Downside-100.00%-100.00%0.23%

In the current month, the average price target of Ambarella stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Ambarella's last price of $73.83. This month's average price target is down NaN% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Nov 27, 2024NeedhamBuyBuyHold
Oct 21, 2024WestPark CapitalBuyBuyHold
Oct 21, 2024SusquehannaUnderperformUnderperformHold
Aug 28, 2024Craig-HallumBuyBuyHold
Aug 28, 2024KeyBancSector WeightSector WeightHold
Aug 28, 2024Cowen & Co.HoldHoldHold
Aug 28, 2024OppenheimerPerformPerformHold
Aug 28, 2024Morgan StanleyOverweightOverweightHold
Aug 27, 2024SusquehannaPositivePositiveHold
Aug 27, 2024Wells FargoEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Aug 23, 2024Wells FargoBuyBuyHold
Jun 11, 2024Wells FargoBuyBuyHold
Jun 11, 2024Rosenblatt SecuritiesUnderperformUnderperformHold
May 31, 2024CFRAHoldHoldHold
May 31, 2024Morgan StanleyOverweightOverweightHold
Apr 16, 2024SusquehannaBuyBuyHold
Feb 28, 2024Wells FargoBuyBuyHold
Feb 28, 2024SusquehannaUnderperformUnderperformHold
Oct 30, 2023Morgan StanleyOverweightOverweightHold
Aug 30, 2023Cowen & Co.OutperformMarket PerformDowngrade
Jul 25, 2023SusquehannaPositivePositiveHold
May 31, 2023NeedhamBuyBuyHold
May 31, 2023SusquehannaPositivePositiveHold
Apr 06, 2023Imperial CapitalOutperformUpgrade
Dec 12, 2022SusquehannaPositiveInitialise
Dec 02, 2022Morgan StanleyOverweightOverweightHold
Dec 02, 2022Wells FargoOverweightOverweightHold
Dec 02, 2022NeedhamBuyBuyHold
Jun 03, 2022Cowen & Co.OutperformOutperformHold
Jun 01, 2022NeedhamBuyBuyHold
Jun 01, 2022Wells FargoOverweightOverweightHold

Ambarella's last stock rating was published by Needham on Nov 27, 2024. The company gave AMBA a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Ambarella Financial Forecast

Ambarella Revenue Forecast

Jan 27Oct 26Jul 26Apr 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25Apr 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24Apr 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23Apr 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22May 22Jan 22Oct 21Jul 21May 21Jan 21Oct 20Jul 20May 20Jan 20Oct 19
Revenue------------$51.62M$50.59M$62.12M$62.14M$83.32M$83.10M$80.88M-$90.23M$92.17M$79.33M-$62.14M$56.09M$50.11M-$57.21M$67.92M
Avg Forecast$98.08M$101.65M$89.50M$80.16M$82.38M$86.56M$80.17M$74.29M$77.37M$79.01M$62.10M$53.98M$51.58M$50.01M$62.02M$61.99M$82.99M$83.01M$80.19M$90.01M$90.15M$90.33M$75.67M$68.64M$58.14M$54.07M$50.03M$54.32M$57.18M$65.00M
High Forecast$98.96M$102.56M$90.30M$80.88M$83.12M$87.34M$80.89M$74.96M$78.30M$79.10M$62.10M$53.98M$51.58M$50.20M$62.58M$62.55M$83.74M$84.91M$82.18M$92.25M$92.39M$92.57M$77.54M$70.34M$59.59M$55.41M$51.27M$55.67M$58.60M$66.61M
Low Forecast$97.59M$101.14M$89.05M$79.76M$81.97M$86.13M$79.77M$73.92M$76.94M$78.98M$62.10M$53.98M$51.58M$49.74M$61.71M$61.69M$82.58M$81.23M$78.46M$88.06M$88.20M$88.37M$74.02M$67.15M$56.88M$52.90M$48.94M$53.15M$55.94M$63.59M
# Analysts47464635884510115594496559655854
Surprise %------------1.00%1.01%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.01%-1.00%1.02%1.05%-1.07%1.04%1.00%-1.00%1.04%

Ambarella's average Quarter revenue forecast for Apr 24 based on 5 analysts is $53.98M, with a low forecast of $53.98M, and a high forecast of $53.98M. AMBA's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 4.58% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $51.62M (Jan 24).

