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American Airlines Group (AAL) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

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AAL Stock Forecast

American Airlines Group stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $18.65 (represents a 28.98% upside from AAL’s last price of $14.46) and a rating consensus of 'Hold', based on 15 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

AAL Price Target

The average price target for American Airlines Group (AAL) is $18.65 based on 1-year price targets from 15 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $47.00 to $9.00. This represents a potential 28.98% upside from AAL's last price of $14.46.

AAL Analyst Ratings

Hold

According to 15 Wall Street analysts, American Airlines Group's rating consensus is 'Hold'. The analyst rating breakdown for AAL stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 6 'Buy' (40.00%), 8 'Hold' (53.33%), 1 'Sell' (6.67%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

American Airlines Group Price Target by Analyst

DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Nov 15, 2024Catherine O'BrienGoldman Sachs$15.00$14.265.19%3.73%
Nov 14, 2024Brandon OglenskiBarclays$16.00$14.5010.32%10.65%
Oct 03, 2024Duane PfennigwerthEvercore ISI$12.00$10.7411.73%-17.01%
Oct 03, 2024Thomas FitzgeraldCantor Fitzgerald$9.00$10.82-16.86%-37.76%
Jul 29, 2024Stephen TrentCitigroup$13.50$10.6227.12%-6.64%
Jul 22, 2024David VernonBernstein$12.00$10.5813.42%-17.01%
May 30, 2024Christopher StathoulopoulosSusquehanna$13.00$11.6211.88%-10.10%
May 29, 2024David VernonBernstein$18.00$13.4433.93%24.48%
May 29, 2024Michael LinenbergDeutsche Bank$17.00$13.4426.49%17.57%
May 28, 2024Sheila KahyaogluJefferies$12.00$13.44-10.71%-17.01%
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The latest American Airlines Group stock forecast, released on Nov 15, 2024 by Catherine O'Brien from Goldman Sachs, set a price target of $15.00, which represents a 5.19% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($14.26), and a 3.73% increase from AAL last price ($14.46).

American Airlines Group Price Target by Period

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts2416
Avg Price Target$15.50$13.00$15.78
Last Closing Price$14.46$14.46$14.46
Upside/Downside7.19%-10.10%9.13%

In the current month, the average price target of American Airlines Group stock is $15.50, according to 2 Wall Street analysts offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a 7.19% increase as opposed to American Airlines Group's last price of $14.46. This month's average price target is up 19.23% compared to last quarter, and down -1.77% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Oct 30, 2024JefferiesHoldHoldHold
Oct 09, 2024SusquehannaNeutralNeutralHold
Oct 03, 2024Cowen & Co.HoldHoldHold
Oct 02, 2024JefferiesHoldHoldHold
Jul 29, 2024CitigroupBuyBuyHold
Jul 25, 2024Cowen & Co.HoldHoldHold
Jul 22, 2024BernsteinOutperformMarket PerformDowngrade
Jul 16, 2024Cowen & Co.BuyHoldDowngrade
Jul 08, 2024Deutsche BankBuyBuyHold
May 30, 2024SusquehannaNeutralNeutralHold
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American Airlines Group's last stock rating was published by Jefferies on Oct 30, 2024. The company gave AAL a "Hold" rating, the same as its previous rate.

