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American Airlines Group (AAL) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

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AAL Stock Forecast

American Airlines Group stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $15.00 (represents a -13.44% downside from AAL’s last price of $17.33) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 17 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.

AAL Price Target

The average price target for American Airlines Group (AAL) is $15.00 based on 1-year price targets from 17 Wall Street analysts in the past 3 months, with a price target range of $20.00 to $9.00. This represents a potential -13.44% downside from AAL's last price of $17.33.

AAL Analyst Ratings

Buy

According to 17 Wall Street analysts, American Airlines Group's rating consensus is 'Buy'. The analyst rating breakdown for AAL stock is 0 'Strong Buy' (0.00%), 8 'Buy' (47.06%), 8 'Hold' (47.06%), 1 'Sell' (5.88%), and 0 'Strong Sell' (0.00%).

American Airlines Group Price Target by Analyst

DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Dec 05, 2024Conor CunninghamMelius Research$18.00$17.383.57%3.87%
Dec 05, 2024Daniel McKenzieSeaport Global$20.00$17.3815.07%15.41%
Nov 15, 2024Catherine O'BrienGoldman Sachs$15.00$14.265.19%-13.44%
Nov 14, 2024Brandon OglenskiBarclays$16.00$14.5010.32%-7.67%
Oct 03, 2024Duane PfennigwerthEvercore ISI$12.00$10.7411.73%-30.76%
Oct 03, 2024Thomas FitzgeraldCantor Fitzgerald$9.00$10.82-16.86%-48.07%
Jul 29, 2024Stephen TrentCitigroup$13.50$10.6227.12%-22.10%
Jul 22, 2024David VernonBernstein$12.00$10.5813.42%-30.76%
May 30, 2024Christopher StathoulopoulosSusquehanna$13.00$11.6211.88%-24.99%
May 29, 2024David VernonBernstein$18.00$13.4433.93%3.87%
May 29, 2024Michael LinenbergDeutsche Bank$17.00$13.4426.49%-1.90%
May 28, 2024Sheila KahyaogluJefferies$12.00$13.44-10.71%-30.76%
May 13, 2024Achal KumarHSBC$17.90$14.4024.31%3.29%
Mar 19, 2024Atul MaheswariUBS$19.00$13.9336.40%9.64%
Jan 29, 2024Daniel McKenzieSeaport Global$23.00$15.0752.62%32.72%
Jan 29, 2024Duane PfennigwerthEvercore ISI$17.00$15.0712.80%-1.90%
Jan 11, 2024Sheila KahyaogluJefferies$18.00$14.5923.37%3.87%
Jan 08, 2024Ravi ShankerMorgan Stanley$20.00$14.5837.17%15.41%
Dec 05, 2022Morgan Stanley$19.00$13.9736.01%9.64%
Jul 22, 2022Citigroup$16.00$13.9914.38%-7.67%
Jul 12, 2022Susquehanna$15.00$14.851.04%-13.44%
Jun 27, 2022Evercore ISI$13.00$13.51-3.77%-24.99%
Jun 14, 2022Brandon OglenskiBarclays$17.00$13.3227.63%-1.90%
Apr 27, 2022Brandon OglenskiBarclays$20.00$18.776.55%15.41%
Apr 25, 2022Andrew DidoraBank of America Securities$47.00$19.98135.29%171.21%
Apr 22, 2022Deutsche Bank$25.00$20.2723.30%44.26%
Apr 22, 2022Morgan Stanley$22.00$20.298.45%26.95%
Apr 11, 2022Brandon OglenskiBarclays$15.00$16.97-11.61%-13.44%
Feb 06, 2022James GoodallRedburn Partners$18.00$16.459.42%3.87%
Jan 21, 2022Jamie BakerJ.P. Morgan$19.00$16.3016.56%9.64%
Jan 21, 2022Christopher StathoulopoulosSusquehanna$19.00$16.3016.56%9.64%
Jan 20, 2022Michael LinenbergDeutsche Bank$23.00$16.7637.23%32.72%
Sep 17, 2021Myles WaltonUBS$14.00$19.73-29.04%-19.22%
Jul 22, 2021Helane BeckerCowen & Co.$23.00$21.168.70%32.72%
Jun 10, 2021Conor CunninghamMKM Partners$29.00$23.4623.61%67.34%
Apr 23, 2021Joseph DeNardiStifel Nicolaus$19.00$21.11-10.00%9.64%

The latest American Airlines Group stock forecast, released on Dec 05, 2024 by Conor Cunningham from Melius Research, set a price target of $18.00, which represents a 3.57% increase from the stock price at the time of the forecast ($17.38), and a 3.87% increase from AAL last price ($17.33).

