Alcoa (AA) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
AA Stock Forecast
Alcoa stock forecast is as follows: an average price target of $46.57 (represents a 20.71% upside from AA’s last price of $38.58) and a rating consensus of 'Buy', based on 17 wall street analysts offering a 1-year stock forecast.
AA Price Target
AA Analyst Ratings
Buy
Alcoa Price Target by Analyst
Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 17, 2024 | Katja Jancic | BMO Capital | $45.00 | $42.07 | 6.96% | 16.64% |
Oct 17, 2024 | Derek Hernandez | B.Riley Financial | $50.00 | $42.07 | 18.85% | 29.60% |
Oct 17, 2024 | Christopher LaFemina | Jefferies | $50.00 | $42.07 | 18.85% | 29.60% |
Oct 09, 2024 | Timna Tanners | Wolfe Research | $41.00 | $37.73 | 8.67% | 6.27% |
Oct 01, 2024 | Lawson Winder | Bank of America Securities | $52.00 | $39.45 | 31.83% | 34.78% |
Aug 12, 2024 | Curt Woodworth | UBS | $38.00 | $31.19 | 21.83% | -1.50% |
Jul 02, 2024 | Derek Hernandez | B.Riley Financial | $39.00 | $39.70 | -1.76% | 1.09% |
Jun 21, 2024 | Carlos De Alba | Morgan Stanley | $50.00 | $39.64 | 26.14% | 29.60% |
Apr 22, 2024 | Carlos De Alba | Morgan Stanley | $36.50 | $36.35 | 0.41% | -5.39% |
Apr 18, 2024 | Katja Jancic | Loop Capital Markets | $37.00 | $35.47 | 4.31% | -4.10% |
Apr 18, 2024 | Christopher LaFemina | Jefferies | $48.00 | $35.55 | 35.02% | 24.42% |
Apr 18, 2024 | Derek Hernandez | B.Riley Financial | $31.00 | $35.55 | -12.80% | -19.65% |
Apr 18, 2024 | Katja Jancic | BMO Capital | $37.00 | $35.55 | 4.08% | -4.10% |
Oct 19, 2023 | Katja Jancic | Loop Capital Markets | $28.00 | $24.53 | 14.15% | -27.42% |
Feb 01, 2023 | UBS | $50.00 | $52.23 | -4.26% | 29.60% | |
Dec 09, 2022 | Morgan Stanley | $56.00 | $47.28 | 18.44% | 45.15% | |
Sep 16, 2022 | Carlos De Alba | Morgan Stanley | $66.00 | $43.14 | 52.99% | 71.07% |
Aug 03, 2022 | David Gagliano | BMO Capital | $55.00 | $48.05 | 14.46% | 42.56% |
Jun 22, 2022 | Carlos De Alba | Morgan Stanley | $55.00 | $48.90 | 12.47% | 42.56% |
Apr 25, 2022 | Morgan Stanley | $96.00 | $65.19 | 47.26% | 148.83% | |
Apr 11, 2022 | Curt Woodworth | Credit Suisse | $82.00 | $82.53 | -0.64% | 112.55% |
Mar 26, 2022 | David Coleman | Argus Research | $95.00 | $91.96 | 3.31% | 146.24% |
Mar 15, 2022 | Sathish Kasinathan | Deutsche Bank | $90.00 | $73.71 | 22.10% | 133.28% |
Feb 14, 2022 | Carlos De Alba | Morgan Stanley | $78.00 | $73.86 | 5.61% | 102.18% |
Jan 20, 2022 | Lucas Pipes | B.Riley Financial | $55.00 | $61.18 | -10.10% | 42.56% |
Jan 20, 2022 | David Gagliano | BMO Capital | $65.00 | $61.18 | 6.24% | 68.48% |
Jan 17, 2022 | Christopher LaFemina | Jefferies | $75.00 | $61.39 | 22.17% | 94.40% |
Alcoa Price Target by Period
1M | 3M | 12M | |
---|---|---|---|
# Anlaysts | - | 5 | 13 |
Avg Price Target | - | $47.60 | $42.65 |
Last Closing Price | $38.58 | $38.58 | $38.58 |
Upside/Downside | -100.00% | 23.38% | 10.55% |
Analyst Ratings Upgrades/Downgrades
Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
---|---|---|---|---|
Dec 11, 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
Oct 18, 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
Oct 17, 2024 | BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Hold |
Oct 17, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
Oct 09, 2024 | Wolfe Research | Outperform | Outperform | Hold |
Oct 01, 2024 | Bank of America Securities | Buy | Upgrade | |
Sep 19, 2024 | UBS | Buy | Buy | Hold |