American Airlines Group Financial Forecast

American Airlines Group Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue-------------$13.48B$14.05B$12.19B$13.19B$13.46B$13.42B$8.90B$9.43B$8.97B$7.48B$4.01B$4.03B$3.17B$1.62B$8.52B$11.31B$11.91B
Avg Forecast$14.11B$14.75B$15.64B$13.76B$13.84B$14.40B$14.84B$12.99B$13.14B$13.50B$14.38B$12.60B$13.01B$13.51B$13.74B$12.21B$13.07B$13.39B$13.33B$8.79B$9.35B$8.92B$7.32B$4.04B$3.88B$2.81B$1.44B$9.25B$11.31B$11.94B
High Forecast$14.41B$15.05B$15.96B$14.04B$14.13B$14.70B$15.14B$13.41B$13.34B$13.52B$14.38B$12.60B$13.07B$13.79B$14.02B$12.46B$13.34B$13.39B$13.33B$8.79B$9.35B$8.92B$7.32B$4.04B$3.88B$2.81B$1.44B$9.25B$11.31B$11.94B
Low Forecast$13.81B$14.43B$15.30B$13.46B$13.54B$14.09B$14.52B$12.57B$12.96B$13.48B$14.38B$12.60B$12.93B$13.22B$13.44B$11.94B$12.79B$13.39B$13.33B$8.79B$9.35B$8.92B$7.32B$4.04B$3.88B$2.81B$1.44B$9.25B$11.31B$11.94B
# Analysts22221114109749464374347441010101099
Surprise %-------------1.00%1.02%1.00%1.01%1.01%1.01%1.01%1.01%1.01%1.02%0.99%1.04%1.13%1.13%0.92%1.00%1.00%

American Airlines Group's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 9 analysts is $13.01B, with a low forecast of $12.93B, and a high forecast of $13.07B. AAL's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -3.48% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $13.48B (Sep 23).

American Airlines Group EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts22221114109749464374347441010101099
EBITDA-------------$-740.00M$2.31B$557.00M$1.54B$1.16B$1.07B$-1.47B$-723.00M$682.00M$495.00M$-1.20B$-2.43B$-2.75B$-2.40B$-2.63B$836.00M$841.00M
Avg Forecast$-264.42M$-276.26M$-292.97M$-257.73M$-259.26M$-269.74M$-277.93M$-243.38M$-246.17M$-252.89M$-269.38M$-2.03B$-243.79M$-253.04M$-257.35M$-1.84B$-951.67M$-1.02B$-1.01B$-1.68B$-709.25M$-676.67M$-555.21M$-1.20B$-293.93M$-212.78M$-108.99M$-2.27B$-857.92M$-905.38M
High Forecast$-258.75M$-270.34M$-286.69M$-252.21M$-253.70M$-263.96M$-271.97M$-235.43M$-242.81M$-252.57M$-269.36M$-1.62B$-242.29M$-247.62M$-251.84M$-1.48B$-761.34M$-1.02B$-1.01B$-1.34B$-709.25M$-676.67M$-555.21M$-957.13M$-293.93M$-212.78M$-108.99M$-1.82B$-857.92M$-905.38M
Low Forecast$-269.91M$-282.00M$-299.05M$-263.08M$-264.64M$-275.35M$-283.70M$-251.32M$-249.91M$-253.22M$-269.40M$-2.44B$-244.91M$-258.30M$-262.70M$-2.21B$-1.14B$-1.02B$-1.01B$-2.01B$-709.25M$-676.67M$-555.21M$-1.44B$-293.93M$-212.78M$-108.99M$-2.73B$-857.92M$-905.38M
Surprise %-------------2.92%-8.98%-0.30%-1.62%-1.14%-1.06%0.88%1.02%-1.01%-0.89%1.00%8.28%12.95%22.07%1.16%-0.97%-0.93%

4 analysts predict AAL's average Quarter EBITDA for Sep 23 to be $-253.04M, with a high of $-247.62M and a low of $-258.30M. This is -110.95% lower than American Airlines Group's previous annual EBITDA (Jun 23) of $2.31B.

