Ambarella (AMBA) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

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AMBA Stock Forecast

Ambarella stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $122.38 (represents a 107.32% upside from AMBA’s last price of $59.03) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 9 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

AMBA Price Target

The average price target for Ambarella (AMBA) is $122.38 based on 1-year price targets from 9 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $260.00 to $60.00. This represents a potential 107.32% upside from AMBA's last price of $59.03.

AMBA Analyst Ratings

Buy

According to 9 Wall Street analysts, Ambarella's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for AMBA stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 5 'Buy' (55.56%), 4 'Hold' (44.44%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Ambarella Price Target by Analyst

Date	Analyst	Company	Price Target	Price when Published	Price Target/Price when Published	Price Target/Last Closing Price
Aug 28, 2024	Richard Shannon	Craig-Hallum	$85.00	$57.30	48.34%	43.99%
Aug 27, 2024	Gary Mobley	Wells Fargo	$65.00	$51.20	26.94%	10.11%
May 31, 2024	Angelo Zino	CFRA	$60.00	$57.26	4.79%	1.64%
May 29, 2024	Kevin Cassidy	Rosenblatt Securities	$85.00	$50.35	68.82%	43.99%
May 28, 2024	Tore Svanberg	Stifel Nicolaus	$75.00	$50.12	49.64%	27.05%
May 31, 2023	Christopher Rolland	Susquehanna	$85.00	$70.19	21.10%	43.99%
May 31, 2023	Quinn Bolton	Needham	$100.00	$81.96	22.01%	69.41%
Dec 12, 2022	-	Susquehanna	$90.00	$78.07	15.28%	52.46%
Dec 02, 2022	-	Morgan Stanley	$105.00	$75.69	38.71%	77.88%
Dec 02, 2022	-	Wells Fargo	$95.00	$70.98	33.83%	60.94%

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The latest Ambarella stock forecast, released on Aug 28, 2024 by Richard Shannon from Craig-Hallum, set a price target of $85.00, which represents a 48.34% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($57.30), and a 43.99% increase from AMBA last price ($59.03).

Ambarella Price Target by Period

	1M	3M	12M
# Anlaysts	-	2	5
Avg Price Target	-	$75.00	$74.00
Last Closing Price	$59.03	$59.03	$59.03
Upside/Downside	-100.00%	27.05%	25.36%

In the current month, the average price target of Ambarella stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Ambarella's last price of $59.03. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

Date	Company	Previous Rating	New Rating	Rating Change
Oct 21, 2024	Susquehanna	Underperform	Underperform	Hold
Oct 21, 2024	WestPark Capital	Buy	Buy	Hold
Aug 28, 2024	Craig-Hallum	Buy	Buy	Hold
Aug 28, 2024	KeyBanc	Sector Weight	Sector Weight	Hold
Aug 28, 2024	Cowen & Co.	Hold	Hold	Hold
Aug 28, 2024	Oppenheimer	Perform	Perform	Hold
Aug 28, 2024	Morgan Stanley	Overweight	Overweight	Hold
Aug 27, 2024	Wells Fargo	Equal-Weight	Equal-Weight	Hold
Aug 27, 2024	Susquehanna	Positive	Positive	Hold
Aug 23, 2024	Wells Fargo	Buy	Buy	Hold

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Ambarella's last stock rating was published by Susquehanna on Oct 21, 2024. The company gave AMBA a "Underperform" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Ambarella Financial Forecast

