Arch Capital Group (ACGL) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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ACGL Stock Forecast


Arch Capital Group stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $98.60 (represents a 3.79% upside from ACGL’s last price of $95.00) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 13 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

ACGL Price Target


The average price target for Arch Capital Group (ACGL) is $98.60 based on 1-year price targets from 13 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $120.00 to $44.00. This represents a potential 3.79% upside from ACGL's last price of $95.00.

ACGL Analyst Ratings


Buy

According to 13 Wall Street analysts, Arch Capital Group's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for ACGL stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 9 'Buy' (69.23%), 4 'Hold' (30.77%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Arch Capital Group Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Sep 10, 2024Michael WardCitigroup$114.00$111.732.03%20.00%
Sep 04, 2024Alex ScottBarclays$120.00$113.325.89%26.32%
Aug 08, 2024Michael ZaremskiCapital One Financial$98.00$97.680.33%3.16%
Jul 31, 2024Catherine SeifertCFRA$120.00$95.7825.29%26.32%
Jul 31, 2024David MotemadenEvercore ISI$104.00$98.835.23%9.47%
May 01, 2024Elyse GreenspanWells Fargo$110.00$93.5417.60%15.79%
Apr 30, 2024Catherine SeifertCFRA$107.00$93.5414.39%12.63%
Apr 30, 2024Cave MontazeriDeutsche Bank$110.00$90.5921.43%15.79%
Apr 30, 2024Matthew CarlettiJMP Securities$110.00$91.2520.55%15.79%
Nov 29, 2022-Wells Fargo$67.00$58.7414.05%-29.47%
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The latest Arch Capital Group stock forecast, released on Sep 10, 2024 by Michael Ward from Citigroup, set a price target of $114.00, which represents a 2.03% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($111.73), and a 20.00% increase from ACGL last price ($95.00).

Arch Capital Group Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-39
Avg Price Target-$110.67$110.33
Last Closing Price$95.00$95.00$95.00
Upside/Downside-100.00%16.49%16.14%

In the current month, the average price target of Arch Capital Group stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Arch Capital Group's last price of $95.00. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Oct 14, 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsOutperformOutperformHold
Oct 09, 2024JefferiesBuyBuyHold
Sep 20, 2024Cowen & Co.BuyBuyHold
Sep 10, 2024CitigroupNeutralNeutralHold
Sep 04, 2024BarclaysOverweightEqual-WeightInitialise
Aug 08, 2024BMO CapitalMarket PerformMarket PerformHold
Aug 06, 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsOutperformOutperformHold
Jul 01, 2024Wells FargoMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
Jul 01, 2024Deutsche BankBuyBuyHold
Jun 04, 2024Wells FargoMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
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Arch Capital Group's last stock rating was published by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods on Oct 14, 2024. The company gave ACGL a "Outperform" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Arch Capital Group Financial Forecast


Arch Capital Group Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue-------------$3.29B$3.09B$3.10B$2.95B$2.50B$2.24B$1.91B$2.25B$2.04B$2.43B$2.21B$2.23B$2.14B$2.32B$1.62B$1.66B$1.70B
Avg Forecast$5.19B$4.71B$4.70B$5.12B$4.76B$4.53B$4.49B$4.71B$4.36B$3.93B$3.87B$3.77B$3.36B$3.25B$3.19B$3.09B$2.42B$2.45B$2.45B$2.67B$2.09B$2.22B$1.88B$2.25B$1.64B$1.72B$1.66B$1.59B$1.46B$1.46B
High Forecast$5.90B$5.36B$5.35B$5.83B$5.41B$5.15B$5.11B$5.05B$4.75B$3.94B$3.88B$3.77B$3.55B$3.44B$3.63B$3.52B$2.76B$2.45B$2.45B$2.67B$2.09B$2.22B$1.88B$2.25B$1.64B$1.72B$1.66B$1.59B$1.46B$1.46B
Low Forecast$4.83B$4.39B$4.38B$4.77B$4.43B$4.21B$4.18B$4.45B$4.17B$3.92B$3.86B$3.77B$3.26B$3.14B$2.97B$2.88B$2.25B$2.45B$2.45B$2.67B$2.09B$2.22B$1.88B$2.25B$1.64B$1.72B$1.66B$1.59B$1.46B$1.46B
# Analysts444433356344542211112222233322
Surprise %-------------1.01%0.97%1.00%1.22%1.02%0.92%0.72%1.08%0.92%1.29%0.98%1.36%1.24%1.40%1.02%1.14%1.16%

Arch Capital Group's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 5 analysts is $3.36B, with a low forecast of $3.26B, and a high forecast of $3.55B. ACGL's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 1.95% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $3.29B (Sep 23).