American Airlines Group Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts22221114109749464374347441010101099
Net Income-------------$-545.00M$1.34B$10.00M$803.00M$483.00M$476.00M$-1.64B$-931.00M$169.00M$19.00M$-1.25B$-2.18B$-2.40B$-2.07B$-2.24B$414.00M$425.00M
Avg Forecast$78.89M$131.48M$900.67M$92.04M$181.41M$330.62M$873.04M$-23.64M$258.74M$118.14M$697.11M$-2.04B$70.26M$173.68M$1.05B$-1.86B$-1.23B$401.20M$551.46M$-1.69B$-1.06B$-748.11M$-1.46B$-1.24B$-2.96B$-4.22B$-5.65B$-1.93B$821.94M$1.01B
High Forecast$81.02M$135.03M$925.00M$94.52M$186.31M$339.55M$896.61M$-7.88M$315.54M$121.33M$697.65M$-1.64B$465.46M$178.37M$1.07B$-1.49B$-981.42M$401.20M$551.46M$-1.35B$-1.06B$-748.11M$-1.46B$-995.35M$-2.96B$-4.22B$-5.65B$-1.55B$821.94M$1.01B
Low Forecast$76.70M$127.82M$875.58M$89.48M$176.35M$321.41M$848.72M$-39.40M$195.64M$114.85M$696.57M$-2.45B$-175.65M$168.84M$1.02B$-2.23B$-1.47B$401.20M$551.46M$-2.03B$-1.06B$-748.11M$-1.46B$-1.49B$-2.96B$-4.22B$-5.65B$-2.32B$821.94M$1.01B
Surprise %--------------3.14%1.28%-0.01%-0.65%1.20%0.86%0.97%0.88%-0.23%-0.01%1.00%0.74%0.57%0.37%1.16%0.50%0.42%

American Airlines Group's average Quarter net income forecast for Sep 23 is $173.68M, with a range of $168.84M to $178.37M. AAL's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -87.02% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $1.34B (Jun 23).

American Airlines Group SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts22221114109749464374347441010101099
SG&A-------------$430.00M$489.00M$438.00M$484.00M$495.00M$504.00M$332.00M$353.00M$318.00M$277.00M$151.00M$95.00M$70.00M$43.00M$305.00M$408.00M$424.00M
Avg Forecast$486.88M$508.68M$539.45M$474.56M$477.37M$496.68M$511.75M$448.13M$453.28M$465.66M$496.01M$415.11M$448.89M$465.93M$473.86M$377.37M$464.65M$461.78M$459.87M$343.07M$322.59M$307.77M$252.53M$150.30M$133.69M$96.78M$49.57M$263.11M$390.21M$411.79M
High Forecast$496.99M$519.24M$550.65M$484.42M$487.29M$507.00M$522.38M$462.76M$460.17M$466.26M$496.05M$498.13M$450.96M$475.61M$483.71M$452.85M$557.58M$461.78M$459.87M$411.68M$322.59M$307.77M$252.53M$180.36M$133.69M$96.78M$49.57M$315.73M$390.21M$411.79M
Low Forecast$476.44M$497.78M$527.89M$464.39M$467.15M$486.04M$500.79M$433.51M$447.08M$465.06M$495.97M$332.09M$446.13M$455.95M$463.71M$301.90M$371.72M$461.78M$459.87M$274.45M$322.59M$307.77M$252.53M$120.24M$133.69M$96.78M$49.57M$210.49M$390.21M$411.79M
Surprise %-------------0.92%1.03%1.16%1.04%1.07%1.10%0.97%1.09%1.03%1.10%1.00%0.71%0.72%0.87%1.16%1.05%1.03%

American Airlines Group's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $448.89M, based on 9 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $446.13M to $450.96M. The forecast indicates a 4.39% rise compared to AAL last annual SG&A of $430.00M (Sep 23).

American Airlines Group EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts22221114109749464374347441010101099
EPS-------------$-0.00$2.05$0.02$1.23$0.74$0.73$-2.52$-1.44$0.26$0.03$-1.97$-3.81$-4.71$-4.82$-5.26$0.95$0.96
Avg Forecast$0.12$0.20$1.37$0.14$0.28$0.50$1.33$-0.04$0.39$0.18$1.06$-0.27$0.11$0.26$1.59$0.04$1.00$0.56$0.77$-2.39$-1.48$-1.04$-2.03$-4.30$-4.11$-5.86$-7.84$-2.08$1.14$1.40
High Forecast$0.12$0.21$1.41$0.14$0.28$0.52$1.36$-0.01$0.48$0.18$1.06$-0.26$0.71$0.27$1.63$0.04$1.03$0.56$0.77$-2.39$-1.48$-1.04$-2.03$-4.30$-4.11$-5.86$-7.84$-2.08$1.14$1.40
Low Forecast$0.12$0.19$1.33$0.14$0.27$0.49$1.29$-0.06$0.30$0.17$1.06$-0.28$-0.27$0.26$1.55$0.04$0.97$0.56$0.77$-2.39$-1.48$-1.04$-2.03$-4.30$-4.11$-5.86$-7.84$-2.08$1.14$1.40
Surprise %--------------0.00%1.29%0.40%1.23%1.33%0.95%1.05%0.97%-0.25%-0.01%0.46%0.93%0.80%0.61%2.53%0.83%0.69%

