Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions


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ABR Stock Forecast


Arbor Realty Trust stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $16.63 (represents a 13.28% upside from ABR’s last price of $14.68) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 5 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

ABR Price Target


The average price target for Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) is $16.63 based on 1-year price targets from 5 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $21.00 to $12.50. This represents a potential 13.28% upside from ABR's last price of $14.68.

ABR Analyst Ratings


Buy

According to 5 Wall Street analysts, Arbor Realty Trust's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for ABR stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 2 'Buy' (40.00%), 2 'Hold' (40.00%), 1 'Sell' (20.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

Arbor Realty Trust Price Target by Analyst


DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Aug 05, 2024Crispin LovePiper Sandler$12.50$13.26-5.73%-14.85%
Apr 11, 2024Jay McCanlessWedbush$13.00$12.345.35%-11.44%
Oct 03, 2022-Piper Sandler$16.50$11.5043.48%12.40%
Aug 01, 2022-JMP Securities$20.00$16.6220.34%36.24%
Jul 18, 2022-Raymond James$21.00$13.8351.84%43.05%
Jun 28, 2022-Piper Sandler$17.00$13.5125.83%15.80%
May 09, 2022Crispin LovePiper Sandler$20.00$16.9617.92%36.24%
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The latest Arbor Realty Trust stock forecast, released on Aug 05, 2024 by Crispin Love from Piper Sandler, set a price target of $12.50, which represents a -5.73% decrease from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($13.26), and a -14.85% decrease from ABR last price ($14.68).

Arbor Realty Trust Price Target by Period


1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-12
Avg Price Target-$12.50$12.75
Last Closing Price$14.68$14.68$14.68
Upside/Downside-100.00%-14.85%-13.15%

In the current month, the average price target of Arbor Realty Trust stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Arbor Realty Trust's last price of $14.68. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades


DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Aug 05, 2024Piper SandlerUnderweightUnderweightHold
Jul 16, 2024WedbushMarket PerformMarket PerformHold
Jul 16, 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsUnderperformUnderperformHold
Jun 20, 2024WedbushMarket OutperformMarket OutperformHold
Jun 20, 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsUnderperformUnderperformHold
May 06, 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsUnderperformUnderperformHold
May 06, 2024WedbushMarket PerformMarket PerformHold
Apr 15, 2024WedbushMarket PerformNeutralDowngrade
Feb 21, 2024WedbushMarket PerformMarket PerformHold
Jan 11, 2024WedbushOutperformOutperformHold
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Arbor Realty Trust's last stock rating was published by Piper Sandler on Aug 05, 2024. The company gave ABR a "Underweight" rating, the same as its previous rate.

Arbor Realty Trust Financial Forecast


Arbor Realty Trust Revenue Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
Revenue--------$33.07M$35.46M$32.35M$181.67M$196.96M$134.36M-$143.04M$182.50M$139.50M$139.94M$128.99M$165.91M$118.88M$108.50M$40.85M$96.16M$95.00M$83.96M$74.26M$107.83M$83.53M
Avg Forecast$178.58M$177.60M$173.68M$171.88M$156.58M$153.59M$160.30M$156.73M$175.24M$170.13M$171.26M$154.56M$49.30M$61.40M$63.90M$67.30M$70.00M$101.92M$88.85M$75.35M$67.25M$51.60M$44.20M$53.37M$55.35M$45.70M$81.00M$76.10M$85.78M$85.85M
High Forecast$204.43M$203.30M$198.82M$196.75M$179.24M$158.70M$183.50M$179.42M$179.98M$183.81M$196.04M$176.94M$56.44M$70.29M$63.90M$71.41M$74.28M$108.15M$94.28M$79.95M$71.36M$54.75M$46.90M$56.63M$58.73M$48.49M$85.95M$80.75M$102.94M$103.02M
Low Forecast$161.41M$160.52M$156.98M$155.35M$141.52M$150.92M$144.88M$141.66M$171.90M$144.67M$154.79M$139.70M$44.56M$55.50M$63.90M$62.82M$65.34M$95.14M$82.94M$70.33M$62.77M$48.17M$41.26M$49.81M$51.67M$42.66M$75.61M$71.03M$68.62M$68.68M
# Analysts1111242246334422333333332345714
Surprise %--------0.19%0.21%0.19%1.18%4.00%2.19%-2.13%2.61%1.37%1.58%1.71%2.47%2.30%2.45%0.77%1.74%2.08%1.04%0.98%1.26%0.97%

