Alcoa (AA) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
AA Stock Forecast
Alcoa stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $46.00 (represents a 30.94% upside from AA’s last price of $35.13) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 17 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
AA Price Target
AA Analyst Ratings
Buy
Alcoa Price Target by Analyst
Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 17, 2024 | Katja Jancic | BMO Capital | $45.00 | $42.07 | 6.96% | 28.10% |
Oct 17, 2024 | Derek Hernandez | B.Riley Financial | $50.00 | $42.07 | 18.85% | 42.33% |
Oct 17, 2024 | Christopher LaFemina | Jefferies | $50.00 | $42.07 | 18.85% | 42.33% |
Oct 09, 2024 | Timna Tanners | Wolfe Research | $41.00 | $37.73 | 8.67% | 16.71% |
Oct 01, 2024 | Lawson Winder | Bank of America Securities | $52.00 | $39.45 | 31.83% | 48.02% |
Aug 12, 2024 | Curt Woodworth | UBS | $38.00 | $31.19 | 21.83% | 8.17% |
Jul 02, 2024 | Derek Hernandez | B.Riley Financial | $39.00 | $39.70 | -1.76% | 11.02% |
Jun 21, 2024 | Carlos De Alba | Morgan Stanley | $50.00 | $39.64 | 26.14% | 42.33% |
Apr 22, 2024 | Carlos De Alba | Morgan Stanley | $36.50 | $36.35 | 0.41% | 3.90% |
Apr 18, 2024 | Katja Jancic | Loop Capital Markets | $37.00 | $35.47 | 4.31% | 5.32% |
Apr 18, 2024 | Christopher LaFemina | Jefferies | $48.00 | $35.55 | 35.02% | 36.64% |
Apr 18, 2024 | Derek Hernandez | B.Riley Financial | $31.00 | $35.55 | -12.80% | -11.76% |
Apr 18, 2024 | Katja Jancic | BMO Capital | $37.00 | $35.55 | 4.08% | 5.32% |
Oct 19, 2023 | Katja Jancic | Loop Capital Markets | $28.00 | $24.53 | 14.15% | -20.30% |
Feb 01, 2023 | UBS | $50.00 | $52.23 | -4.26% | 42.33% | |
Dec 09, 2022 | Morgan Stanley | $56.00 | $47.28 | 18.44% | 59.41% | |
Sep 16, 2022 | Carlos De Alba | Morgan Stanley | $66.00 | $43.14 | 52.99% | 87.87% |
Aug 03, 2022 | David Gagliano | BMO Capital | $55.00 | $48.05 | 14.46% | 56.56% |
Jun 22, 2022 | Carlos De Alba | Morgan Stanley | $55.00 | $48.90 | 12.47% | 56.56% |
Apr 25, 2022 | Morgan Stanley | $96.00 | $65.19 | 47.26% | 173.27% | |
Apr 11, 2022 | Curt Woodworth | Credit Suisse | $82.00 | $82.53 | -0.64% | 133.42% |
Mar 26, 2022 | David Coleman | Argus Research | $95.00 | $91.96 | 3.31% | 170.42% |
Mar 15, 2022 | Sathish Kasinathan | Deutsche Bank | $90.00 | $73.71 | 22.10% | 156.19% |
Feb 14, 2022 | Carlos De Alba | Morgan Stanley | $78.00 | $73.86 | 5.61% | 122.03% |
Jan 20, 2022 | Lucas Pipes | B.Riley Financial | $55.00 | $61.18 | -10.10% | 56.56% |
Jan 20, 2022 | David Gagliano | BMO Capital | $65.00 | $61.18 | 6.24% | 85.03% |
Jan 17, 2022 | Christopher LaFemina | Jefferies | $75.00 | $61.39 | 22.17% | 113.49% |
Alcoa Price Target by Period
1M | 3M | 12M | |
---|---|---|---|
# Anlaysts | - | - | 13 |
Avg Price Target | - | - | $42.65 |
Last Closing Price | $35.13 | $35.13 | $35.13 |
Upside/Downside | -100.00% | -100.00% | 21.41% |
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
---|---|---|---|---|
Dec 11, 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
Oct 18, 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
Oct 17, 2024 | BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Hold |
Oct 17, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
Oct 09, 2024 | Wolfe Research | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