According to 4 Wall Street analysts, American Airlines Group's projected average Quarter EPS for Sep 23 is $0.26, with a low estimate of $0.26 and a high estimate of $0.27. This represents a -87.11% decrease compared to AAL previous annual EPS of $2.05 (Jun 23).

American Airlines Group Peer Comparison by Price Target

TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
SAVESpirit Airlines$1.08$17.481518.52%Buy
ULCCFrontier Group$5.47$10.96100.37%Hold
JBLUJetBlue Airways$6.04$9.2553.15%Hold
LUVSouthwest Airlines$31.77$42.3633.33%Hold
AALAmerican Airlines Group$14.46$18.6528.98%Hold
DALDelta Air Lines$63.64$59.42-6.63%Buy
UALUnited Airlines$94.63$74.06-21.74%Buy

AAL Forecast FAQ

Is American Airlines Group a good buy?

No, according to 15 Wall Street analysts, American Airlines Group (AAL) is considered a 'Hold'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 6 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 40.00% of AAL's total ratings.

What is AAL's price target?

American Airlines Group (AAL) average price target is $18.65 with a range of $9 to $47, implying a 28.98% from its last price of $14.46. The data is based on 15 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will American Airlines Group stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for AAL stock, the company can go up by 28.98% (from the last price of $14.46 to the average price target of $18.65), up by 225.03% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -37.76% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can American Airlines Group stock reach $20?

AAL's highest twelve months analyst stock price target of $47 supports the claim that American Airlines Group can reach $20 in the near future.

What is American Airlines Group's current price target trend?

2 Wall Street analysts forecast a $15.5 price target for American Airlines Group (AAL) this month, up 7.19% from its last price of $14.46. Compared to the last 3 and 12 months, the average price target decreased by -10.10% and increased by 9.13%, respectively.

What are American Airlines Group's analysts' financial forecasts?

American Airlines Group's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $56.06B (high $57.38B, low $54.72B), average EBITDA is $-1.05B (high $-1.025B, low $-1.075B), average net income is $1.36B (high $1.41B, low $1.31B), average SG&A $1.93B (high $1.98B, low $1.89B), and average EPS is $2.07 (high $2.15, low $1.99). AAL's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $58.26B (high $59.47B, low $57.01B), average EBITDA is $-1.091B (high $-1.068B, low $-1.114B), average net income is $1.2B (high $1.24B, low $1.17B), average SG&A $2.01B (high $2.05B, low $1.97B), and average EPS is $1.83 (high $1.88, low $1.78).

Did the AAL's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on American Airlines Group's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $48.97B, beating the average analysts forecast of $48.57B by 0.82%. Apple's EBITDA was $2.15B, missing the average prediction of $-4.655B by -146.14%. The company's net income was $127M, missing the average estimation of $-1.964B by -106.47%. Apple's SG&A was $1.82B, beating the average forecast of $1.73B by 4.95%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.2, missing the average prediction of $-0.0695 by -387.65%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), American Airlines Group's revenue was $13.48B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $13.51B by -0.18%. The company's EBITDA was $-740M, beating the average prediction of $-253M by 192.44%. American Airlines Group's net income was $-545M, missing the average estimation of $173.68M by -413.80%. The company's SG&A was $430M, missing the average forecast of $465.93M by -7.71%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-0.0008, missing the average prediction of $0.264 by -100.30%