Sep 17, 2024 | B. Riley | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
Sep 04, 2024 | Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Outperform | Upgrade |
Jul 18, 2024 | B. Riley | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
Jul 17, 2024 | Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Hold |
Jul 17, 2024 | UBS | Sell | Sell | Hold |
Jul 17, 2024 | B. Riley Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
Jun 20, 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Equal-Weight | Overweight | Upgrade |
May 21, 2024 | Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Hold |
Apr 18, 2024 | UBS | Sell | Sell | Hold |
Apr 18, 2024 | BMO Capital | Perform | Perform | Hold |
Apr 18, 2024 | B. Riley | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
Apr 18, 2024 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
Apr 18, 2024 | BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Hold |
Jan 18, 2024 | BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Hold |
Oct 19, 2023 | BMO Capital | Perform | Perform | Hold |
Oct 19, 2023 | BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Hold |
Jul 21, 2023 | CFRA | Hold | Upgrade | |
May 11, 2023 | Credit Suisse | Outperform | Upgrade | |
Mar 30, 2023 | Morgan Stanley | Equal-Weight | Equal-Weight | Hold |
Feb 01, 2023 | UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
Oct 06, 2022 | UBS | Neutral | Initialise | |
Sep 22, 2022 | MoffettNathanson | Hold | Initialise | |
Sep 22, 2022 | Citigroup | Buy | Initialise | |
Sep 22, 2022 | Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Downgrade | |
Sep 16, 2022 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Equal-Weight | Upgrade |
Sep 16, 2022 | Scotiabank | Perform | Downgrade | |
Sep 16, 2022 | Jefferies | Buy | Underperform | Downgrade |
Sep 16, 2022 | Wells Fargo | Underweight | Downgrade | |
Sep 16, 2022 | Loop Capital Markets | Hold | Downgrade | |
Sep 16, 2022 | Susquehanna | Neutral | Downgrade | |
Sep 16, 2022 | Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Upgrade | |
Sep 16, 2022 | Morgan Stanley | Positive | Overweight | Upgrade |
Aug 03, 2022 | BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Hold |
Jul 06, 2022 | B. Riley | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
Jun 30, 2022 | Morgan Stanley | Positive | Positive | Hold |
Jun 28, 2022 | B. Riley Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
Apr 17, 2022 | B. Riley | Neutral | Neutral | Hold |
Mar 15, 2022 | Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Hold |
Feb 14, 2022 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Hold |
Jan 17, 2022 | Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Hold |
Jul 21, 2021 | Goldman Sachs | Conviction Buy | Conviction Buy | Hold |
Apr 19, 2021 | BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Hold |
Mar 09, 2021 | Goldman Sachs | Buy | Upgrade |
Alcoa Financial Forecast
Alcoa Revenue Forecast
Quarter
Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $2.60B | - | $2.68B | $2.67B | $2.66B | $2.85B | $3.64B | $3.29B | $3.34B | $3.11B | $2.83B | $2.87B | $2.39B | $2.37B | $2.15B | $2.38B | $2.44B | $2.57B |
Avg Forecast | $2.89B | $2.89B | $2.88B | $2.89B | $2.86B | $3.07B | $3.18B | $3.18B | $3.25B | $2.97B | $2.84B | $2.55B | $2.59B | $2.59B | $2.68B | $2.76B | $2.65B | $2.96B | $3.45B | $3.46B | $3.29B | $2.93B | $2.65B | $2.63B | $2.38B | $2.26B | $2.11B | $2.35B | $2.47B | $2.57B |