Ambarella EBITDA Forecast

Jan 27Oct 26Jul 26Apr 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25Apr 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24Apr 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23Apr 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22May 22Jan 22Oct 21Jul 21May 21Jan 21Oct 20Jul 20May 20Jan 20Oct 19
# Analysts47464635884510115594496559655854
EBITDA------------$-40.33M$-41.97M$-35.34M$-35.54M$-23.44M$-20.13M$-20.19M-$-7.68M$2.53M$-2.82M-$-10.28M$-12.49M$-11.10M-$-8.72M$-2.46M
Avg Forecast$-22.85M$-23.68M$-20.85M$-18.67M$-19.19M$-20.16M$-18.68M$-17.31M$-18.02M$-18.41M$-14.47M$-8.63M$-12.02M$-11.65M$-14.45M$-7.85M$2.33M$-22.53M$-21.76M$-7.14M$-24.46M$-24.51M$-20.53M$-9.49M$-15.78M$-14.67M$-13.57M$-6.34M$-15.52M$-17.64M
High Forecast$-22.73M$-23.56M$-20.74M$-18.58M$-19.10M$-20.06M$-18.58M$-17.22M$-17.92M$-18.40M$-14.47M$-6.91M$-12.02M$-11.59M$-14.38M$-6.28M$2.80M$-22.04M$-21.29M$-5.71M$-23.93M$-23.98M$-20.09M$-7.59M$-15.44M$-14.35M$-13.28M$-5.07M$-15.18M$-17.25M
Low Forecast$-23.05M$-23.89M$-21.04M$-18.84M$-19.36M$-20.35M$-18.84M$-17.46M$-18.24M$-18.43M$-14.47M$-10.36M$-12.02M$-11.69M$-14.58M$-9.42M$1.86M$-23.04M$-22.30M$-8.56M$-25.07M$-25.12M$-21.04M$-11.38M$-16.17M$-15.04M$-13.91M$-7.61M$-15.90M$-18.07M
Surprise %------------3.36%3.60%2.45%4.53%-10.06%0.89%0.93%-0.31%-0.10%0.14%-0.65%0.85%0.82%-0.56%0.14%

6 analysts predict AMBA's average Quarter EBITDA for Jan 22 to be $-24.46M, with a high of $-23.93M and a low of $-25.07M. This is -1066.17% lower than Ambarella's previous annual EBITDA (Oct 21) of $2.53M.

Ambarella Net Income Forecast

Jan 27Oct 26Jul 26Apr 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25Apr 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24Apr 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23Apr 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22May 22Jan 22Oct 21Jul 21May 21Jan 21Oct 20Jul 20May 20Jan 20Oct 19
# Analysts47464635884510115594496559655854
Net Income------------$-60.61M$-41.71M$-31.20M$-35.90M$-11.11M$-19.81M$-23.65M-$-9.19M$756.00K$-7.16M-$-12.49M$-17.08M$-14.76M-$-12.98M$-4.31M
Avg Forecast$3.29M$6.89M$822.56K$-3.60M$-1.93M$1.42M$-1.38M$-4.04M$-1.05M$1.42M$-7.92M$-10.33M$-13.50M$-16.07M$-8.69M$-9.39M$695.83K$8.08M$7.97M$-8.54M$17.42M$20.10M$10.19M$-11.52M$3.29M$2.21M$-906.99K$-9.44M$4.69M$8.43M
High Forecast$3.33M$6.97M$832.16K$-3.58M$-1.92M$1.44M$-1.37M$-4.01M$-1.03M$1.78M$-7.86M$-8.26M$-13.41M$-13.60M$-8.64M$-7.51M$834.99K$8.32M$8.23M$-6.83M$17.98M$20.75M$10.52M$-9.22M$3.40M$2.28M$-881.42K$-7.55M$4.84M$8.70M
Low Forecast$3.27M$6.84M$817.24K$-3.64M$-1.96M$1.41M$-1.40M$-4.09M$-1.06M$1.07M$-8.01M$-12.39M$-13.66M$-16.89M$-8.79M$-11.27M$556.66K$7.85M$7.75M$-10.24M$16.93M$19.54M$9.90M$-13.83M$3.20M$2.15M$-936.25K$-11.33M$4.56M$8.19M
Surprise %------------4.49%2.60%3.59%3.82%-15.96%-2.45%-2.97%--0.53%0.04%-0.70%--3.80%-7.72%16.27%--2.77%-0.51%