Ambarella Revenue Forecast

	Jan 27	Oct 26	Jul 26	May 26	Jan 26	Oct 25	Jul 25	May 25	Jan 25	Oct 24	Jul 24	May 24	Jan 24	Oct 23	Jul 23	May 23	Jan 23	Oct 22	Jul 22	May 22	Jan 22	Oct 21	Jul 21	May 21	Jan 21	Oct 20	Jul 20	May 20	Jan 20	Oct 19
Revenue	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$51.62M	$50.59M	$62.12M	-	$83.32M	$83.10M	$80.88M	-	$90.23M	$92.17M	$79.33M	-	$62.14M	$56.09M	$50.11M	-	$57.21M	$67.92M
Avg Forecast	$101.63M	$108.20M	$93.75M	$83.33M	$83.68M	$89.48M	$76.53M	$67.65M	$69.17M	$79.01M	$62.10M	$53.98M	$51.58M	$50.01M	$62.02M	$61.99M	$82.99M	$83.01M	$80.19M	$90.01M	$90.15M	$90.33M	$75.67M	$68.64M	$58.14M	$54.07M	$50.03M	$54.32M	$57.18M	$65.00M
High Forecast	$105.19M	$112.00M	$97.04M	$86.26M	$86.62M	$92.61M	$79.21M	$70.02M	$71.27M	$79.10M	$62.10M	$53.98M	$51.58M	$50.20M	$64.20M	$64.17M	$85.90M	$84.91M	$82.18M	$92.25M	$92.39M	$92.57M	$77.54M	$70.34M	$59.59M	$55.41M	$51.27M	$55.67M	$58.60M	$66.61M
Low Forecast	$98.21M	$104.56M	$90.60M	$80.53M	$80.87M	$86.47M	$73.96M	$65.38M	$67.67M	$78.98M	$62.10M	$53.98M	$51.58M	$49.74M	$59.94M	$59.91M	$80.20M	$81.23M	$78.46M	$88.06M	$88.20M	$88.37M	$74.02M	$67.15M	$56.88M	$52.90M	$48.94M	$53.15M	$55.94M	$63.59M
# Analysts	6	5	4	8	5	3	3	6	9	9	4	6	9	11	5	5	8	4	4	9	6	5	5	9	6	5	5	8	5	4
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.00%	1.01%	1.00%	-	1.00%	1.00%	1.01%	-	1.00%	1.02%	1.05%	-	1.07%	1.04%	1.00%	-	1.00%	1.04%

Ambarella's average Quarter revenue forecast for May 24 based on 6 analysts is $53.98M, with a low forecast of $53.98M, and a high forecast of $53.98M. AMBA's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 4.58% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $51.62M (Jan 24).

Ambarella EBITDA Forecast

	Jan 27	Oct 26	Jul 26	May 26	Jan 26	Oct 25	Jul 25	May 25	Jan 25	Oct 24	Jul 24	May 24	Jan 24	Oct 23	Jul 23	May 23	Jan 23	Oct 22	Jul 22	May 22	Jan 22	Oct 21	Jul 21	May 21	Jan 21	Oct 20	Jul 20	May 20	Jan 20	Oct 19
# Analysts	6	5	4	8	5	3	3	6	9	9	4	6	9	11	5	5	8	4	4	9	6	5	5	9	6	5	5	8	5	4
EBITDA	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$-40.33M	$-41.97M	$-35.34M	-	$-23.44M	$-20.13M	$-20.19M	-	$-7.68M	$2.53M	$-2.82M	-	$-10.28M	$-12.49M	$-11.10M	-	$-8.72M	$-2.46M
Avg Forecast	$-23.67M	$-25.21M	$-21.84M	$-19.41M	$-19.49M	$-20.84M	$-17.83M	$-15.76M	$-16.11M	$-18.41M	$-14.47M	$-8.63M	$-12.02M	$-11.65M	$-14.45M	$-7.85M	$2.33M	$-22.53M	$-21.76M	$-7.14M	$-24.46M	$-24.51M	$-20.53M	$-9.49M	$-15.78M	$-14.67M	$-13.57M	$-6.34M	$-15.52M	$-17.64M
High Forecast	$-22.88M	$-24.36M	$-21.10M	$-18.76M	$-18.84M	$-20.14M	$-17.23M	$-15.23M	$-15.76M	$-18.40M	$-14.47M	$-6.91M	$-12.02M	$-11.59M	$-13.96M	$-6.28M	$2.80M	$-22.04M	$-21.29M	$-5.71M	$-23.93M	$-23.98M	$-20.09M	$-7.59M	$-15.44M	$-14.35M	$-13.28M	$-5.07M	$-15.18M	$-17.25M
Low Forecast	$-24.50M	$-26.09M	$-22.61M	$-20.09M	$-20.18M	$-21.57M	$-18.45M	$-16.31M	$-16.60M	$-18.43M	$-14.47M	$-10.36M	$-12.02M	$-11.69M	$-14.96M	$-9.42M	$1.86M	$-23.04M	$-22.30M	$-8.56M	$-25.07M	$-25.12M	$-21.04M	$-11.38M	$-16.17M	$-15.04M	$-13.91M	$-7.61M	$-15.90M	$-18.07M
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3.36%	3.60%	2.45%	-	-10.06%	0.89%	0.93%	-	0.31%	-0.10%	0.14%	-	0.65%	0.85%	0.82%	-	0.56%	0.14%

