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Arch Capital Group (ACGL) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

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ACGL Stock Forecast

Arch Capital Group stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $112.40 (represents a 23.53% upside from ACGL’s last price of $90.99) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 13 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

ACGL Price Target

The average price target for Arch Capital Group (ACGL) is $112.40 based on 1-year price targets from 13 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $120.00 to $104.00. This represents a potential 23.53% upside from ACGL's last price of $90.99.

ACGL Analyst Ratings

Buy

According to 13 Wall Street analysts, Arch Capital Group's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for ACGL stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 9 'Buy' (69.23%), 4 'Hold' (30.77%), 0 'Sell' (0.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Arch Capital Group Price Target by Analyst

DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Nov 06, 2024Michael ZaremskiCapital One Financial$104.00$95.788.58%14.30%
Sep 10, 2024Michael WardCitigroup$114.00$111.732.03%25.29%
Sep 04, 2024Alex ScottBarclays$120.00$113.325.89%31.88%
Aug 08, 2024Michael ZaremskiCapital One Financial$98.00$97.680.33%7.70%
Jul 31, 2024Catherine SeifertCFRA$120.00$95.7825.29%31.88%
Jul 31, 2024David MotemadenEvercore ISI$104.00$98.835.23%14.30%
May 01, 2024Elyse GreenspanWells Fargo$110.00$93.5417.60%20.89%
Apr 30, 2024Catherine SeifertCFRA$107.00$93.5414.39%17.60%
Apr 30, 2024Cave MontazeriDeutsche Bank$110.00$90.5921.43%20.89%
Apr 30, 2024Matthew CarlettiJMP Securities$110.00$91.2520.55%20.89%
Nov 29, 2022Wells Fargo$67.00$58.7414.05%-26.37%
Nov 22, 2022Morgan Stanley$56.00$57.62-2.81%-38.45%
Aug 19, 2022Morgan Stanley$52.00$47.449.61%-42.85%
Jul 14, 2022Barclays$52.00$42.7021.77%-42.85%
May 23, 2022Morgan Stanley$50.00$45.4210.08%-45.05%
Jul 01, 2021Jimmy BhullarJ.P. Morgan$44.00$39.9510.14%-51.64%

The latest Arch Capital Group stock forecast, released on Nov 06, 2024 by Michael Zaremski from Capital One Financial, set a price target of $104.00, which represents a 8.58% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($95.78), and a 14.30% increase from ACGL last price ($90.99).

Arch Capital Group Price Target by Period

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-110
Avg Price Target-$104.00$109.70
Last Closing Price$90.99$90.99$90.99
Upside/Downside-100.00%14.30%20.56%

In the current month, the average price target of Arch Capital Group stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Arch Capital Group's last price of $90.99. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Oct 14, 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsOutperformOutperformHold
Oct 09, 2024JefferiesBuyBuyHold
Sep 20, 2024Cowen & Co.BuyBuyHold
Sep 10, 2024CitigroupNeutralNeutralHold
Sep 04, 2024BarclaysOverweightEqual-WeightInitialise
Aug 08, 2024BMO CapitalMarket PerformMarket PerformHold
Aug 06, 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsOutperformOutperformHold
Jul 01, 2024Wells FargoMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
Jul 01, 2024Deutsche BankBuyBuyHold
Jun 04, 2024Wells FargoMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
Jun 04, 2024Bank of America SecuritiesBuyBuyHold
May 29, 2024CitigroupNeutralNeutralHold
May 01, 2024Wells FargoOverweightOverweightHold
Apr 30, 2024CFRAPositiveDowngrade
Apr 30, 2024Wells FargoMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
Apr 30, 2024Roth CapitalUnderperformUnderperformHold
Apr 30, 2024Deutsche BankBuyBuyHold
Apr 30, 2024JMP SecuritiesOutperformOutperformHold
Apr 08, 2024Wells FargoBuyBuyHold
Apr 08, 2024UBSUnderperformUnderperformHold
Apr 05, 2024RBC CapitalOutperformOutperformHold
Jan 10, 2024UBSBuyBuyHold
Jan 10, 2024RBC CapitalUnderperformUnderperformHold
Nov 29, 2022Wells FargoOverweightOverweightHold
Nov 22, 2022Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Aug 19, 2022Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Jul 14, 2022BarclaysOverweightOverweightHold
May 23, 2022Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
May 02, 2022BarclaysOverweightOverweightHold
Apr 29, 2022RBC CapitalOutperformOutperformHold