Ambarella's average Quarter net income forecast for Jan 22 is $17.42M, with a range of $16.93M to $17.98M. AMBA's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 2203.76% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $756.00K (Oct 21).

Ambarella SG&A Forecast

Jan 27Oct 26Jul 26Apr 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25Apr 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24Apr 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23Apr 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22May 22Jan 22Oct 21Jul 21May 21Jan 21Oct 20Jul 20May 20Jan 20Oct 19
# Analysts47464635884510115594496559655854
SG&A------------$19.99M$18.25M$18.88M$18.62M$20.03M$18.94M$18.91M-$21.11M$17.48M$15.82M-$14.63M$14.47M$13.45M-$13.34M$13.79M
Avg Forecast$24.76M$25.66M$22.59M$20.24M$20.80M$21.85M$20.24M$18.75M$19.53M$19.95M$15.68M$23.72M$13.02M$12.62M$15.66M$21.57M$16.08M$20.33M$19.64M$19.61M$22.07M$22.12M$18.53M$13.50M$14.24M$13.24M$12.25M$9.70M$14.00M$15.91M
High Forecast$24.98M$25.89M$22.80M$20.42M$20.98M$22.05M$20.42M$18.92M$19.77M$19.97M$15.68M$28.47M$13.02M$12.67M$15.80M$25.88M$19.30M$20.79M$20.12M$23.53M$22.62M$22.67M$18.99M$16.20M$14.59M$13.57M$12.55M$11.64M$14.35M$16.31M
Low Forecast$24.63M$25.53M$22.48M$20.13M$20.69M$21.74M$20.14M$18.66M$19.42M$19.94M$15.68M$18.98M$13.02M$12.56M$15.58M$17.25M$12.87M$19.89M$19.21M$15.69M$21.59M$21.64M$18.12M$10.80M$13.93M$12.95M$11.98M$7.76M$13.70M$15.57M
Surprise %------------1.53%1.45%1.21%0.86%1.25%0.93%0.96%-0.96%0.79%0.85%-1.03%1.09%1.10%-0.95%0.87%

Ambarella's average Quarter SG&A projection for Apr 24 is $23.72M, based on 5 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $18.98M to $28.47M. The forecast indicates a 18.70% rise compared to AMBA last annual SG&A of $19.99M (Jan 24).

Ambarella EPS Forecast

Jan 27Oct 26Jul 26Apr 26Jan 26Oct 25Jul 25Apr 25Jan 25Oct 24Jul 24Apr 24Jan 24Oct 23Jul 23Apr 23Jan 23Oct 22Jul 22May 22Jan 22Oct 21Jul 21May 21Jan 21Oct 20Jul 20May 20Jan 20Oct 19
# Analysts47464635884510115594496559655854
EPS------------$-1.50$-1.04$-0.79$-0.91$-0.29$-0.51$-0.62-$-0.25$0.02$-0.20-$-0.35$-0.49$-0.43-$-0.39$-0.13
Avg Forecast$0.08$0.17$0.02$-0.09$-0.05$0.03$-0.03$-0.10$-0.03$0.03$-0.19$-0.31$-0.33$-0.39$-0.21$-0.21$0.14$0.20$0.19$0.37$0.42$0.49$0.25$0.17$0.08$0.05$-0.02$-0.01$0.11$0.20
High Forecast$0.08$0.17$0.02$-0.09$-0.05$0.03$-0.03$-0.10$-0.02$0.04$-0.19$-0.31$-0.33$-0.33$-0.21$-0.20$0.15$0.20$0.20$0.38$0.44$0.50$0.26$0.18$0.08$0.06$-0.02$-0.01$0.12$0.21
Low Forecast$0.08$0.17$0.02$-0.09$-0.05$0.03$-0.03$-0.10$-0.03$0.03$-0.19$-0.32$-0.33$-0.41$-0.21$-0.21$0.14$0.19$0.19$0.36$0.41$0.47$0.24$0.17$0.08$0.05$-0.02$-0.01$0.11$0.20
Surprise %------------4.57%2.66%3.74%4.41%-2.02%-2.60%-3.20%--0.59%0.04%-0.81%--4.37%-9.10%19.50%--3.42%-0.63%