6 analysts predict AMBA's average Quarter EBITDA for Jan 22 to be $-24.46M, with a high of $-23.93M and a low of $-25.07M. This is -1066.17% lower than Ambarella's previous annual EBITDA (Oct 21) of $2.53M.

Ambarella Net Income Forecast

	Jan 27	Oct 26	Jul 26	May 26	Jan 26	Oct 25	Jul 25	May 25	Jan 25	Oct 24	Jul 24	May 24	Jan 24	Oct 23	Jul 23	May 23	Jan 23	Oct 22	Jul 22	May 22	Jan 22	Oct 21	Jul 21	May 21	Jan 21	Oct 20	Jul 20	May 20	Jan 20	Oct 19
# Analysts	6	5	4	8	5	3	3	6	9	9	4	6	9	11	5	5	8	4	4	9	6	5	5	9	6	5	5	8	5	4
Net Income	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$-60.61M	$-41.71M	$-31.20M	-	$-11.11M	$-19.81M	$-23.65M	-	$-9.19M	$756.00K	$-7.16M	-	$-12.49M	$-17.08M	$-14.76M	-	$-12.98M	$-4.31M
Avg Forecast	$5.32M	$9.64M	$3.30M	$-1.80M	$945.00	$3.99M	$-2.98M	$-7.50M	$-5.63M	$1.43M	$-7.92M	$-10.33M	$-13.50M	$-16.07M	$-8.69M	$-9.39M	$695.83K	$8.08M	$7.97M	$-8.54M	$17.42M	$20.10M	$10.19M	$-11.52M	$3.29M	$2.21M	$-906.99K	$-9.44M	$4.69M	$8.43M
High Forecast	$5.56M	$10.08M	$3.45M	$-1.72M	$989.00	$4.18M	$-2.85M	$-7.17M	$-4.33M	$1.78M	$-7.57M	$-8.26M	$-12.91M	$-13.60M	$-8.31M	$-7.51M	$834.99K	$8.32M	$8.23M	$-6.83M	$17.98M	$20.75M	$10.52M	$-9.22M	$3.40M	$2.28M	$-881.42K	$-7.55M	$4.84M	$8.70M
Low Forecast	$5.09M	$9.22M	$3.15M	$-1.88M	$904.00	$3.82M	$-3.11M	$-7.84M	$-6.06M	$1.07M	$-8.28M	$-12.39M	$-14.12M	$-16.89M	$-9.09M	$-11.27M	$556.66K	$7.85M	$7.75M	$-10.24M	$16.93M	$19.54M	$9.90M	$-13.83M	$3.20M	$2.15M	$-936.25K	$-11.33M	$4.56M	$8.19M
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4.49%	2.60%	3.59%	-	-15.96%	-2.45%	-2.97%	-	-0.53%	0.04%	-0.70%	-	-3.80%	-7.72%	16.27%	-	-2.77%	-0.51%

Ambarella's average Quarter net income forecast for Jan 22 is $17.42M, with a range of $16.93M to $17.98M. AMBA's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 2203.76% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $756.00K (Oct 21).