High Forecast | $3.21B | $3.21B | $3.20B | $3.21B | $3.18B | $3.41B | $3.53B | $3.30B | $3.31B | $2.97B | $2.84B | $2.55B | $2.64B | $2.87B | $2.97B | $3.06B | $2.94B | $3.07B | $3.59B | $3.60B | $3.42B | $3.05B | $2.75B | $2.73B | $2.47B | $2.35B | $2.19B | $2.44B | $2.57B | $2.67B |
Low Forecast | $2.67B | $2.67B | $2.66B | $2.67B | $2.64B | $2.84B | $2.94B | $3.06B | $3.21B | $2.96B | $2.84B | $2.55B | $2.54B | $2.39B | $2.47B | $2.55B | $2.44B | $2.85B | $3.33B | $3.33B | $3.17B | $2.82B | $2.55B | $2.53B | $2.29B | $2.18B | $2.03B | $2.26B | $2.38B | $2.47B |
# Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.00% | - | 1.00% | 0.97% | 1.01% | 0.96% | 1.06% | 0.95% | 1.01% | 1.06% | 1.07% | 1.09% | 1.01% | 1.05% | 1.02% | 1.01% | 0.98% | 1.00% |
Forecast
Alcoa EBITDA Forecast
Quarter
Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $92.00M | - | $105.00M | $148.00M | $-52.00M | $97.00M | $1.02B | $1.07B | $99.00M | $678.00M | $648.00M | $492.00M | $229.00M | $195.00M | $32.00M | $360.00M | $-35.00M | $88.00M |
Avg Forecast | $312.68M | $312.51M | $312.33M | $313.20M | $309.99M | $332.84M | $344.40M | $344.28M | $352.25M | $321.30M | $307.97M | $999.06M | $280.44M | $279.95M | $289.99M | $908.23M | $450.07M | $414.33M | $484.17M | $825.67M | $461.82M | $410.96M | $371.51M | $280.60M | $333.06M | $316.72M | $295.20M | $375.00M | $346.99M | $360.02M |
High Forecast | $347.32M | $347.12M | $346.92M | $347.89M | $344.32M | $369.71M | $382.54M | $357.03M | $358.75M | $322.01M | $307.97M | $1.20B | $285.81M | $310.95M | $322.11M | $1.09B | $540.09M | $430.49M | $503.05M | $990.80M | $479.83M | $426.99M | $386.00M | $336.72M | $346.05M | $329.08M | $306.72M | $450.00M | $360.52M | $374.06M |
Low Forecast | $288.82M | $288.66M | $288.50M | $289.30M | $286.33M | $307.44M | $318.12M | $331.53M | $347.92M | $320.58M | $307.97M | $799.24M | $275.06M | $258.58M | $267.86M | $726.59M | $360.06M | $399.04M | $466.29M | $660.53M | $444.77M | $395.79M | $357.80M | $224.48M | $320.77M | $305.03M | $284.31M | $300.00M | $334.18M | $346.73M |
Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.33% | - | 0.36% | 0.16% | -0.12% | 0.23% | 2.11% | 1.30% | 0.21% | 1.65% | 1.74% | 1.75% | 0.69% | 0.62% | 0.11% | 0.96% | -0.10% | 0.24% |
Forecast
Alcoa Net Income Forecast
Quarter
Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Net Income | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-150.00M | - | $-121.00M | $-232.00M | $-399.00M | $-769.00M | $549.00M | $469.00M | $-369.00M | $337.00M | $309.00M | $175.00M | $-4.00M | $-49.00M | $-197.00M | $80.00M | $-303.00M | $-221.00M |
Avg Forecast | $230.45M | $235.59M | $244.79M | $261.93M | $162.77M | $204.68M | $251.40M | $307.15M | $209.02M | $58.33M | $18.02M | $542.31M | $-198.12M | $-246.91M | $-104.24M | $493.01M | $-295.03M | $15.54M | $455.88M | $448.19M | $380.13M | $347.42M | $253.17M | $99.81M | $21.00M | $-268.19M | $-75.72M | $83.33M | $-40.63M | $-82.48M |
High Forecast | $263.63M | $269.52M | $280.03M | $299.65M | $186.20M | $234.16M | $287.60M | $410.86M | $293.14M | $66.73M | $18.02M | $650.77M | $-148.09M | $-222.41M | $-93.90M | $591.61M | $-236.03M | $16.33M | $478.99M | $537.83M | $383.88M | $365.03M | $266.01M | $119.77M | $22.06M | $-255.32M | $-72.08M | $100.00M | $-38.68M | $-78.52M |
Low Forecast | $207.58M | $212.22M | $220.50M | $235.95M | $146.62M | $184.38M | $226.46M | $201.44M | $127.45M | $52.54M | $18.02M | $433.85M | $-226.14M | $-282.46M | $-119.25M | $394.41M | $-354.04M | $14.80M | $434.00M | $358.55M | $376.38M | $330.75M | $241.02M | $79.84M | $19.99M | $-281.78M | $-79.56M | $66.67M | $-42.70M | $-86.66M |
Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.76% | - | 1.16% | -0.47% | 1.35% | -49.48% | 1.20% | 1.05% | -0.97% | 0.97% | 1.22% | 1.75% | -0.19% | 0.18% | 2.60% | 0.96% | 7.46% | 2.68% |
Forecast
Alcoa SG&A Forecast
Quarter
Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
SG&A | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $64.00M | - | $52.00M | $54.00M | $64.00M | $44.00M | $52.00M | $44.00M | $68.00M | $53.00M | $54.00M | $52.00M | $55.00M | $47.00M | $44.00M | $60.00M | $62.00M | $66.00M |
Avg Forecast | $60.24M | $60.21M | $60.17M | $60.34M | $59.72M | $64.12M | $66.35M | $66.33M | $67.86M | $61.90M | $59.33M | $50.88M | $54.03M | $53.93M | $55.87M | $46.25M | $51.18M | $61.65M | $72.04M | $42.05M | $68.72M | $61.15M | $55.28M | $29.66M | $49.56M | $47.13M | $43.93M | $62.50M | $51.63M | $53.57M |
High Forecast | $66.91M | $66.87M | $66.84M | $67.02M | $66.34M | $71.23M | $73.70M | $68.78M | $69.12M | $62.04M | $59.33M | $61.05M | $55.06M | $59.91M | $62.06M | $55.50M | $61.41M | $64.06M | $74.85M | $50.46M | $71.40M | $63.54M | $57.44M | $35.59M | $51.49M | $48.97M | $45.64M | $75.00M | $53.65M | $55.66M |
Low Forecast | $55.64M | $55.61M | $55.58M | $55.74M | $55.16M | $59.23M | $61.29M | $63.87M | $67.03M | $61.76M | $59.33M | $40.70M | $52.99M | $49.82M | $51.61M | $37.00M | $40.94M | $59.38M | $69.38M | $33.64M | $66.18M | $58.89M | $53.24M | $23.73M | $47.73M | $45.39M | $42.31M | $50.00M | $49.73M | $51.59M |
Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.18% | - | 0.93% | 1.17% | 1.25% | 0.71% | 0.72% | 1.05% | 0.99% | 0.87% | 0.98% | 1.75% | 1.11% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 0.96% | 1.20% | 1.23% |
Forecast
Alcoa EPS Forecast
Quarter
Dec 26 | Sep 26 | Jun 26 | Mar 26 | Dec 25 | Sep 25 | Jun 25 | Mar 25 | Dec 24 | Sep 24 | Jun 24 | Mar 24 | Dec 23 | Sep 23 | Jun 23 | Mar 23 | Dec 22 | Sep 22 | Jun 22 | Mar 22 | Dec 21 | Sep 21 | Jun 21 | Mar 21 | Dec 20 | Sep 20 | Jun 20 | Mar 20 | Dec 19 | Sep 19 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# Analysts | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
EPS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $-0.84 | - | $-0.68 | $-1.30 | $-2.25 | $-4.30 | $3.01 | $2.54 | $-1.99 | $1.80 | $1.66 | $0.94 | $-0.02 | $-0.26 | $-1.06 | $0.43 | $-1.63 | $-1.19 |
Avg Forecast | $0.98 | $1.01 | $1.05 | $1.12 | $0.70 | $0.87 | $1.07 | $1.31 | $0.89 | $0.25 | $0.08 | $-0.64 | $-0.85 | $-1.06 | $-0.45 | $0.01 | $-0.81 | $0.08 | $2.31 | $2.88 | $1.93 | $1.76 | $1.29 | $0.45 | $0.11 | $-1.36 | $-0.38 | $-0.25 | $-0.21 | $-0.42 |
High Forecast | $1.13 | $1.15 | $1.20 | $1.28 | $0.80 | $1.00 | $1.23 | $1.76 | $1.25 | $0.29 | $0.08 | $-0.58 | $-0.63 | $-0.95 | $-0.40 | $0.01 | $-0.73 | $0.08 | $2.43 | $3.03 | $1.95 | $1.85 | $1.35 | $0.47 | $0.11 | $-1.30 | $-0.37 | $-0.23 | $-0.20 | $-0.40 |
Low Forecast | $0.89 | $0.91 | $0.94 | $1.01 | $0.63 | $0.79 | $0.97 | $0.86 | $0.54 | $0.22 | $0.08 | $-0.73 | $-0.97 | $-1.21 | $-0.51 | $0.01 | $-0.93 | $0.08 | $2.20 | $2.74 | $1.91 | $1.68 | $1.22 | $0.42 | $0.10 | $-1.43 | $-0.40 | $-0.26 | $-0.22 | $-0.44 |
Surprise % | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.99% | - | 1.53% | -198.84% | 2.76% | -54.50% | 1.30% | 0.88% | -1.03% | 1.02% | 1.29% | 2.11% | -0.19% | 0.19% | 2.76% | -1.75% | 7.91% | 2.84% |
Forecast