Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
ABR Stock Forecast
Arbor Realty Trust stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $15.38 (represents a 0.39% upside from ABR’s last price of $15.32) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 5 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
ABR Price Target
The average price target for Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) is $15.38 based on 1-year price targets from 5 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $20.00 to $12.50. This represents a potential 0.39% upside from ABR's last price of $15.32.
ABR Analyst Ratings
According to 5 Wall Street analysts, Arbor Realty Trust's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for ABR stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 2 'Buy' (40.00%), 2 'Hold' (40.00%), 1 'Sell' (20.00%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).
Arbor Realty Trust Price Target by Analyst
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2024 | Stephen Laws | Raymond James | $16.00 | $15.03 | 6.45% | 4.44% |
| Aug 05, 2024 | Crispin Love | Piper Sandler | $12.50 | $13.26 | -5.73% | -18.41% |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Jay McCanless | Wedbush | $13.00 | $12.34 | 5.35% | -15.14% |
| Oct 03, 2022 | - | Piper Sandler | $16.50 | $11.50 | 43.48% | 7.70% |
| Aug 01, 2022 | - | JMP Securities | $20.00 | $16.62 | 20.34% | 30.55% |
| Jul 18, 2022 | - | Raymond James | $21.00 | $13.83 | 51.84% | 37.08% |
| Jun 28, 2022 | - | Piper Sandler | $17.00 | $13.51 | 25.83% | 10.97% |
| May 09, 2022 | Crispin Love | Piper Sandler | $20.00 | $16.96 | 17.92% | 30.55% |
The latest Arbor Realty Trust stock forecast, released on Sep 19, 2024 by Stephen Laws from Raymond James, set a price target of $16.00, which represents a 6.45% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($15.03), and a 4.44% increase from ABR last price ($15.32).
Arbor Realty Trust Price Target by Period
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | - | 1 | 3 |
| Avg Price Target | - | $16.00 | $13.83 |
| Last Closing Price | $15.32 | $15.32 | $15.32 |
| Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 4.44% | -9.73% |
In the current month, the average price target of Arbor Realty Trust stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to Arbor Realty Trust's last price of $15.32. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2024 | JMP Securities | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Sep 19, 2024 | Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
| Aug 05, 2024 | Piper Sandler | Underweight | Underweight | Hold |
| Jul 16, 2024 | Wedbush | Market Perform | Market Perform | Hold |
| Jul 16, 2024 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| Jun 20, 2024 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| Jun 20, 2024 | Wedbush | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Hold |
| May 06, 2024 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Underperform | Underperform | Hold |
| May 06, 2024 | Wedbush | Market Perform | Market Perform | Hold |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Wedbush | Market Perform | Neutral | Downgrade |
Arbor Realty Trust's last stock rating was published by JMP Securities on Sep 27, 2024. The company gave ABR a "Outperform" rating, the same as its previous rate.
Arbor Realty Trust Financial Forecast
Arbor Realty Trust Revenue Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $33.07M | $35.46M | $32.35M | $181.67M | $196.96M | $134.36M | $144.70M | $143.04M | $182.50M | $139.50M | $139.94M | $128.99M | $165.91M | $118.88M | $108.50M | $40.85M | $96.16M | $95.00M |
| Avg Forecast | $169.87M | $167.62M | $164.64M | $166.13M | $160.72M | $158.16M | $156.56M | $155.61M | $150.25M | $155.91M | $160.30M | $156.73M | $175.24M | $170.13M | $171.26M | $154.56M | $49.30M | $61.40M | $63.90M | $67.30M | $70.00M | $101.92M | $88.85M | $75.35M | $67.25M | $51.60M | $44.20M | $53.37M | $55.35M | $45.70M |
| High Forecast | $178.96M | $176.59M | $173.44M | $175.02M | $169.32M | $166.62M | $164.93M | $161.15M | $152.48M | $157.07M | $160.30M | $158.81M | $179.98M | $183.81M | $180.42M | $162.83M | $51.94M | $61.40M | $63.90M | $67.30M | $70.00M | $101.92M | $88.85M | $75.35M | $67.25M | $51.60M | $44.20M | $53.37M | $55.35M | $45.70M |
| Low Forecast | $157.47M | $155.38M | $152.62M | $154.00M | $148.99M | $146.61M | $145.13M | $143.78M | $144.22M | $154.76M | $160.30M | $154.66M | $171.90M | $144.67M | $158.75M | $143.28M | $45.70M | $61.40M | $63.90M | $67.30M | $70.00M | $101.92M | $88.85M | $75.35M | $67.25M | $51.60M | $44.20M | $53.37M | $55.35M | $45.70M |
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.19% | 0.21% | 0.19% | 1.18% | 4.00% | 2.19% | 2.26% | 2.13% | 2.61% | 1.37% | 1.58% | 1.71% | 2.47% | 2.30% | 2.45% | 0.77% | 1.74% | 2.08% |
Arbor Realty Trust's average Quarter revenue forecast for Mar 24 based on 2 analysts is $156.73M, with a low forecast of $154.66M, and a high forecast of $158.81M. ABR's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a 373.91% increase compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $33.07M (Dec 23).