American Airlines Group Price Target by Period

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-414
Avg Price Target-$17.25$15.17
Last Closing Price$17.33$17.33$17.33
Upside/Downside-100.00%-0.46%-12.46%

In the current month, the average price target of American Airlines Group stock is -, according to 0 Wall Street analyst offering twelve months forecast. The average price target represents a -100.00% decrease as opposed to American Airlines Group's last price of $17.33. This month's average price target is down -100.00% compared to last quarter, and down -100.00% compared to last year.

Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades

DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Jan 24, 2025Deutsche BankBuyBuyHold
Jan 06, 2025TD SecuritiesBuyUpgrade
Dec 09, 2024UBSNeutralNeutralHold
Dec 05, 2024Seaport GlobalNeutralBuyUpgrade
Oct 30, 2024JefferiesHoldHoldHold
Oct 09, 2024SusquehannaNeutralNeutralHold
Oct 03, 2024Cowen & Co.HoldHoldHold
Oct 02, 2024JefferiesHoldHoldHold
Jul 29, 2024CitigroupBuyBuyHold
Jul 25, 2024Cowen & Co.HoldHoldHold
Jul 22, 2024BernsteinOutperformMarket PerformDowngrade
Jul 16, 2024Cowen & Co.BuyHoldDowngrade
Jul 08, 2024Deutsche BankBuyBuyHold
May 30, 2024SusquehannaNeutralNeutralHold
May 29, 2024Cowen & Co.BuyBuyHold
May 29, 2024Seaport GlobalBuyNeutralDowngrade
May 29, 2024BernsteinOutperformOutperformHold
May 29, 2024Deutsche BankBuyBuyHold
May 29, 2024Bank of America SecuritiesUnderperformUnderperformHold
May 28, 2024JefferiesBuyHoldDowngrade
May 13, 2024HSBCBuyInitialise
May 06, 2024BernsteinOutperformOutperformHold
Apr 01, 2024CitigroupBuyBuyHold
Mar 05, 2024BernsteinOutperformOutperformHold
Jan 29, 2024CitigroupNeutralBuyUpgrade
Jan 26, 2024Cowen & Co.OverweightOverweightHold
Jan 26, 2024BarclaysUnderweightUnderweightHold
Jan 26, 2024Seaport GlobalNeutralBuyUpgrade
Jan 26, 2024Cowen & Co.OutperformUpgrade
Jan 22, 2024Wolfe ResearchOutperformUpgrade
Jan 11, 2024JefferiesHoldBuyUpgrade
Sep 18, 2023CitigroupNeutralNeutralHold
Sep 06, 2023Exane BNP ParibasOutperformUpgrade
Jun 01, 2023Goldman SachsNeutralNeutralHold
Dec 05, 2022Morgan StanleyOverweightOverweightHold
Dec 05, 2022Morgan StanleyEqual-WeightEqual-WeightHold
Nov 29, 2022Raymond JamesMarket PerformMarket PerformHold
Jul 19, 2022CitigroupNeutralNeutralHold
Jul 12, 2022SusquehannaNeutralNeutralHold
Jun 14, 2022BarclaysUnderweightUnderweightHold
Apr 25, 2022J.P. MorganNeutralUpgrade
Apr 25, 2022Bank of America SecuritiesSellSellHold
Apr 11, 2022BarclaysUnderweightUnderweightHold
Mar 07, 2022Seaport GlobalNeutralDowngrade
Jan 30, 2022SusquehannaNeutralNeutralHold
Apr 01, 2021JefferiesHoldUpgrade

American Airlines Group's last stock rating was published by Deutsche Bank on Jan 24, 2025. The company gave AAL a "Buy" rating, the same as its previous rate.