Arch Capital Group EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts444433356344542211112222233322
EBITDA-------------$818.00M$753.00M$834.00M$978.03M$91.17M$486.67M$267.29M$723.05M$477.39M$777.65M$529.76M$635.22M$500.80M$372.58M$221.25M$406.81M$481.90M
Avg Forecast$955.34M$867.65M$865.48M$942.70M$876.05M$833.15M$827.37M$867.43M$803.67M$722.74M$712.53M$311.22M$617.92M$598.13M$586.95M$282.93M$600.42M$451.34M$450.91M$257.21M$384.24M$408.46M$345.60M$364.95M$301.22M$316.70M$305.16M$211.19M$268.88M$269.11M
High Forecast$1.09B$987.43M$984.96M$1.07B$996.99M$948.17M$941.59M$928.97M$873.97M$724.60M$714.51M$373.47M$653.27M$632.94M$667.98M$339.51M$720.50M$451.34M$450.91M$308.65M$384.24M$408.46M$345.60M$437.94M$301.22M$316.70M$305.16M$253.43M$268.88M$269.11M
Low Forecast$889.37M$807.73M$805.72M$877.60M$815.55M$775.62M$770.23M$819.79M$767.57M$720.87M$710.55M$248.98M$599.40M$578.82M$546.42M$226.34M$480.33M$451.34M$450.91M$205.77M$384.24M$408.46M$345.60M$291.96M$301.22M$316.70M$305.16M$168.95M$268.88M$269.11M
Surprise %-------------1.37%1.28%2.95%1.63%0.20%1.08%1.04%1.88%1.17%2.25%1.45%2.11%1.58%1.22%1.05%1.51%1.79%

5 analysts predict ACGL's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $617.92M, with a high of $653.27M and a low of $599.40M. This is -24.46% lower than Arch Capital Group's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $818.00M.

Arch Capital Group Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts444433356344542211112222233322
Net Income-------------$723.00M$671.00M$715.00M$859.69M$9.75M$404.34M$195.80M$583.03M$419.94M$675.49M$438.16M$543.54M$419.04M$298.82M$144.12M$326.38M$392.45M
Avg Forecast$1.01B$694.72M$1.01B$995.49M$923.56M$655.76M$941.31M$918.10M$805.22M$765.01M$847.10M$227.98M$775.21M$616.27M$616.39M$207.25M$517.55M$75.95M$414.76M$188.41M$381.23M$135.91M$322.89M$301.84M$144.90M$60.32M$-69.85M$137.57M$257.98M$237.26M
High Forecast$1.19B$819.40M$1.20B$1.17B$1.09B$773.45M$1.11B$952.97M$913.33M$902.30M$850.50M$273.57M$855.13M$712.56M$727.01M$248.70M$621.07M$75.95M$427.68M$226.09M$381.23M$135.91M$322.89M$362.21M$144.90M$60.32M$-69.85M$165.08M$257.98M$237.26M
Low Forecast$921.54M$632.36M$923.07M$906.12M$840.65M$596.90M$856.81M$894.86M$667.29M$696.33M$843.70M$182.38M$679.31M$531.53M$561.05M$165.80M$414.04M$75.95M$401.84M$150.73M$381.23M$135.91M$322.89M$241.47M$144.90M$60.32M$-69.85M$110.05M$257.98M$237.26M
Surprise %-------------1.17%1.09%3.45%1.66%0.13%0.97%1.04%1.53%3.09%2.09%1.45%3.75%6.95%-4.28%1.05%1.27%1.65%

Arch Capital Group's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $775.21M, with a range of $679.31M to $855.13M. ACGL's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 7.22% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $723.00M (Sep 23).

Arch Capital Group SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts444433356344542211112222233322
SG&A-------------$20.00M$21.00M$30.00M$17.82M$17.71M$27.62M$32.33M$18.15M$19.67M$15.95M$25.38M$25.34M$17.94M$17.92M$20.80M$26.84M$17.06M
Avg Forecast$49.96M$45.38M$45.26M$49.30M$45.82M$43.57M$43.27M$45.36M$42.03M$37.80M$37.26M$37.65M$32.32M$31.28M$30.70M$34.22M$15.07M$23.60M$23.58M$31.11M$20.09M$21.36M$18.07M$17.49M$15.75M$16.56M$15.96M$19.85M$14.06M$14.07M
High Forecast$56.86M$51.64M$51.51M$56.11M$52.14M$49.59M$49.24M$48.58M$45.71M$37.89M$37.37M$45.17M$34.16M$33.10M$34.93M$41.07M$18.09M$23.60M$23.58M$37.33M$20.09M$21.36M$18.07M$20.98M$15.75M$16.56M$15.96M$23.82M$14.06M$14.07M
Low Forecast$46.51M$42.24M$42.14M$45.90M$42.65M$40.56M$40.28M$42.87M$40.14M$37.70M$37.16M$30.12M$31.35M$30.27M$28.58M$27.38M$12.06M$23.60M$23.58M$24.89M$20.09M$21.36M$18.07M$13.99M$15.75M$16.56M$15.96M$15.88M$14.06M$14.07M
Surprise %-------------0.64%0.68%0.88%1.18%0.75%1.17%1.04%0.90%0.92%0.88%1.45%1.61%1.08%1.12%1.05%1.91%1.21%

Arch Capital Group's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $32.32M, based on 5 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $31.35M to $34.16M. The forecast indicates a 61.58% rise compared to ACGL last annual SG&A of $20.00M (Sep 23).