Ambarella SG&A Forecast

	Jan 27	Oct 26	Jul 26	May 26	Jan 26	Oct 25	Jul 25	May 25	Jan 25	Oct 24	Jul 24	May 24	Jan 24	Oct 23	Jul 23	May 23	Jan 23	Oct 22	Jul 22	May 22	Jan 22	Oct 21	Jul 21	May 21	Jan 21	Oct 20	Jul 20	May 20	Jan 20	Oct 19
# Analysts	6	5	4	8	5	3	3	6	9	9	4	6	9	11	5	5	8	4	4	9	6	5	5	9	6	5	5	8	5	4
SG&A	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$19.99M	$18.25M	$18.88M	-	$20.03M	$18.94M	$18.91M	-	$21.11M	$17.48M	$15.82M	-	$14.63M	$14.47M	$13.45M	-	$13.34M	$13.79M
Avg Forecast	$25.65M	$27.31M	$23.67M	$21.04M	$21.12M	$22.59M	$19.32M	$17.08M	$17.46M	$19.95M	$15.68M	$23.72M	$13.02M	$12.62M	$15.66M	$21.57M	$16.08M	$20.33M	$19.64M	$19.61M	$22.07M	$22.12M	$18.53M	$13.50M	$14.24M	$13.24M	$12.25M	$9.70M	$14.00M	$15.91M
High Forecast	$26.55M	$28.27M	$24.50M	$21.77M	$21.86M	$23.38M	$20.00M	$17.68M	$17.99M	$19.97M	$15.68M	$28.47M	$13.02M	$12.67M	$16.21M	$25.88M	$19.30M	$20.79M	$20.12M	$23.53M	$22.62M	$22.67M	$18.99M	$16.20M	$14.59M	$13.57M	$12.55M	$11.64M	$14.35M	$16.31M
Low Forecast	$24.79M	$26.40M	$22.87M	$20.33M	$20.41M	$21.83M	$18.67M	$16.50M	$17.08M	$19.94M	$15.68M	$18.98M	$13.02M	$12.56M	$15.13M	$17.25M	$12.87M	$19.89M	$19.21M	$15.69M	$21.59M	$21.64M	$18.12M	$10.80M	$13.93M	$12.95M	$11.98M	$7.76M	$13.70M	$15.57M
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.53%	1.45%	1.21%	-	1.25%	0.93%	0.96%	-	0.96%	0.79%	0.85%	-	1.03%	1.09%	1.10%	-	0.95%	0.87%

Ambarella's average Quarter SG&A projection for May 24 is $23.72M, based on 6 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $18.98M to $28.47M. The forecast indicates a 18.70% rise compared to AMBA last annual SG&A of $19.99M (Jan 24).

Ambarella EPS Forecast

	Jan 27	Oct 26	Jul 26	May 26	Jan 26	Oct 25	Jul 25	May 25	Jan 25	Oct 24	Jul 24	May 24	Jan 24	Oct 23	Jul 23	May 23	Jan 23	Oct 22	Jul 22	May 22	Jan 22	Oct 21	Jul 21	May 21	Jan 21	Oct 20	Jul 20	May 20	Jan 20	Oct 19
# Analysts	6	5	4	8	5	3	3	6	9	9	4	6	9	11	5	5	8	4	4	9	6	5	5	9	6	5	5	8	5	4
EPS	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	$-1.50	$-1.04	$-0.79	-	$-0.29	$-0.51	$-0.62	-	$-0.25	$0.02	$-0.20	-	$-0.35	$-0.49	$-0.43	-	$-0.39	$-0.13
Avg Forecast	$0.13	$0.23	$0.08	$-0.04	-	$0.10	$-0.07	$-0.18	$-0.14	$0.03	$-0.19	$-0.31	$-0.33	$-0.39	$-0.21	$-0.21	$0.14	$0.20	$0.19	$0.37	$0.42	$0.49	$0.25	$0.17	$0.08	$0.05	$-0.02	$-0.01	$0.11	$0.20
High Forecast	$0.14	$0.25	$0.08	$-0.04	-	$0.10	$-0.07	$-0.17	$-0.11	$0.04	$-0.18	$-0.30	$-0.31	$-0.33	$-0.20	$-0.20	$0.15	$0.20	$0.20	$0.38	$0.44	$0.50	$0.26	$0.18	$0.08	$0.06	$-0.02	$-0.01	$0.12	$0.21
Low Forecast	$0.12	$0.22	$0.08	$-0.05	-	$0.09	$-0.08	$-0.19	$-0.15	$0.03	$-0.20	$-0.33	$-0.34	$-0.41	$-0.22	$-0.22	$0.14	$0.19	$0.19	$0.36	$0.41	$0.47	$0.24	$0.17	$0.08	$0.05	$-0.02	$-0.01	$0.11	$0.20
Surprise %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4.57%	2.66%	3.74%	-	-2.02%	-2.60%	-3.20%	-	-0.59%	0.04%	-0.81%	-	-4.37%	-9.10%	19.50%	-	-3.42%	-0.63%

According to 6 Wall Street analysts, Ambarella's projected average Quarter EPS for Jan 22 is $0.42, with a low estimate of $0.41 and a high estimate of $0.44. This represents a 1965.61% increase compared to AMBA previous annual EPS of $0.02 (Oct 21).