American Airlines Group Financial Forecast

American Airlines Group Revenue Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
Revenue-------------$13.48B$14.05B$12.19B$13.19B$13.46B$13.42B$8.90B$9.43B$8.97B$7.48B$4.01B$4.03B$3.17B$1.62B$8.52B$11.31B$11.91B
Avg Forecast$15.23B$15.42B$16.18B$13.75B$14.35B$14.65B$15.26B$13.10B$13.43B$13.50B$14.38B$12.60B$13.01B$13.51B$13.74B$12.21B$13.07B$13.39B$13.33B$8.79B$9.35B$8.92B$7.32B$4.04B$3.88B$2.81B$1.44B$9.25B$11.31B$11.94B
High Forecast$15.71B$15.91B$16.69B$14.19B$14.81B$15.12B$15.75B$13.74B$13.49B$13.52B$14.38B$12.60B$13.07B$13.94B$14.18B$12.60B$13.42B$13.39B$13.33B$8.79B$9.35B$8.92B$7.32B$4.04B$3.88B$2.81B$1.44B$9.25B$11.31B$11.94B
Low Forecast$15.04B$15.23B$15.98B$13.58B$14.17B$14.47B$15.07B$12.85B$13.35B$13.48B$14.38B$12.60B$12.93B$13.34B$13.57B$12.06B$12.74B$13.39B$13.33B$8.79B$9.35B$8.92B$7.32B$4.04B$3.88B$2.81B$1.44B$9.25B$11.31B$11.94B
# Analysts64464379115749464374347441010101099
Surprise %-------------1.00%1.02%1.00%1.01%1.01%1.01%1.01%1.01%1.01%1.02%0.99%1.04%1.13%1.13%0.92%1.00%1.00%

American Airlines Group's average Quarter revenue forecast for Dec 23 based on 9 analysts is $13.01B, with a low forecast of $12.93B, and a high forecast of $13.07B. AAL's average Quarter revenue forecast represents a -3.48% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter revenue of $13.48B (Sep 23).

American Airlines Group EBITDA Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts64464379115749464374347441010101099
EBITDA-------------$-740.00M$2.31B$557.00M$1.54B$1.16B$1.07B$-1.47B$-723.00M$682.00M$495.00M$-1.20B$-2.43B$-2.75B$-2.40B$-2.63B$836.00M$841.00M
Avg Forecast$-285.24M$-288.87M$-303.04M$-257.54M$-268.80M$-274.55M$-285.90M$-245.49M$-251.53M$-252.89M$-269.38M$-2.03B$-243.79M$-253.04M$-257.35M$-1.84B$-951.67M$-1.02B$-1.01B$-1.68B$-709.25M$-676.67M$-555.21M$-1.20B$-293.93M$-212.78M$-108.99M$-2.27B$-857.92M$-905.38M
High Forecast$-281.72M$-285.31M$-299.31M$-254.37M$-265.49M$-271.17M$-282.38M$-240.83M$-250.03M$-252.57M$-269.36M$-1.62B$-242.29M$-249.93M$-254.18M$-1.48B$-761.34M$-1.02B$-1.01B$-1.34B$-709.25M$-676.67M$-555.21M$-957.13M$-293.93M$-212.78M$-108.99M$-1.82B$-857.92M$-905.38M
Low Forecast$-294.38M$-298.13M$-312.76M$-265.80M$-277.42M$-283.35M$-295.07M$-257.44M$-252.65M$-253.22M$-269.40M$-2.44B$-244.91M$-261.16M$-265.60M$-2.21B$-1.14B$-1.02B$-1.01B$-2.01B$-709.25M$-676.67M$-555.21M$-1.44B$-293.93M$-212.78M$-108.99M$-2.73B$-857.92M$-905.38M
Surprise %-------------2.92%-8.98%-0.30%-1.62%-1.14%-1.06%0.88%1.02%-1.01%-0.89%1.00%8.28%12.95%22.07%1.16%-0.97%-0.93%

4 analysts predict AAL's average Quarter EBITDA for Sep 23 to be $-253.04M, with a high of $-249.93M and a low of $-261.16M. This is -110.95% lower than American Airlines Group's previous annual EBITDA (Jun 23) of $2.31B.