Arch Capital Group's last stock rating was published by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods on Oct 14, 2024. The company gave ACGL a "Outperform" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Arch Capital Group Financial Forecast

Arch Capital Group Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue-------------$3.29B$3.09B$3.10B$2.95B$2.50B$2.24B$1.91B$2.25B$2.04B$2.43B$2.21B$2.23B$2.14B$2.32B$1.62B$1.66B$1.70B
Avg Forecast$4.57B$4.84B$4.78B$5.06B$4.43B$4.55B$4.48B$4.69B$4.03B$3.93B$3.87B$3.77B$3.36B$3.25B$3.19B$3.09B$2.42B$2.45B$2.45B$2.67B$2.09B$2.22B$1.88B$2.25B$1.64B$1.72B$1.66B$1.59B$1.46B$1.46B
High Forecast$4.82B$5.11B$5.05B$5.35B$4.68B$4.80B$4.73B$4.96B$4.12B$3.94B$3.88B$3.77B$3.55B$3.44B$3.37B$3.26B$2.56B$2.45B$2.45B$2.67B$2.09B$2.22B$1.88B$2.25B$1.64B$1.72B$1.66B$1.59B$1.46B$1.46B
Low Forecast$4.18B$4.43B$4.38B$4.64B$4.06B$4.16B$4.11B$4.43B$3.93B$3.92B$3.86B$3.77B$3.26B$3.14B$2.92B$2.83B$2.22B$2.45B$2.45B$2.67B$2.09B$2.22B$1.88B$2.25B$1.64B$1.72B$1.66B$1.59B$1.46B$1.46B
# Analysts444433355444542211112222233322
Surprise %-------------1.01%0.97%1.00%1.22%1.02%0.92%0.72%1.08%0.92%1.29%0.98%1.36%1.24%1.40%1.02%1.14%1.16%

Arch Capital Group's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 5 analysts is $3.36B, with a low forecast of $3.26B, and a high forecast of $3.55B. ACGL's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 1.95% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $3.29B (Sep 23).

Arch Capital Group EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts444433355444542211112222233322
EBITDA-------------$818.00M$753.00M$834.00M$978.03M$91.17M$486.67M$267.29M$723.05M$477.39M$777.65M$529.76M$635.22M$500.80M$372.58M$221.25M$406.81M$481.90M
Avg Forecast$1.05B$1.11B$1.10B$1.16B$1.02B$1.04B$1.03B$1.08B$924.13M$901.02M$888.30M$311.22M$770.35M$745.68M$731.74M$282.93M$600.42M$451.34M$450.91M$257.21M$384.24M$408.46M$345.60M$364.95M$301.22M$316.70M$305.16M$211.19M$268.88M$269.11M
High Forecast$1.11B$1.17B$1.16B$1.23B$1.07B$1.10B$1.09B$1.14B$945.98M$903.34M$890.77M$373.47M$814.43M$789.08M$772.63M$339.51M$720.50M$451.34M$450.91M$308.65M$384.24M$408.46M$345.60M$437.94M$301.22M$316.70M$305.16M$253.43M$268.88M$269.11M
Low Forecast$960.16M$1.02B$1.01B$1.06B$931.84M$955.92M$942.38M$1.02B$902.28M$898.70M$885.83M$248.98M$747.26M$721.61M$670.44M$226.34M$480.33M$451.34M$450.91M$205.77M$384.24M$408.46M$345.60M$291.96M$301.22M$316.70M$305.16M$168.95M$268.88M$269.11M
Surprise %-------------1.10%1.03%2.95%1.63%0.20%1.08%1.04%1.88%1.17%2.25%1.45%2.11%1.58%1.22%1.05%1.51%1.79%

5 analysts predict ACGL's average Quarter EBITDA for Dec 23 to be $770.35M, with a high of $814.43M and a low of $747.26M. This is -5.83% lower than Arch Capital Group's previous annual EBITDA (Sep 23) of $818.00M.