Arbor Realty Trust's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 2 analysts is $156.73M, with a low forecast of $141.66M, and a high forecast of $179.42M. ABR's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 373.91% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $33.07M (Dec 23).

Arbor Realty Trust EBITDA Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
# Analysts1111242246334422333333332345714
EBITDA--------$313.67M$303.54M$300.19M$95.95M$300.01K$223.54K-$155.61M$212.22M$159.86M$149.33M$142.00M$178.35M$153.90M$113.21M$-8.04M$103.49M$104.51M$97.67M$80.59M$105.14M$88.24M
Avg Forecast$132.69M$131.96M$129.05M$127.71M$116.34M$114.12M$119.11M$116.46M$130.21M$126.41M$127.25M$114.85M$36.63M$45.62M$47.48M$50.01M$52.01M$75.73M$66.02M$55.99M$49.97M$38.34M$32.84M$-63.68M$41.13M$33.96M$60.19M$56.55M$78.12M$63.79M
High Forecast$151.90M$151.06M$147.73M$146.19M$133.18M$117.92M$136.34M$133.32M$133.73M$136.58M$145.67M$131.47M$41.93M$52.23M$47.48M$53.06M$55.19M$80.36M$70.05M$59.41M$53.02M$40.68M$34.85M$-50.95M$43.64M$36.03M$63.86M$60.00M$93.74M$76.55M
Low Forecast$119.93M$119.27M$116.64M$115.43M$105.15M$112.14M$107.65M$105.26M$127.73M$107.49M$115.01M$103.80M$33.11M$41.24M$47.48M$46.68M$48.55M$70.69M$61.62M$52.26M$46.64M$35.79M$30.66M$-76.42M$38.39M$31.70M$56.18M$52.78M$62.49M$51.03M
Surprise %--------2.41%2.40%2.36%0.84%0.01%0.00%-3.11%4.08%2.11%2.26%2.54%3.57%4.01%3.45%0.13%2.52%3.08%1.62%1.43%1.35%1.38%

2 analysts predict ABR's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $116.46M, with a high of $133.32M and a low of $105.26M. This is -62.87% lower than Arbor Realty Trust's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $313.67M.

Arbor Realty Trust Net Income Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
# Analysts1111242246334422333333332345714
Net Income--------$91.66M$77.92M$76.16M$94.66M$98.49M$73.05M-$73.11M$126.38M$77.72M$75.54M$71.37M$98.51M$83.89M$45.98M$-57.42M$37.43M$35.85M$30.80M$24.54M$39.11M$29.63M
Avg Forecast$85.79M$84.76M$83.22M$82.71M$78.56M$79.99M$84.68M$90.43M$96.99M$87.51M$96.58M$82.21M$85.48M$61.10M$81.52M$74.73M$71.16M$65.35M$56.12M$53.11M$77.61M$43.50M$26.23M$-454.78M$39.51M$33.68M$29.78M$26.29M$29.06M$30.43M
High Forecast$101.93M$100.71M$98.88M$98.27M$93.34M$83.80M$100.61M$108.51M$99.01M$95.28M$114.75M$98.65M$101.57M$73.33M$81.52M$89.68M$85.39M$78.42M$67.34M$63.73M$93.13M$52.20M$31.47M$-363.83M$47.41M$40.42M$35.73M$31.55M$34.87M$36.51M
Low Forecast$75.06M$74.17M$72.82M$72.37M$68.74M$78.08M$74.09M$72.34M$86.89M$75.84M$84.50M$65.77M$74.80M$48.88M$81.52M$59.79M$56.93M$52.28M$44.89M$42.49M$62.09M$34.80M$20.98M$-545.74M$31.61M$26.94M$23.82M$21.03M$23.25M$24.34M
Surprise %--------0.95%0.89%0.79%1.15%1.15%1.20%-0.98%1.78%1.19%1.35%1.34%1.27%1.93%1.75%0.13%0.95%1.06%1.03%0.93%1.35%0.97%