Arbor Realty Trust EBITDA Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $313.67M | $303.54M | $300.19M | $95.95M | $300.01K | $223.54K | $183.19K | $155.61M | $212.22M | $159.86M | $149.33M | $142.00M | $178.35M | $153.90M | $113.21M | $-8.04M | $103.49M | $104.51M |
| Avg Forecast | $126.22M | $124.55M | $122.33M | $123.44M | $119.42M | $117.52M | $116.33M | $115.62M | $111.64M | $115.85M | $119.11M | $116.46M | $130.21M | $126.41M | $127.25M | $114.85M | $36.63M | $45.62M | $47.48M | $50.01M | $52.01M | $75.73M | $66.02M | $55.99M | $49.97M | $38.34M | $32.84M | $-63.68M | $41.13M | $33.96M |
| High Forecast | $132.97M | $131.21M | $128.88M | $130.05M | $125.81M | $123.80M | $122.55M | $119.74M | $113.30M | $116.71M | $119.11M | $118.00M | $133.73M | $136.58M | $134.06M | $120.99M | $38.59M | $45.62M | $47.48M | $50.01M | $52.01M | $75.73M | $66.02M | $55.99M | $49.97M | $38.34M | $32.84M | $-50.95M | $41.13M | $33.96M |
| Low Forecast | $117.00M | $115.46M | $113.40M | $114.43M | $110.71M | $108.94M | $107.83M | $106.84M | $107.16M | $114.99M | $119.11M | $114.92M | $127.73M | $107.49M | $117.96M | $106.46M | $33.96M | $45.62M | $47.48M | $50.01M | $52.01M | $75.73M | $66.02M | $55.99M | $49.97M | $38.34M | $32.84M | $-76.42M | $41.13M | $33.96M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2.41% | 2.40% | 2.36% | 0.84% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.11% | 4.08% | 2.11% | 2.26% | 2.54% | 3.57% | 4.01% | 3.45% | 0.13% | 2.52% | 3.08% |
2 analysts predict ABR's average Quarter EBITDA for Mar 24 to be $116.46M, with a high of $118.00M and a low of $114.92M. This is -62.87% lower than Arbor Realty Trust's previous annual EBITDA (Dec 23) of $313.67M.
Arbor Realty Trust Net Income Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $91.66M | $77.92M | $76.16M | $94.66M | $98.49M | $73.05M | $81.12M | $73.11M | $126.38M | $77.72M | $75.54M | $71.37M | $98.51M | $83.89M | $45.98M | $-57.42M | $37.43M | $35.85M |
| Avg Forecast | $90.35M | $88.30M | $88.30M | $88.30M | $86.25M | $82.96M | $81.32M | $78.44M | $78.44M | $80.09M | $84.62M | $90.43M | $96.92M | $87.45M | $96.51M | $82.21M | $78.27M | $88.36M | $88.77M | $74.73M | $88.36M | $87.33M | $88.87M | $53.11M | $82.20M | $65.76M | $50.14M | $-454.78M | $68.32M | $66.58M |
| High Forecast | $96.64M | $94.44M | $94.44M | $94.44M | $92.24M | $88.73M | $86.97M | $84.48M | $80.36M | $80.19M | $84.63M | $108.51M | $98.94M | $95.22M | $103.23M | $98.65M | $93.93M | $88.36M | $88.77M | $89.68M | $88.36M | $87.33M | $88.87M | $63.73M | $82.20M | $65.76M | $50.14M | $-363.83M | $68.32M | $66.58M |
| Low Forecast | $81.78M | $79.92M | $79.92M | $79.92M | $78.06M | $75.09M | $73.60M | $68.39M | $71.00M | $79.98M | $84.61M | $72.34M | $86.83M | $75.79M | $87.35M | $65.77M | $62.62M | $88.36M | $88.77M | $59.79M | $88.36M | $87.33M | $88.87M | $42.49M | $82.20M | $65.76M | $50.14M | $-545.74M | $68.32M | $66.58M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.95% | 0.89% | 0.79% | 1.15% | 1.26% | 0.83% | 0.91% | 0.98% | 1.43% | 0.89% | 0.85% | 1.34% | 1.20% | 1.28% | 0.92% | 0.13% | 0.55% | 0.54% |
Arbor Realty Trust's average Quarter net income forecast for Mar 24 is $90.43M, with a range of $72.34M to $108.51M. ABR's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -1.34% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $91.66M (Dec 23).