Arch Capital Group Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts444433355444542211112222233322
Net Income-------------$723.00M$671.00M$715.00M$859.69M$9.75M$404.34M$195.80M$583.03M$419.94M$675.49M$438.16M$543.54M$419.04M$298.82M$144.12M$326.38M$392.45M
Avg Forecast$1.01B$710.28M$1.01B$999.82M$914.74M$652.49M$942.66M$928.82M$717.22M$765.01M$847.10M$227.98M$775.21M$616.27M$616.39M$207.25M$517.55M$75.95M$414.76M$188.41M$381.23M$135.91M$322.89M$301.84M$144.90M$60.32M$-69.85M$137.57M$257.98M$237.26M
High Forecast$1.08B$761.88M$1.08B$1.07B$981.19M$699.88M$1.01B$971.75M$830.28M$820.58M$850.50M$273.57M$855.13M$712.56M$661.16M$248.70M$621.07M$75.95M$427.68M$226.09M$381.23M$135.91M$322.89M$362.21M$144.90M$60.32M$-69.85M$165.08M$257.98M$237.26M
Low Forecast$897.96M$632.92M$899.77M$890.92M$815.11M$581.42M$839.99M$901.50M$597.09M$681.69M$843.70M$182.38M$679.31M$531.53M$549.25M$165.80M$414.04M$75.95M$401.84M$150.73M$381.23M$135.91M$322.89M$241.47M$144.90M$60.32M$-69.85M$110.05M$257.98M$237.26M
Surprise %-------------1.17%1.09%3.45%1.66%0.13%0.97%1.04%1.53%3.09%2.09%1.45%3.75%6.95%-4.28%1.05%1.27%1.65%

Arch Capital Group's average Quarter net income forecast for Dec 23 is $775.21M, with a range of $679.31M to $855.13M. ACGL's average Quarter net income forecast represents a 7.22% increase compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $723.00M (Sep 23).

Arch Capital Group SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts444433355444542211112222233322
SG&A-------------$20.00M$21.00M$30.00M$17.82M$17.71M$27.62M$32.33M$18.15M$19.67M$15.95M$25.38M$25.34M$17.94M$17.92M$20.80M$26.84M$17.06M
Avg Forecast$43.42M$46.01M$45.46M$48.14M$42.14M$43.23M$42.61M$44.56M$38.29M$37.33M$36.80M$37.65M$31.92M$30.89M$30.32M$34.22M$15.07M$23.60M$23.58M$31.11M$20.09M$21.36M$18.07M$17.49M$15.75M$16.56M$15.96M$19.85M$14.06M$14.07M
High Forecast$45.84M$48.59M$48.00M$50.83M$44.49M$45.64M$44.99M$47.16M$39.19M$37.43M$36.90M$45.17M$33.74M$32.69M$32.01M$41.07M$18.09M$23.60M$23.58M$37.33M$20.09M$21.36M$18.07M$20.98M$15.75M$16.56M$15.96M$23.82M$14.06M$14.07M
Low Forecast$39.78M$42.16M$41.65M$44.11M$38.61M$39.60M$39.04M$42.16M$37.38M$37.23M$36.70M$30.12M$30.96M$29.90M$27.78M$27.38M$12.06M$23.60M$23.58M$24.89M$20.09M$21.36M$18.07M$13.99M$15.75M$16.56M$15.96M$15.88M$14.06M$14.07M
Surprise %-------------0.65%0.69%0.88%1.18%0.75%1.17%1.04%0.90%0.92%0.88%1.45%1.61%1.08%1.12%1.05%1.91%1.21%

Arch Capital Group's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $31.92M, based on 5 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $30.96M to $33.74M. The forecast indicates a 59.58% rise compared to ACGL last annual SG&A of $20.00M (Sep 23).