Arbor Realty Trust's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $90.43M, with a range of $72.34M to $108.51M. ABR's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -1.34% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $91.66M (Dec 23).

Arbor Realty Trust SG&A Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
# Analysts1111242246334422333333332345714
SG&A-----------$56.02M$55.12M$52.04M-$56.57M$55.02M$53.73M$54.83M$53.79M$51.06M$42.32M$43.04M$45.30M$37.66M$43.74M$39.50M$41.52M$35.68M$37.77M
Avg Forecast$67.60M$67.23M$65.74M$65.06M$59.27M$58.14M$60.68M$59.33M$66.33M$64.40M$64.83M$58.51M$18.66M$42.25M$24.19M$25.48M$34.14M$45.18M$40.73M$40.03M$40.23M$21.94M$24.55M$20.20M$39.75M$41.09M$38.19M$44.49M$26.51M$38.79M
High Forecast$77.38M$76.96M$75.26M$74.48M$67.85M$60.07M$69.46M$67.92M$68.13M$69.58M$74.21M$66.98M$21.36M$50.69M$24.19M$27.03M$40.97M$54.22M$48.88M$48.04M$48.28M$26.33M$29.46M$21.44M$47.71M$49.31M$45.82M$53.39M$31.81M$46.55M
Low Forecast$61.10M$60.76M$59.42M$58.80M$53.57M$57.13M$54.84M$53.62M$65.07M$54.76M$58.59M$52.88M$16.87M$33.80M$24.19M$23.78M$27.31M$36.15M$32.59M$32.03M$32.19M$17.55M$19.64M$18.86M$31.80M$32.87M$30.55M$35.59M$21.21M$31.03M
Surprise %-----------0.96%2.95%1.23%-2.22%1.61%1.19%1.35%1.34%1.27%1.93%1.75%2.24%0.95%1.06%1.03%0.93%1.35%0.97%

Arbor Realty Trust's average Quarter SG&A projection for Jun 23 is $64.83M, based on 3 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $58.59M to $74.21M. The forecast indicates a 15.72% rise compared to ABR last annual SG&A of $56.02M (Mar 23).

Arbor Realty Trust EPS Forecast

Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jul 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19Jun 19Mar 19Dec 18Sep 18
# Analysts1111242246334422333333332345714
EPS---------$0.42$0.42$0.47$0.51$0.37-$0.42$0.85$0.51$0.51$0.55$0.79$0.72$0.40$-0.54$0.35$0.36$0.32$0.27$0.48$0.37
Avg Forecast$0.42$0.41$0.41$0.40$0.38$0.39$0.41$0.41$0.47$0.43$0.47$0.40$0.42$0.43$0.43$0.45$0.43$0.42$0.43$0.46$0.40$0.32$0.24$0.03$0.33$0.32$0.28$0.28$0.21$0.38
High Forecast$0.50$0.49$0.48$0.48$0.45$0.41$0.49$0.49$0.48$0.46$0.56$0.47$0.49$0.51$0.43$0.48$0.46$0.46$0.47$0.49$0.43$0.35$0.26$0.03$0.36$0.35$0.30$0.31$0.25$0.46
Low Forecast$0.37$0.36$0.35$0.35$0.33$0.38$0.36$0.36$0.42$0.37$0.41$0.35$0.36$0.38$0.43$0.41$0.39$0.39$0.40$0.42$0.37$0.29$0.22$0.02$0.30$0.30$0.26$0.26$0.17$0.30
Surprise %--------0.00%0.99%0.89%1.18%1.23%0.86%-0.94%1.98%1.20%1.18%1.20%1.98%2.25%1.64%-21.60%1.05%1.11%1.13%0.95%2.29%0.97%