Ambarella Peer Comparison by Price Target

Ticker	Company	Last Closing Price	Avg Price Target	Upside/Downside	Avg Rating
LRCX	Lam Research	$70.17	$649.74	825.95%	Buy
AEHR	Aehr Test Systems	$11.16	$25.00	124.01%	Buy
AMBA	Ambarella	$59.03	$122.38	107.32%	Buy
ACLS	Axcelis	$70.25	$137.00	95.02%	Buy
IPGP	IPG Photonics	$72.74	$123.00	69.10%	Buy
UCTT	Ultra Clean	$35.45	$57.00	60.79%	Buy
ONTO	Onto Innovation	$162.84	$258.33	58.64%	Buy
TER	Teradyne	$102.80	$153.18	49.01%	Buy
ENTG	Entegris	$99.43	$143.92	44.75%	Buy
KLIC	Kulicke and Soffa Industries	$45.58	$65.00	42.61%	Hold
COHU	Cohu	$25.36	$30.00	18.30%	Buy
AMAT	Applied Materials	$169.31	$199.28	17.70%	Buy
PLAB	Photronics	$23.94	$25.50	6.52%	Buy
KLAC	KLA	$615.66	$619.00	0.54%	Buy

AMBA Forecast FAQ

Is Ambarella a good buy?

Yes, according to 9 Wall Street analysts, Ambarella (AMBA) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 5 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 55.56% of AMBA's total ratings.

What is AMBA's price target?

Ambarella (AMBA) average price target is $122.38 with a range of $60 to $260, implying a 107.32% from its last price of $59.03. The data is based on 9 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Ambarella stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for AMBA stock, the company can go up by 107.32% (from the last price of $59.03 to the average price target of $122.38), up by 340.45% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 1.64% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Ambarella stock reach $90?

AMBA's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $122.38 supports the claim that Ambarella can reach $90 in the near future.

What are Ambarella's analysts' financial forecasts?

Ambarella's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Jan 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $317.34M (high $328.47M, low $306.67M), average EBITDA is $-73.924M (high $-71.437M, low $-76.516M), average net income is $-6.484M (high $-5.844M, low $-7.136M), average SG&A $80.11M (high $82.92M, low $77.41M), and average EPS is $-0.158 (high $-0.142, low $-0.174). AMBA's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Jan 2027) are as follows: average revenue is $386.91M (high $400.48M, low $373.9M), average EBITDA is $-90.131M (high $-87.1M, low $-93.293M), average net income is $16.46M (high $17.37M, low $15.58M), average SG&A $97.67M (high $101.1M, low $94.39M), and average EPS is $0.4 (high $0.422, low $0.379).

Did the AMBA's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Ambarella's last annual report (Jan 2024), the company's revenue was $226.47M, beating the average analysts forecast of $225.61M by 0.38%. Apple's EBITDA was $-148M, beating the average prediction of $-45.962M by 223.08%. The company's net income was $-169M, beating the average estimation of $-47.652M by 255.53%. Apple's SG&A was $74.06M, beating the average forecast of $62.87M by 17.80%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-4.25, beating the average prediction of $-1.137 by 273.95%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Jan 2024), Ambarella's revenue was $51.62M, beating the average analysts' forecast of $51.58M by 0.06%. The company's EBITDA was $-40.333M, beating the average prediction of $-12.017M by 235.65%. Ambarella's net income was $-60.607M, beating the average estimation of $-13.5M by 348.95%. The company's SG&A was $19.99M, beating the average forecast of $13.02M by 53.49%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-1.5, beating the average prediction of $-0.328 by 357.01%