Oct 01, 2024 | Bank of America Securities | Buy | Upgrade | |
Sep 19, 2024 | UBS | Buy | Buy | Hold |
Sep 17, 2024 | B. Riley | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
Sep 04, 2024 | Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Outperform | Upgrade |
Jul 18, 2024 | B. Riley | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
Jul 17, 2024 | Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Hold |
Jul 17, 2024 | UBS | Sell | Sell | Hold |
Jul 17, 2024 | B. Riley Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
Jun 20, 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Equal-Weight | Overweight | Upgrade |
May 21, 2024 | Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Hold |
Apr 18, 2024 | UBS | Sell | Sell | Hold |
Apr 18, 2024 | BMO Capital | Perform | Perform | Hold |
Apr 18, 2024 | B. Riley | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
Apr 18, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
Apr 18, 2024 | BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Hold |
Jan 18, 2024 | BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Hold |
Oct 19, 2023 | BMO Capital | Perform | Perform | Hold |
Oct 19, 2023 | BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Hold |
Jul 21, 2023 | CFRA | Hold | Upgrade | |
May 11, 2023 | Credit Suisse | Outperform | Upgrade | |
Mar 30, 2023 | Morgan Stanley | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
Feb 01, 2023 | UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
Oct 06, 2022 | UBS | Neutral | Initialise | |
Sep 22, 2022 | MoffettNathanson | Hold | Initialise | |
Sep 22, 2022 | Citigroup | Buy | Initialise | |
Sep 22, 2022 | Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Downgrade | |
Sep 16, 2022 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Equal-Weight | Upgrade |
Sep 16, 2022 | Scotiabank | Perform | Downgrade | |
Sep 16, 2022 | Jefferies | Buy | Underperform | Downgrade |
Sep 16, 2022 | Wells Fargo | Underweight | Downgrade | |
Sep 16, 2022 | Loop Capital Markets | Hold | Downgrade | |
Sep 16, 2022 | Susquehanna | Neutral | Downgrade | |
Sep 16, 2022 | Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Upgrade | |
Sep 16, 2022 | Morgan Stanley | Positive | Overweight | Upgrade |
Aug 03, 2022 | BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Hold |
Jul 06, 2022 | B. Riley | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
Jun 30, 2022 | Morgan Stanley | Positive | Positive | Hold |
Jun 28, 2022 | B. Riley Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
Apr 17, 2022 | B. Riley | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
Mar 15, 2022 | Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Hold |
Feb 14, 2022 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
Jan 17, 2022 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
Jul 21, 2021 | Goldman Sachs | Conviction Buy | Conviction Buy | Hold |
Apr 19, 2021 | BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Hold |
Mar 09, 2021 | Goldman Sachs | Buy | Upgrade |
Alcoa Financial Forecast
Alcoa Revenue Forecast
Quarter
Dec 27 | Sep 27 | Jun 27 | Mar 27 | Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $2.60B | - | $2.68B | $2.67B | $2.66B | $2.85B | $3.64B | $3.29B | $3.34B | $3.11B | $2.83B | $2.87B | $2.39B | $2.37B |