Arbor Realty Trust SG&A Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $56.02M | $55.12M | $52.04M | $52.09M | $56.57M | $55.02M | $53.73M | $54.83M | $53.79M | $51.06M | $42.32M | $43.04M | $45.30M | $37.66M | $43.74M |
| Avg Forecast | $64.30M | $63.45M | $62.32M | $62.89M | $60.84M | $59.87M | $59.26M | $58.90M | $56.87M | $59.02M | $60.68M | $59.33M | $66.33M | $64.40M | $64.83M | $58.51M | $37.55M | $23.24M | $24.19M | $25.48M | $26.50M | $38.58M | $33.63M | $40.03M | $25.46M | $19.53M | $16.73M | $20.20M | $20.95M | $17.30M |
| High Forecast | $67.74M | $66.85M | $65.66M | $66.25M | $64.09M | $63.07M | $62.43M | $61.00M | $57.72M | $59.46M | $60.68M | $60.12M | $68.13M | $69.58M | $68.29M | $61.64M | $45.06M | $23.24M | $24.19M | $25.48M | $26.50M | $38.58M | $33.63M | $48.04M | $25.46M | $19.53M | $16.73M | $20.20M | $20.95M | $17.30M |
| Low Forecast | $59.61M | $58.82M | $57.77M | $58.30M | $56.40M | $55.50M | $54.94M | $54.43M | $54.59M | $58.58M | $60.68M | $58.54M | $65.07M | $54.76M | $60.09M | $54.24M | $30.04M | $23.24M | $24.19M | $25.48M | $26.50M | $38.58M | $33.63M | $32.03M | $25.46M | $19.53M | $16.73M | $20.20M | $20.95M | $17.30M |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.96% | 1.47% | 2.24% | 2.15% | 2.22% | 2.08% | 1.39% | 1.63% | 1.34% | 2.01% | 2.17% | 2.57% | 2.24% | 1.80% | 2.53% |
Arbor Realty Trust's average Quarter SG&A projection for Jun 23 is $64.83M, based on 3 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $60.09M to $68.29M. The forecast indicates a 15.72% rise compared to ABR last annual SG&A of $56.02M (Mar 23).
Arbor Realty Trust EPS Forecast
| Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # Analysts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0.42 | $0.42 | $0.47 | $0.51 | $0.37 | $0.43 | $0.42 | $0.85 | $0.51 | $0.51 | $0.55 | $0.79 | $0.72 | $0.40 | $-0.54 | $0.35 | $0.36 |
| Avg Forecast | $0.44 | $0.43 | $0.43 | $0.43 | $0.42 | $0.40 | $0.40 | $0.38 | $0.38 | $0.39 | $0.41 | $0.41 | $0.47 | $0.43 | $0.47 | $0.40 | $0.42 | $0.43 | $0.43 | $0.45 | $0.43 | $0.42 | $0.43 | $0.46 | $0.40 | $0.32 | $0.24 | $0.03 | $0.33 | $0.32 |
| High Forecast | $0.47 | $0.46 | $0.46 | $0.46 | $0.45 | $0.43 | $0.42 | $0.41 | $0.39 | $0.39 | $0.41 | $0.41 | $0.48 | $0.46 | $0.50 | $0.43 | $0.44 | $0.43 | $0.43 | $0.45 | $0.43 | $0.42 | $0.43 | $0.46 | $0.40 | $0.32 | $0.24 | $0.03 | $0.33 | $0.32 |
| Low Forecast | $0.40 | $0.39 | $0.39 | $0.39 | $0.38 | $0.37 | $0.36 | $0.33 | $0.35 | $0.39 | $0.41 | $0.41 | $0.42 | $0.37 | $0.43 | $0.36 | $0.38 | $0.43 | $0.43 | $0.45 | $0.43 | $0.42 | $0.43 | $0.46 | $0.40 | $0.32 | $0.24 | $0.03 | $0.33 | $0.32 |
| Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.00% | 0.99% | 0.89% | 1.18% | 1.23% | 0.86% | 1.00% | 0.94% | 1.98% | 1.20% | 1.18% | 1.20% | 1.98% | 2.25% | 1.64% | -21.60% | 1.05% | 1.11% |
According to 2 Wall Street analysts, Arbor Realty Trust's projected average Quarter EPS for Mar 24 is $0.41, with a low estimate of $0.41 and a high estimate of $0.41. This represents a 102120.00% increase compared to ABR previous annual EPS of - (Dec 23).
Arbor Realty Trust Peer Comparison by Price Target
| Ticker | Company | Last Closing Price | Avg Price Target | Upside/Downside | Avg Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACRE | Ares Commercial Real Estate | $7.12 | $11.50 | 61.52% | Hold |
| ARI | Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance | $9.13 | $13.50 | 47.86% | - |
| KREF | KKR Real Estate Finance Trust | $11.53 | $16.17 | 40.24% | Buy |
| TWO | Two Harbors Investment | $11.61 | $15.50 | 33.51% | Buy |
| NLY | Annaly Capital Management | $19.62 | $25.00 | 27.42% | Buy |
| STWD | Starwood Property Trust | $19.44 | $24.50 | 26.03% | Buy |
| EARN | Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT | $6.37 | $8.00 | 25.59% | Buy |
| RC | Ready Capital | $7.11 | $8.50 | 19.55% | Hold |
| RITM | Rithm Capital | $10.74 | $12.67 | 17.97% | Buy |
| AGNC | AGNC Investment | $9.52 | $10.63 | 11.66% | Buy |
| EFC | Ellington Financial | $12.21 | $13.50 | 10.57% | Buy |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | $15.32 | $15.38 | 0.39% | Buy |
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT | $19.02 | $11.50 | -39.54% | Hold |
| CIM | Chimera Investment | $14.82 | $7.25 | -51.08% | Hold |