Arch Capital Group EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts444433355444542211112222233322
EPS-------------$1.93$1.79$1.92$2.32$0.03$1.07$0.50$1.54$1.00$1.67$1.07$1.32$1.01$0.72$0.33$0.78$0.95
Avg Forecast$2.64$1.86$2.64$2.62$2.39$1.71$2.47$2.43$1.88$2.00$2.22$2.09$2.03$1.61$1.61$1.45$1.34$0.20$1.09$1.06$1.00$0.36$0.85$0.46$0.38$0.16$-0.18$0.48$0.68$0.62
High Forecast$2.83$1.99$2.83$2.81$2.57$1.83$2.64$2.54$2.17$2.15$2.22$2.09$2.24$1.86$1.73$1.46$1.43$0.20$1.12$1.06$1.00$0.36$0.85$0.46$0.38$0.16$-0.18$0.48$0.68$0.62
Low Forecast$2.35$1.66$2.35$2.33$2.13$1.52$2.20$2.36$1.56$1.78$2.21$2.09$1.78$1.39$1.44$1.44$1.19$0.20$1.05$1.06$1.00$0.36$0.85$0.46$0.38$0.16$-0.18$0.48$0.68$0.62
Surprise %-------------1.20%1.11%1.32%1.74%0.13%0.98%0.47%1.54%2.81%1.97%2.35%3.48%6.39%-3.93%0.68%1.15%1.53%

According to 5 Wall Street analysts, Arch Capital Group's projected average Quarter EPS for Dec 23 is $2.03, with a low estimate of $1.78 and a high estimate of $2.24. This represents a 5.07% increase compared to ACGL previous annual EPS of $1.93 (Sep 23).

Arch Capital Group Peer Comparison by Price Target

TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
SLFSun Life Financial$59.51$92.0054.60%Buy
AEGAegon$5.83$7.5028.64%Buy
ACGLArch Capital Group$90.53$112.4024.16%Buy
AIGAmerican Group$71.22$84.5018.65%Buy
HIGHartford Financial Services Group$109.05$125.1414.75%Hold
ORIOld Republic$36.43$41.0012.54%Buy
EQHEquitable$46.57$51.3310.22%Buy
GSHDGoosehead Insurance$114.42$120.505.31%Buy
BRK-BBerkshire Hathaway$455.66$465.502.16%
IGICInternational General Insurance$23.68$19.00-19.76%Buy

ACGL Forecast FAQ

Is Arch Capital Group a good buy?

Yes, according to 13 Wall Street analysts, Arch Capital Group (ACGL) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 9 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 69.23% of ACGL's total ratings.

What is ACGL's price target?

Arch Capital Group (ACGL) average price target is $112.4 with a range of $104 to $120, implying a 23.53% from its last price of $90.99. The data is based on 13 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will Arch Capital Group stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for ACGL stock, the company can go up by 23.53% (from the last price of $90.99 to the average price target of $112.4), up by 31.88% based on the highest stock price target, and up by 14.30% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can Arch Capital Group stock reach $140?

ACGL's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $112.4 does not support the claim that Arch Capital Group can reach $140 in the near future.

What are Arch Capital Group's analysts' financial forecasts?

Arch Capital Group's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $18.14B (high $19.17B, low $16.76B), average EBITDA is $4.16B (high $4.4B, low $3.85B), average net income is $3.44B (high $3.66B, low $3.14B), average SG&A $172.54M (high $182.28M, low $159.42M), and average EPS is $8.99 (high $9.58, low $8.21). ACGL's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $19.25B (high $20.32B, low $17.63B), average EBITDA is $4.42B (high $4.66B, low $4.05B), average net income is $3.73B (high $4B, low $3.32B), average SG&A $183.03M (high $193.26M, low $167.7M), and average EPS is $9.75 (high $10.46, low $8.69).

Did the ACGL's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on Arch Capital Group's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $13.63B, beating the average analysts forecast of $12.88B by 5.84%. Apple's EBITDA was $184M, missing the average prediction of $2.53B by -92.73%. The company's net income was $4.26B, beating the average estimation of $2.22B by 92.22%. Apple's SG&A was $0, missing the average forecast of $127.35M by -100.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $11.24, beating the average prediction of $6.7 by 67.66%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), Arch Capital Group's revenue was $3.29B, beating the average analysts' forecast of $3.25B by 1.34%. The company's EBITDA was $818M, beating the average prediction of $745.68M by 9.70%. Arch Capital Group's net income was $723M, beating the average estimation of $616.27M by 17.32%. The company's SG&A was $20M, missing the average forecast of $30.89M by -35.26%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $1.93, beating the average prediction of $1.61 by 19.73%