Arch Capital Group EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts444433356344542211112222233322
EPS-------------$1.93$1.79$1.92$2.32$0.03$1.07$0.50$1.54$1.00$1.67$1.07$1.32$1.01$0.72$0.33$0.78$0.95
Avg Forecast$2.65$1.82$2.65$2.60$2.42$1.72$2.46$2.40$2.11$2.00$2.22$2.09$2.03$1.61$1.61$1.45$1.34$0.20$1.09$1.06$1.00$0.36$0.85$0.46$0.38$0.16$-0.18$0.48$0.68$0.62
High Forecast$3.12$2.14$3.13$3.07$2.85$2.02$2.90$2.49$2.39$2.36$2.22$2.09$2.24$1.86$1.90$1.46$1.58$0.20$1.12$1.06$1.00$0.36$0.85$0.46$0.38$0.16$-0.18$0.48$0.68$0.62
Low Forecast$2.41$1.65$2.41$2.37$2.20$1.56$2.24$2.34$1.75$1.82$2.21$2.09$1.78$1.39$1.47$1.44$1.22$0.20$1.05$1.06$1.00$0.36$0.85$0.46$0.38$0.16$-0.18$0.48$0.68$0.62
Surprise %-------------1.20%1.11%1.32%1.74%0.13%0.98%0.47%1.54%2.81%1.97%2.35%3.48%6.39%-3.93%0.68%1.15%1.53%

According to 5 Wall Street analysts, Arch Capital Group's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $2.03, with a low estimate of $1.78 and a high estimate of $2.24. This represents a 5.07% increase compared to ACGL previous annual EPS of $1.93 (Sep 23).

Arch Capital Group Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
AEGAegon$6.35$7.5018.11%Buy
BRK-BBerkshire Hathaway$442.29$465.505.25%-
AIGAmerican Group$76.33$80.175.03%Buy
ORIOld Republic$34.65$36.003.90%Buy
ACGLArch Capital Group$95.00$98.603.79%Buy
EQHEquitable$45.00$44.57-0.96%Buy
SLFSun Life Financial$55.68$54.91-1.38%Buy
HIGHartford Financial Services Group$111.16$108.54-2.36%Hold
GSHDGoosehead Insurance$106.74$95.83-10.22%Buy
IGICInternational General Insurance$21.38$19.00-11.13%Buy

ACGL Forecast FAQ


Yes, according to 13 Wall Street analysts, Arch Capital Group (ACGL) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 9 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 69.23% of ACGL's total ratings.

Arch Capital Group (ACGL) average price target is $98.6 with a range of $44 to $120, implying a 3.79% from its last price of $95. The data is based on 13 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for ACGL stock, the company can go up by 3.79% (from the last price of $95 to the average price target of $98.6), up by 26.32% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -53.68% based on the lowest stock price target.

ACGL's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $98.6 does not support the claim that Arch Capital Group can reach $140 in the near future.

Arch Capital Group's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $18.49B (high $20.72B, low $17.28B), average EBITDA is $3.4B (high $3.82B, low $3.18B), average net income is $3.44B (high $3.93B, low $3.19B), average SG&A $178.02M (high $199.55M, low $166.37M), and average EPS is $8.99 (high $10.27, low $8.34). ACGL's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $19.72B (high $22.44B, low $18.36B), average EBITDA is $3.63B (high $4.13B, low $3.38B), average net income is $3.72B (high $4.38B, low $3.38B), average SG&A $189.9M (high $216.12M, low $176.79M), and average EPS is $9.72 (high $11.47, low $8.85).

Based on Arch Capital Group's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $13.63B, beating the average analysts forecast of $12.88B by 5.84%. Apple's EBITDA was $184M, missing the average prediction of $2.09B by -91.18%. The company's net income was $4.26B, beating the average estimation of $2.22B by 92.22%. Apple's SG&A was $0, missing the average forecast of $128.52M by -100.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $11.24, beating the average prediction of $6.7 by 67.66%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Arch Capital Group's revenue was $3.29B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $3.25B by 1.34%. The company's EBITDA was $818M, beating the average prediction of $598.13M by 36.76%. Arch Capital Group's net income was $723M, beating the average estimation of $616.27M by 17.32%. The company's SG&A was $20M, missing the average forecast of $31.28M by -36.06%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.93, beating the average prediction of $1.61 by 19.73%