Avg Forecast | $3.19B | $3.19B | $3.19B | $3.19B | $3.02B | $3.01B | $3.01B | $3.00B | $3.26B | $3.34B | $3.40B | $3.50B | $3.37B | $2.97B | $2.84B | $2.55B | $2.59B | $2.59B | $2.68B | $2.76B | $2.65B | $2.96B | $3.45B | $3.46B | $3.29B | $2.93B | $2.65B | $2.63B | $2.38B | $2.26B |
High Forecast | $3.28B | $3.27B | $3.27B | $3.27B | $3.09B | $3.09B | $3.09B | $3.08B | $3.34B | $3.42B | $3.48B | $3.57B | $3.56B | $2.97B | $2.84B | $2.55B | $2.64B | $2.65B | $2.75B | $2.83B | $2.90B | $3.07B | $3.59B | $3.60B | $3.42B | $3.05B | $2.75B | $2.73B | $2.47B | $2.35B |
Low Forecast | $3.02B | $3.02B | $3.02B | $3.02B | $2.85B | $2.85B | $2.85B | $2.84B | $3.08B | $3.16B | $3.22B | $3.41B | $3.20B | $2.96B | $2.84B | $2.55B | $2.54B | $2.45B | $2.53B | $2.61B | $2.44B | $2.85B | $3.33B | $3.33B | $3.17B | $2.82B | $2.55B | $2.53B | $2.29B | $2.18B |
# Analysts | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.00% | - | 1.00% | 0.97% | 1.01% | 0.96% | 1.06% | 0.95% | 1.01% | 1.06% | 1.07% | 1.09% | 1.01% | 1.05% |
Forecast
Alcoa EBITDA Forecast
Quarter
Dec 27 | Sep 27 | Jun 27 | Mar 27 | Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# Analysts | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $92.00M | - | $105.00M | $148.00M | $-52.00M | $97.00M | $1.02B | $1.07B | $99.00M | $678.00M | $648.00M | $492.00M | $229.00M | $195.00M |
Avg Forecast | $345.96M | $345.78M | $345.60M | $345.42M | $326.53M | $326.50M | $326.39M | $324.90M | $352.55M | $361.42M | $368.08M | $378.69M | $364.95M | $321.30M | $307.97M | $999.06M | $280.44M | $279.95M | $289.99M | $908.23M | $450.07M | $414.33M | $484.17M | $825.67M | $461.82M | $410.96M | $371.51M | $280.60M | $333.06M | $316.72M |
High Forecast | $354.70M | $354.51M | $354.33M | $354.14M | $334.78M | $334.75M | $334.63M | $333.11M | $361.46M | $370.55M | $377.38M | $387.08M | $385.47M | $322.01M | $307.97M | $1.20B | $285.81M | $287.02M | $297.32M | $1.09B | $540.09M | $430.49M | $503.05M | $990.80M | $479.83M | $426.99M | $386.00M | $336.72M | $346.05M | $329.08M |
Low Forecast | $327.47M | $327.30M | $327.13M | $326.96M | $309.08M | $309.05M | $308.94M | $307.53M | $333.71M | $342.11M | $348.41M | $369.25M | $346.60M | $320.58M | $307.97M | $799.24M | $275.06M | $264.98M | $274.49M | $726.59M | $360.06M | $399.04M | $466.29M | $660.53M | $444.77M | $395.79M | $357.80M | $224.48M | $320.77M | $305.03M |
Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.33% | - | 0.36% | 0.16% | -0.12% | 0.23% | 2.11% | 1.30% | 0.21% | 1.65% | 1.74% | 1.75% | 0.69% | 0.62% |
Forecast
Alcoa Net Income Forecast
Quarter
Dec 27 | Sep 27 | Jun 27 | Mar 27 | Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# Analysts | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-150.00M | - | $-121.00M | $-232.00M | $-399.00M | $-769.00M | $549.00M | $469.00M | $-369.00M | $337.00M | $309.00M | $175.00M | $-4.00M | $-49.00M |
Avg Forecast | $239.55M | $244.83M | $255.00M | $265.06M | $212.41M | $211.56M | $223.26M | $221.77M | $211.94M | $241.41M | $263.11M | $399.42M | $244.89M | $64.40M | $19.89M | $542.31M | $-218.74M | $-272.61M | $-115.09M | $493.01M | $-295.03M | $15.54M | $455.88M | $448.19M | $380.13M | $347.42M | $253.17M | $99.81M | $21.00M | $-268.19M |
High Forecast | $247.41M | $252.86M | $263.37M | $273.76M | $219.38M | $218.50M | $230.59M | $229.05M | $218.90M | $249.34M | $271.75M | $440.67M | $282.57M | $66.51M | $19.89M | $650.77M | $-163.50M | $-253.66M | $-107.09M | $591.61M | $-236.03M | $16.33M | $478.99M | $537.83M | $383.88M | $365.03M | $266.01M | $119.77M | $22.06M | $-255.32M |