According to 6 Wall Street analysts, Ambarella's projected average Quarter EPS for Jan 22 is $0.42, with a low estimate of $0.41 and a high estimate of $0.44. This represents a 1965.61% increase compared to AMBA previous annual EPS of $0.02 (Oct 21).

Ambarella Peer Comparison by Price Target

TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
ACLSAxcelis$74.83$174.00132.53%Buy
AEHRAehr Test Systems$14.54$25.0071.94%Buy
UCTTUltra Clean$37.08$57.0053.72%Buy
ONTOOnto Innovation$172.23$258.3349.99%Buy
AMATApplied Materials$170.34$232.6036.55%Buy
IPGPIPG Photonics$76.34$100.0030.99%Buy
ENTGEntegris$109.36$142.7530.53%Buy
KLICKulicke and Soffa Industries$49.83$65.0030.44%Hold
KLACKLA$654.88$822.5025.60%Buy
LRCXLam Research$77.81$96.0023.38%Buy
TERTeradyne$128.01$148.3815.91%Buy
COHUCohu$27.41$30.009.45%Buy
AMBAAmbarella$73.83$75.001.58%Buy
PLABPhotronics$26.23$25.50-2.78%Buy

AMBA Forecast FAQ

Is Ambarella a good buy?

Yes, according to 9 Wall Street analysts, Ambarella (AMBA) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 5 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 55.56% of AMBA's total ratings.

What is AMBA's price target?

Ambarella (AMBA) average price target is $75 with a range of $65 to $85, implying a 1.58% from its last price of $73.83. The data is based on 9 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Ambarella stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for AMBA stock, the company can go up by 1.58% (from the last price of $73.83 to the average price target of $75), up by 15.13% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -11.96% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Ambarella stock reach $110?

AMBA's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $75 does not support the claim that Ambarella can reach $110 in the near future.

What are Ambarella's analysts' financial forecasts?

Ambarella's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Jan 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $323.41M (high $326.31M, low $321.8M), average EBITDA is $-75.337M (high $-74.962M, low $-76.014M), average net income is $-5.934M (high $-5.869M, low $-6.029M), average SG&A $81.64M (high $82.37M, low $81.23M), and average EPS is $-0.144 (high $-0.143, low $-0.147). AMBA's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Jan 2027) are as follows: average revenue is $369.38M (high $372.69M, low $367.54M), average EBITDA is $-86.046M (high $-85.618M, low $-86.819M), average net income is $7.4M (high $7.55M, low $7.29M), average SG&A $93.24M (high $94.08M, low $92.78M), and average EPS is $0.18 (high $0.184, low $0.177).

Did the AMBA's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Ambarella's last annual report (Jan 2024), the company's revenue was $226.47M, beating the average analysts forecast of $225.61M by 0.38%. Apple's EBITDA was $-148M, beating the average prediction of $-45.962M by 223.08%. The company's net income was $-169M, beating the average estimation of $-47.651M by 255.54%. Apple's SG&A was $74.06M, beating the average forecast of $62.87M by 17.80%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-4.25, beating the average prediction of $-1.137 by 273.95%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Jan 2024), Ambarella's revenue was $51.62M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $51.58M by 0.06%. The company's EBITDA was $-40.333M, beating the average prediction of $-12.017M by 235.65%. Ambarella's net income was $-60.607M, beating the average estimation of $-13.499M by 348.97%. The company's SG&A was $19.99M, beating the average forecast of $13.02M by 53.49%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-1.5, beating the average prediction of $-0.328 by 357.01%