According to 2 Wall Street analysts, Arbor Realty Trust's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.41, with a low estimate of $0.36 and a high estimate of $0.49. This represents a 102120.00% increase compared to ABR previous annual EPS of - (Dec 23).

Arbor Realty Trust Peer Comparison by Price Target


TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
ACREAres Commercial Real Estate$7.60$16.00110.53%Hold
ARIApollo Commercial Real Estate Finance$9.78$13.5038.04%-
KREFKKR Real Estate Finance Trust$12.59$16.1728.44%Buy
NLYAnnaly Capital Management$20.71$26.2026.51%Buy
STWDStarwood Property Trust$20.56$24.7520.38%Buy
EARNEllington Residential Mortgage REIT$6.98$8.0014.61%Buy
ABRArbor Realty Trust$14.68$16.6313.28%Buy
TWOTwo Harbors Investment$14.10$15.6310.85%Buy
RITMRithm Capital$11.89$12.676.56%Buy
RCReady Capital$7.98$8.506.52%Hold
EFCEllington Financial$13.24$13.501.96%Buy
AGNCAGNC Investment$10.56$10.20-3.41%Buy
ARRARMOUR Residential REIT$20.65$11.50-44.31%Hold
CIMChimera Investment$15.96$7.25-54.57%Hold

ABR Forecast FAQ


Yes, according to 5 Wall Street analysts, Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 2 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 40.00% of ABR's total ratings.

Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) average price target is $16.63 with a range of $12.5 to $21, implying a 13.28% from its last price of $14.68. The data is based on 5 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for ABR stock, the company can go up by 13.28% (from the last price of $14.68 to the average price target of $16.63), up by 43.05% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -14.85% based on the lowest stock price target.

ABR's highest twelve months analyst stock price target of $21 supports the claim that Arbor Realty Trust can reach $20 in the near future.

Arbor Realty Trust's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2024) are as follows: average revenue is $627.2M (high $700.86M, low $578.99M), average EBITDA is $466.03M (high $520.76M, low $430.21M), average net income is $333.65M (high $386.26M, low $293.25M), average SG&A $237.42M (high $265.3M, low $219.17M), and average EPS is $1.59 (high $1.84, low $1.43). ABR's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $701.74M (high $803.3M, low $634.25M), average EBITDA is $521.42M (high $596.89M, low $471.28M), average net income is $336.49M (high $399.79M, low $294.42M), average SG&A $265.63M (high $304.08M, low $240.09M), and average EPS is $1.64 (high $1.95, low $1.43).

Based on Arbor Realty Trust's last annual report (Dec 2023), the company's revenue was $130.45M, which missed the average analysts forecast of $671.19M by -80.56%. Apple's EBITDA was $1.22B, beating the average prediction of $498.72M by 143.76%. The company's net income was $330.06M, missing the average estimation of $363.28M by -9.14%. Apple's SG&A was $0, missing the average forecast of $254.07M by -100.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.0015, missing the average prediction of $1.77 by -99.92%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Dec 2023), Arbor Realty Trust's revenue was $33.07M, missing the average analysts' forecast of $175.24M by -81.13%. The company's EBITDA was $313.67M, beating the average prediction of $130.21M by 140.90%. Arbor Realty Trust's net income was $91.66M, missing the average estimation of $96.99M by -5.50%. The company's SG&A was $0, missing the average forecast of $66.33M by -100.00%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.0004, missing the average prediction of $0.472 by -99.92%