Low Forecast | $222.90M | $227.81M | $237.28M | $246.64M | $197.65M | $196.86M | $207.74M | $206.36M | $197.22M | $224.64M | $244.83M | $345.15M | $191.07M | $59.92M | $19.89M | $433.85M | $-249.67M | $-281.56M | $-118.86M | $394.41M | $-354.04M | $14.80M | $434.00M | $358.55M | $376.38M | $330.75M | $241.02M | $79.84M | $19.99M | $-281.78M |
Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.69% | - | 1.05% | -0.47% | 1.35% | -49.48% | 1.20% | 1.05% | -0.97% | 0.97% | 1.22% | 1.75% | -0.19% | 0.18% |
Forecast
Alcoa SG&A Forecast
Quarter
Dec 27 | Sep 27 | Jun 27 | Mar 27 | Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# Analysts | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $64.00M | - | $52.00M | $54.00M | $64.00M | $44.00M | $52.00M | $44.00M | $68.00M | $53.00M | $54.00M | $52.00M | $55.00M | $47.00M |
Avg Forecast | $66.65M | $66.62M | $66.58M | $66.55M | $62.91M | $62.90M | $62.88M | $62.59M | $67.92M | $69.63M | $70.91M | $72.96M | $70.31M | $61.90M | $59.33M | $50.88M | $54.03M | $53.93M | $55.87M | $46.25M | $51.18M | $61.65M | $72.04M | $42.05M | $68.72M | $61.15M | $55.28M | $29.66M | $49.56M | $47.13M |
High Forecast | $68.33M | $68.30M | $68.26M | $68.23M | $64.50M | $64.49M | $64.47M | $64.18M | $69.64M | $71.39M | $72.70M | $74.57M | $74.26M | $62.04M | $59.33M | $61.05M | $55.06M | $55.30M | $57.28M | $55.50M | $61.41M | $64.06M | $74.85M | $50.46M | $71.40M | $63.54M | $57.44M | $35.59M | $51.49M | $48.97M |
Low Forecast | $63.09M | $63.06M | $63.02M | $62.99M | $59.55M | $59.54M | $59.52M | $59.25M | $64.29M | $65.91M | $67.12M | $71.14M | $66.77M | $61.76M | $59.33M | $40.70M | $52.99M | $51.05M | $52.88M | $37.00M | $40.94M | $59.38M | $69.38M | $33.64M | $66.18M | $58.89M | $53.24M | $23.73M | $47.73M | $45.39M |
Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.18% | - | 0.93% | 1.17% | 1.25% | 0.71% | 0.72% | 1.05% | 0.99% | 0.87% | 0.98% | 1.75% | 1.11% | 1.00% |
Forecast
Alcoa EPS Forecast
Quarter
Dec 27 | Sep 27 | Jun 27 | Mar 27 | Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# Analysts | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-0.84 | - | $-0.68 | $-1.30 | $-2.25 | $-4.30 | $3.01 | $2.54 | $-1.99 | $1.80 | $1.66 | $0.94 | $-0.02 | $-0.26 |
Avg Forecast | $0.93 | $0.95 | $0.99 | $1.03 | $0.82 | $0.82 | $0.86 | $0.86 | $0.82 | $0.93 | $1.02 | $1.55 | $0.95 | $0.25 | $0.08 | $-0.64 | $-0.85 | $-1.06 | $-0.45 | $0.01 | $-0.81 | $0.08 | $2.31 | $2.88 | $1.93 | $1.76 | $1.29 | $0.45 | $0.11 | $-1.36 |
High Forecast | $0.96 | $0.98 | $1.02 | $1.06 | $0.85 | $0.85 | $0.89 | $0.89 | $0.85 | $0.97 | $1.05 | $1.71 | $1.09 | $0.26 | $0.08 | $-0.60 | $-0.63 | $-0.98 | $-0.41 | $0.01 | $-0.73 | $0.08 | $2.43 | $3.03 | $1.95 | $1.85 | $1.35 | $0.47 | $0.11 | $-1.30 |
Low Forecast | $0.86 | $0.88 | $0.92 | $0.95 | $0.77 | $0.76 | $0.80 | $0.80 | $0.76 | $0.87 | $0.95 | $1.34 | $0.74 | $0.23 | $0.08 | $-0.66 | $-0.97 | $-1.09 | $-0.46 | $0.01 | $-0.92 | $0.08 | $2.20 | $2.74 | $1.91 | $1.68 | $1.22 | $0.42 | $0.10 | $-1.43 |
Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.99% | - | 1.53% | -198.84% | 2.76% | -54.50% | 1.30% | 0.88% | -1.03% | 1.02% | 1.29% | 2.11% | -0.19% | 0.19% |
Forecast