American Airlines Group Net Income Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts64464379115749464374347441010101099
Net Income-------------$-545.00M$1.34B$10.00M$803.00M$483.00M$476.00M$-1.64B$-931.00M$169.00M$19.00M$-1.25B$-2.18B$-2.40B$-2.07B$-2.24B$414.00M$425.00M
Avg Forecast$557.87M$415.97M$1.05B$-1.28M$428.09M$369.83M$909.22M$-140.58M$435.46M$118.14M$697.11M$-2.04B$70.26M$173.68M$1.05B$-1.86B$-1.23B$401.20M$551.46M$-1.69B$-1.06B$-748.11M$-1.46B$-1.24B$-2.96B$-4.22B$-5.65B$-1.93B$821.94M$1.01B
High Forecast$581.13M$433.31M$1.10B$-1.26M$445.94M$385.24M$947.13M$63.90M$530.71M$123.06M$697.65M$-1.64B$465.46M$180.92M$1.09B$-1.49B$-981.42M$401.20M$551.46M$-1.35B$-1.06B$-748.11M$-1.46B$-995.35M$-2.96B$-4.22B$-5.65B$-1.55B$821.94M$1.01B
Low Forecast$548.94M$409.31M$1.03B$-1.33M$421.24M$363.91M$894.68M$-319.49M$374.22M$116.25M$696.57M$-2.45B$-175.65M$170.90M$1.03B$-2.23B$-1.47B$401.20M$551.46M$-2.03B$-1.06B$-748.11M$-1.46B$-1.49B$-2.96B$-4.22B$-5.65B$-2.32B$821.94M$1.01B
Surprise %--------------3.14%1.28%-0.01%-0.65%1.20%0.86%0.97%0.88%-0.23%-0.01%1.00%0.74%0.57%0.37%1.16%0.50%0.42%

American Airlines Group's average Quarter net income forecast for Sep 23 is $173.68M, with a range of $170.90M to $180.92M. AAL's average Quarter net income forecast represents a -87.02% decrease compared to the company's last Quarter net income of $1.34B (Jun 23).

American Airlines Group SG&A Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts64464379115749464374347441010101099
SG&A-------------$430.00M$489.00M$438.00M$484.00M$495.00M$504.00M$332.00M$353.00M$318.00M$277.00M$151.00M$95.00M$70.00M$43.00M$305.00M$408.00M$424.00M
Avg Forecast$525.21M$531.90M$558.00M$474.21M$494.95M$505.52M$526.44M$452.03M$463.14M$465.66M$496.01M$415.11M$448.89M$465.93M$473.86M$377.37M$464.65M$461.78M$459.87M$343.07M$322.59M$307.77M$252.53M$150.30M$133.69M$96.78M$49.57M$263.11M$390.21M$411.79M
High Forecast$542.05M$548.96M$575.89M$489.42M$510.82M$521.74M$543.32M$474.03M$465.21M$466.26M$496.05M$498.13M$450.96M$480.87M$489.06M$452.85M$557.58M$461.78M$459.87M$411.68M$322.59M$307.77M$252.53M$180.36M$133.69M$96.78M$49.57M$315.73M$390.21M$411.79M
Low Forecast$518.74M$525.35M$551.13M$468.37M$488.86M$499.30M$519.96M$443.44M$460.38M$465.06M$495.97M$332.09M$446.13M$460.20M$468.03M$301.90M$371.72M$461.78M$459.87M$274.45M$322.59M$307.77M$252.53M$120.24M$133.69M$96.78M$49.57M$210.49M$390.21M$411.79M
Surprise %-------------0.92%1.03%1.16%1.04%1.07%1.10%0.97%1.09%1.03%1.10%1.00%0.71%0.72%0.87%1.16%1.05%1.03%

American Airlines Group's average Quarter SG&A projection for Dec 23 is $448.89M, based on 9 Wall Street analysts, with a range of $446.13M to $450.96M. The forecast indicates a 4.39% rise compared to AAL last annual SG&A of $430.00M (Sep 23).

American Airlines Group EPS Forecast

Dec 26Sep 26Jun 26Mar 26Dec 25Sep 25Jun 25Mar 25Dec 24Sep 24Jun 24Mar 24Dec 23Sep 23Jun 23Mar 23Dec 22Sep 22Jun 22Mar 22Dec 21Sep 21Jun 21Mar 21Dec 20Sep 20Jun 20Mar 20Dec 19Sep 19
# Analysts64464379115749464374347441010101099
EPS-------------$-0.00$2.05$0.02$1.23$0.74$0.73$-2.52$-1.44$0.26$0.03$-1.97$-3.81$-4.71$-4.82$-5.26$0.95$0.96
Avg Forecast$0.85$0.63$1.60$-0.00$0.65$0.56$1.38$-0.21$0.66$0.18$1.06$-0.27$0.11$0.26$1.59$0.04$1.00$0.56$0.77$-2.39$-1.48$-1.04$-2.03$-4.30$-4.11$-5.86$-7.84$-2.08$1.14$1.40
High Forecast$0.88$0.66$1.67$-0.00$0.68$0.59$1.44$0.10$0.81$0.19$1.06$-0.26$0.71$0.28$1.66$0.04$1.04$0.56$0.77$-2.39$-1.48$-1.04$-2.03$-4.30$-4.11$-5.86$-7.84$-2.08$1.14$1.40
Low Forecast$0.83$0.62$1.57$-0.00$0.64$0.55$1.36$-0.49$0.57$0.18$1.06$-0.28$-0.27$0.26$1.57$0.04$0.97$0.56$0.77$-2.39$-1.48$-1.04$-2.03$-4.30$-4.11$-5.86$-7.84$-2.08$1.14$1.40
Surprise %--------------0.00%1.29%0.40%1.23%1.33%0.95%1.05%0.97%-0.25%-0.01%0.46%0.93%0.80%0.61%2.53%0.83%0.69%

