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Advance Auto Parts (AAP) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

OverviewRevenueOwnershipFinancialsChartTranscripts

AAP Stock Forecast

Advance Auto Parts (AAP) stock forecast, based on 15 Wall Street analysts, predicts a 12-month average price target of $54.00, with a high of $85.00 and a low of $38.00. This represents a 10.79% increase from the last price of $48.74.

$35 $46 $57 $68 $79 $90 High: $85 Avg: $54 Low: $38 Last Closed Price: $48.74

AAP Stock Rating

Advance Auto Parts stock's rating consensus is Hold, based on 15 Wall Street analysts. The breakdown includes 0 Strong Buy (0.00%), 5 Buy (33.33%), 10 Hold (66.67%), 0 Sell (0.00%), and 0 Strong Sell (0.00%).

Hold
Total 15 0 10 5 Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy

AAP Forecast vs Benchmarks

TypeNameUpside
StockAdvance Auto Parts10.79%
SectorConsumer Cyclical Stocks 4.57%
IndustrySpecialty Retail Stocks 19.86%

Price Target Trends

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-114
Avg Price Target-$39.00$60.21
Last Closing Price$48.74$48.74$48.74
Upside/Downside--19.98%23.53%
Ratings Trends
DateStrong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong SellTotal
Jan, 2512241230
Dec, 2412231229
Nov, 2449231239
Oct, 2449243242
Sep, 2449243242
Latest Price Target by Analysts
DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Nov 15, 2024Scot CiccarelliTruist Financial$39.00$38.710.75%-19.98%
Sep 12, 2024David BellingerMizuho Securities$38.00$39.12-2.86%-22.04%
Aug 26, 2024David BellingerMizuho Securities$45.00$49.64-9.35%-7.67%
Aug 23, 2024Christopher HorversJ.P. Morgan$43.00$49.15-12.51%-11.78%
Aug 23, 2024Bret JordanJefferies$85.00$49.6371.27%74.39%
Aug 22, 2024Laura ChampineWedbush$65.00$61.924.97%33.36%
Aug 22, 2024Christopher HorversJ.P. Morgan$55.00$61.92-11.18%12.84%
Jun 10, 2024David BellingerMizuho Securities$64.00$64.58-0.90%31.31%
May 30, 2024Chris McNallyEvercore ISI$72.00$65.3910.11%47.72%
May 30, 2024Scot CiccarelliTruist Financial$63.00$65.50-3.82%29.26%
Latest Upgrade/Downgrade by Analysts
DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Nov 15, 2024CitigroupNeutralNeutralhold
Oct 15, 2024Wells FargoEqual-WeightEqual-Weighthold
Oct 15, 2024WedbushHoldOutperformupgrade
Sep 12, 2024WedbushHoldHoldhold
Aug 26, 2024WedbushSector PerformSector Performhold
Aug 23, 2024Cowen & Co.HoldHoldhold
Aug 23, 2024JefferiesBuyBuyhold
Aug 22, 2024WedbushNeutralNeutralhold
May 30, 2024Evercore ISIPositivePositivehold
May 30, 2024RBC CapitalSector PerformSector Performhold

Financial Forecast

EPS Forecast

$-5 $-1 $3 $7 $11 $15 Dec 20 Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 20Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$7.17$9.62$7.84$0.50-----
Avg Forecast$8.60$11.94$12.60$1.73$-0.39$1.55$2.97$4.15$7.39
High Forecast$7.90$10.97$12.43$1.56$-0.66$0.92$2.21$2.98$7.25
Low Forecast$8.89$12.34$12.85$1.81$-0.24$2.10$3.69$6.00$7.56
Surprise %-16.63%-19.43%-37.78%-71.10%-----

Revenue Forecast

$8B $9B $9B $10B $11B $12B Dec 20 Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 20Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$10.11B$11.00B$11.15B$11.29B-----
Avg Forecast$10.11B$10.96B$11.10B$11.28B$9.13B$8.52B$8.56B$8.72B$9.34B
High Forecast$9.48B$10.28B$10.99B$11.21B$9.09B$8.42B$8.55B$8.70B$9.20B
Low Forecast$10.37B$11.25B$11.27B$11.32B$9.18B$8.68B$8.57B$8.75B$9.50B
Surprise %0.01%0.31%0.50%0.07%-----

Net Income Forecast

$-50M $120M $290M $460M $630M $800M Dec 20 Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 20Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$493.02M$596.62M$464.40M$29.73M-----
Avg Forecast$512.65M$711.83M$750.90M$29.73M$-26.80M$90.99M$170.77M$242.12M$440.50M
High Forecast$471.11M$654.15M$741.06M$23.79M$-39.28M$54.59M$132.00M$177.48M$432.26M
Low Forecast$529.80M$735.64M$766.03M$35.68M$-14.32M$125.19M$220.21M$357.66M$450.79M
Surprise %-3.83%-16.19%-38.15%------

AAP Forecast FAQ

Is Advance Auto Parts stock a buy?

Advance Auto Parts stock has a consensus rating of Hold, based on 15 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown includes 0 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, 10 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell, reflecting a consensus that Advance Auto Parts is a neutral investment for most analysts.

What is Advance Auto Parts's price target?

Advance Auto Parts's price target, set by 15 Wall Street analysts, averages $54 over the next 12 months. The price target range spans from $38 at the low end to $85 at the high end, suggesting a potential 10.79% change from the previous close price of $48.74.

How does Advance Auto Parts stock forecast compare to the average forecast of its sector, industry, and investment themes?

Advance Auto Parts stock forecast shows a 10.79% upside, outperforming the average forecast for the consumer cyclical stocks sector (4.57%) and underperforming the specialty retail stocks industry (19.86%).

What is the breakdown of analyst ratings for Advance Auto Parts over the past three months?

  • January 2025: 3.33% Strong Buy, 6.67% Buy, 80.00% Hold, 3.33% Sell, 6.67% Strong Sell.
  • December 2024: 3.45% Strong Buy, 6.90% Buy, 79.31% Hold, 3.45% Sell, 6.90% Strong Sell.
  • November 2024: 10.26% Strong Buy, 23.08% Buy, 58.97% Hold, 2.56% Sell, 5.13% Strong Sell.

What is Advance Auto Parts’s EPS forecast?

Advance Auto Parts's average annual EPS forecast for its fiscal year ending in December is -0.39 for 2024, a -178.00% decrease from the reported $0.5 in 2023. The prediction for 2025 is $1.55, $2.97 for 2026, $4.15 for 2027, and $7.39 for 2028.

What is Advance Auto Parts’s revenue forecast?

Advance Auto Parts's average annual revenue forecast for its fiscal year ending in December is $9.13B for 2024, a -19.15% decrease from the reported $11.29B in 2023. The forecast for 2025 is $8.52B, $8.56B for 2026, $8.72B for 2027, and $9.34B for 2028.

What is Advance Auto Parts’s net income forecast?

For its fiscal year ending in December, Advance Auto Parts's average annual net income forecast is $-26.802M for 2024, reflecting a -190.14% decrease from the reported $29.74M in 2023. The projection for 2025 is $90.99M, $170.77M for 2026, $242.12M for 2027, and $440.5M for 2028.