According to 4 Wall Street analysts, American Airlines Group's projected average Quarter EPS for Sep 23 is $0.26, with a low estimate of $0.26 and a high estimate of $0.28. This represents a -87.11% decrease compared to AAL previous annual EPS of $2.05 (Jun 23).

American Airlines Group Peer Comparison by Price Target

TickerCompanyLast Closing PriceAvg Price TargetUpside/DownsideAvg Rating
DALDelta Air Lines$68.43$70.883.58%Buy
JBLUJetBlue Airways$6.10$6.313.44%Hold
LUVSouthwest Airlines$31.65$31.39-0.82%Hold
AALAmerican Airlines Group$17.33$15.00-13.44%Buy
ULCCFrontier Group$8.19$6.88-16.00%Hold
UALUnited Airlines$108.26$89.89-16.97%Buy

AAL Forecast FAQ

Is American Airlines Group a good buy?

Yes, according to 17 Wall Street analysts, American Airlines Group (AAL) is considered a 'Buy'. The rating consensus is based on 0 'Strong Buy' and 8 'Buy' recommendations, accounting for 47.06% of AAL's total ratings.

What is AAL's price target?

American Airlines Group (AAL) average price target is $15 with a range of $9 to $20, implying a -13.44% from its last price of $17.33. The data is based on 17 Wall Street analysts who provided a twelve-month price target estimate in the last three months.

Will American Airlines Group stock go up soon?

According to Wall Street analysts' prediction for AAL stock, the company can go down by -13.44% (from the last price of $17.33 to the average price target of $15), up by 15.41% based on the highest stock price target, and down by -48.07% based on the lowest stock price target.

Can American Airlines Group stock reach $30?

AAL's average twelve months analyst stock price target of $15 does not support the claim that American Airlines Group can reach $30 in the near future.

What are American Airlines Group's analysts' financial forecasts?

American Airlines Group's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2025) are as follows: average revenue is $57.37B (high $59.42B, low $56.57B), average EBITDA is $-1.075B (high $-1.06B, low $-1.113B), average net income is $1.57B (high $1.84B, low $1.36B), average SG&A $1.98B (high $2.05B, low $1.95B), and average EPS is $2.38 (high $2.8, low $2.07). AAL's analysts financial forecasts for the fiscal year (Dec 2026) are as follows: average revenue is $60.57B (high $62.51B, low $59.82B), average EBITDA is $-1.135B (high $-1.121B, low $-1.171B), average net income is $2.02B (high $2.11B, low $1.99B), average SG&A $2.09B (high $2.16B, low $2.06B), and average EPS is $3.08 (high $3.21, low $3.03).

Did the AAL's actual financial results beat the analysts' financial forecasts?

Based on American Airlines Group's last annual report (Dec 2022), the company's revenue was $48.97B, beating the average analysts forecast of $48.57B by 0.82%. Apple's EBITDA was $2.15B, missing the average prediction of $-4.655B by -146.14%. The company's net income was $127M, missing the average estimation of $-1.964B by -106.47%. Apple's SG&A was $1.82B, beating the average forecast of $1.73B by 4.95%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $0.2, missing the average prediction of $-0.0695 by -387.65%. In terms of the last quarterly report (Sep 2023), American Airlines Group's revenue was $13.48B, missing the average analysts' forecast of $13.51B by -0.18%. The company's EBITDA was $-740M, beating the average prediction of $-253M by 192.44%. American Airlines Group's net income was $-545M, missing the average estimation of $173.68M by -413.80%. The company's SG&A was $430M, missing the average forecast of $465.93M by -7.71%. Lastly, the company's EPS was $-0.0008, missing the average prediction of $0.264 by -100.30%